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What would be the most surprising but realistic result this weekend?
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:37 pm
Every once in a while I like to think of what would be the most surprising result of the weekend that actually has some small chance of happening and then rank these on a scale of 2 (not surprising) - 9 (very surprising). I’ve eliminated anything that’s a 1 or 10, because they’re expected results or anticipated close games.
Vanderbilt beats Ole Miss - 9
TAMU beats Missouri - 8.5
South Carolina beats Florida - 8
Oklahoma beats Texas - 5
Kentucky beats LSU - 3
Vanderbilt beats Ole Miss - 9
TAMU beats Missouri - 8.5
South Carolina beats Florida - 8
Oklahoma beats Texas - 5
Kentucky beats LSU - 3
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:37 pm to Goombaw
Vandy or SCar winning
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:39 pm to Goombaw
Kentucky.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:40 pm to Goombaw
A&M beating Mizzou.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:40 pm to Goombaw
South Carolina winning in the swamp
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:42 pm to Goombaw
Surprising yet realistic, probably falls on Kentucky upsetting LSU.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:44 pm to Goombaw
TAMU beats Missouri - 8.5
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:53 pm to Goombaw
Mizzou beating a&m.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:53 pm to GeauxLaneTrain
I wouldn't be surprised at all. Hopefully Sumrall gets them to learn from last week, but I think were exposed schematically and these are Billy's players who had a tendency to quit as soon as they faced even the smallest bit of adversity.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:57 pm to Goombaw
Auburn beats the Bye.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 1:00 pm to Goombaw
Least to most of those:
Tamu beats Mizzou
UK beats LSU
Ou beats TX
Sc beats UF
Tamu beats Mizzou
UK beats LSU
Ou beats TX
Sc beats UF
Posted on 10/5/26 at 1:16 pm to Goombaw
Bama upsets Georgia - 9
Posted on 10/5/26 at 1:17 pm to Goombaw
That SC absolutely hammers fla.
I'm not sure KY beating LSU would be all that surprising.
I'm not sure KY beating LSU would be all that surprising.
This post was edited on 10/5/26 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 10/5/26 at 1:39 pm to Goombaw
According to the Kalshi prediction market (which basically tracks Vegas odds), the likelihood of each of these teams winning this weekend is as follows:
Texas A&M 39%
Oklahoma 25%
Kentucky 25%
Vanderbilt 24%
South Carolina 17%
So basically, A&M clearly the most likely, SC clearly the least likely, and Oklahoma, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt all having prospects that would make their victories surprising, but not shocking.
I do think A&M is a bit underrated by people right now. They did look terrible against LSU, but they solidly beat a decent Arizona State team and dismantled an (admittedly pretty bad) Arkansas team last weekend. To be clear, I am NOT saying they are going to somehow right the ship and make the playoff or anything, but I could still see them going 7-5.
Texas A&M 39%
Oklahoma 25%
Kentucky 25%
Vanderbilt 24%
South Carolina 17%
So basically, A&M clearly the most likely, SC clearly the least likely, and Oklahoma, Kentucky, and Vanderbilt all having prospects that would make their victories surprising, but not shocking.
I do think A&M is a bit underrated by people right now. They did look terrible against LSU, but they solidly beat a decent Arizona State team and dismantled an (admittedly pretty bad) Arkansas team last weekend. To be clear, I am NOT saying they are going to somehow right the ship and make the playoff or anything, but I could still see them going 7-5.
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