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Will the loser of Tennessee/Georgia still…

Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:00 am
Posted by Fuegoqueso
Houston
Member since Oct 2013
675 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:00 am
Make the playoffs?
Posted by Serraneaux
South of 30a
Member since Mar 2014
19615 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:01 am to
Ga wont
Posted by lsutigerelizabeth
Houma
Member since May 2022
1304 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:03 am to
Georgia definitely can
Posted by Imber
Member since Sep 2017
12998 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:03 am to
Depends on what Bama does. There's no way they put three SEC teams in.
Posted by bigDgator
Dallas, TX
Member since Oct 2008
41223 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:04 am to
They might if it is a close game and you guys beat Bama again in the SECCG. No way to tell that this early in the season.
The nightmare scenario for them (selection committee) is for Georgia to beat Tennessee, and Bama beat Georgia in the SECCG.

Three 1 loss SEC teams who each have a loss and win vs each other. (Of course that is if none of them lose another game)
This post was edited on 11/3/22 at 11:10 am
Posted by Tigerbait1991
Loranger
Member since Sep 2019
150 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:07 am to
The only shot, and that’s a long shot, of the loser of that game getting in is if the winner of that game wins the SEC championship game. That would mean that all teams in the west have 2 or more losses leaving the west completely out. The playoff committee loves the SEC but a lot would have to go wrong for other conferences for the loser to get in.
Posted by PeleofAnalytics
Member since Jun 2021
2728 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:13 am to
Seems a bit silly to guess at this until you see how other conference shake out.
Posted by Porter Osborne Jr
Member since Sep 2012
39987 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:13 am to
Depends on how close the game is and how other teams finish out the year. Honestly, the loser might have a better shot since they wouldn't have to play Bama in the SECCG.
Posted by KaiserSoze99
Member since Aug 2011
31669 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:15 am to
Think about this for a second.

The only team you have played (at home) was 1 play away from losing to the team that lost to App State.

Food for thought.
Posted by ThePoo
Work
Member since Jan 2007
60578 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:18 am to
quote:

Georgia definitely can
definitely think UGA has less of a chance than tennessee if they lose.

I think UGA would need some things to happen to sneak back in. a 1 loss-pac 12 champ, undefeated big 12 champ, undefeated ACC champ, 1 loss big 10 champ, is getting in before a 1 loss non-SEC champ I think
Posted by NashvilleVolunteer
Nashville
Member since Oct 2022
19 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:19 am to
I don't see it for Georgia. Only one quality win against Oregon the first week of the season. The SOS and quality wins aren't there without beating TN. Tennessee would likely need Georgia to beat Bama in the SEC title game if they lose.
Posted by rich4pres
Knoxville
Member since Dec 2016
9761 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:23 am to
If Tennessee loses they need Georgia to beat Alabama.
If Georgia loses they need Tennessee to beat Alabama.
Posted by Tridentds
Sugar Land
Member since Aug 2011
20354 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:27 am to
Definitely can. As long as the game is tight. If Tenn were to lose by 14+ then probably not.

UGA will still be in SECCG and the winner of that game is going to playoffs. Providing Bama get there with only 1 loss.
Posted by Torch
Northshore Dr
Member since Feb 2017
3282 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:33 am to
FiveThirtyEight has a calculator

Chances to make playoff prior to Saturday's game:

UGA 61%, VOLS 48%

If UGA wins:

UGA 77%, VOLS 34%

If VOLS win:

UGA 30%, VOLS 76%


Per this model, VOLS have 4% better chance to make playoffs with a loss this weekend than UGA, but still only a 1/3 chance.
Posted by GentlemanTiger
Shreveport
Member since Oct 2019
96 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:38 am to
Depends. Lots of factors to consider. Winner of Big 10 is in (tOSU or Michigan). Clemson wins out, they are in. I find it hard to believe that they would leave TCU out if they win out. That really leaves one spot for the SEC champ. This Saturday could be seismic for the playoffs.

The interesting scenario comes if LSU somehow pulls the upset against Bama and through some serious miracles, manages to win the SECCG. Would the committee put a 2 loss SEC champ in over a 1-loss Pac-12 champ?
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86450 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:40 am to
IT
DEPENDS
ON
THE
OTHER
P5
CHAMPS


Same as last year, and the year before, and next year as well.
Posted by LunaFreak
Member since Sep 2022
1593 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:41 am to
UGA will be out of it if they lose.

Tennessee will still have a chance to back in if they lose.
Posted by TouchdownTony
Central Alabama
Member since Apr 2016
9673 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:42 am to
If UGA beats UT, Bama wins out and beats UGA in the SECCG then Bama and UGA are in. If Bama loses another game but beats UGA in the SECCG, UT and UGA are in regardless of Bama winning the SEC. They committee isn't putting a two loss team in if there are other options no matter how many conference titles you win.
Posted by GentlemanTiger
Shreveport
Member since Oct 2019
96 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:45 am to
Why does UT or UGA get the nod over an undefeated TCU (who has beat 4 ranked teams in a row)?

Not saying that this couldn't happen, just generally curious.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86450 posts
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:45 am to
quote:

If UGA beats UT, Bama wins out and beats UGA in the SECCG then Bama and UGA are in


what makes you think this is so definitive when you don't have a clue of the record of the other P5 conference champions?
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