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This is my model's Week 2 SEC predictions
Posted on 9/11/26 at 1:25 pm
Posted on 9/11/26 at 1:25 pm
For the first few weeks, the model heavily depends on past coach ratings, players ratings, and recruiting rankings. Around week 5-6 the model is based purely on results in the season. Model really likes Texas right now.
This post was edited on 9/11/26 at 1:37 pm
16
Posted on 9/11/26 at 1:28 pm to MilkJug
I may have to put some money on the hogs. -12 is too much
Posted on 9/11/26 at 1:28 pm to MilkJug
hard to see
pls enlarge
thanks
pls enlarge
thanks
Posted on 9/11/26 at 1:31 pm to MilkJug
I feel like no one watched Texas vs TX state. Texas looked rusty af
Posted on 9/11/26 at 1:37 pm to tiger789
fixed
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:09 pm to cajuntiger1010
quote:
I feel like no one watched Texas vs TX state. Texas looked rusty af
Tx St outrushed them and Texas had more trouble running the ball than the stats say. They got 45 yards on the first play with an explosive. After that, they got barely over 3 yds/carry. We'll see what they do against the OSU front 7 to get their run game going, but I have my doubts that Texas can be physical on the line on either side of the ball.
Muschamp might be the defensive version of bringing back Chad Morris at Clemson.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:10 pm to MilkJug
Texas vs OSU
Oklahoma vs Michigan
Muzzou vs Kansas
Are decent games.
Oklahoma vs Michigan
Muzzou vs Kansas
Are decent games.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:14 pm to stuckintexas
Yep, I thought Texas looked very average. That said, Ohio St. is rarely impressive in early season, and last year their O was very mediocre in this game. So, should be close.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:34 pm to stuckintexas
quote:
Muschamp might be the defensive version of bringing back Chad Morris at Clemson.
like at auburn in 2015?
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:39 pm to MilkJug
Oh no ! We're gonna lose to Kansas 
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:50 pm to stuckintexas
I'd generally agree, however Texas did run for 166 yards last year against a much better Ohio State front 7 with a much worse OL/RB duo
On the flip side, Ohio State would have been shut out if not for a DPI on 3rd down on 1 drive and busted coverage on another
On the flip side, Ohio State would have been shut out if not for a DPI on 3rd down on 1 drive and busted coverage on another
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:57 pm to SECCaptain
The model does know that teams tend to underperform in Week 1. But again, the model is mostly hanging its hat on coaching staff and roster this early in the season rather than one game. The model gets more accurate, and more confident, as the season progresses (for obvious reasons).
Posted on 9/11/26 at 2:59 pm to MilkJug
I'm willing to wager fading the public is a more accurate model 
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:00 pm to MilkJug
what metric is used for coach/player rankings? tia
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:07 pm to MilkJug
quote:
my model
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:09 pm to MilkJug
Your model is dawg shite
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:10 pm to SlicedBread
quote:
what metric is used for coach/player rankings? tia
player ratings:
per game production (yards, TDs, defense stats, etc) and considers opponent
coach ratings:
dominance - their performance against the spread
resume - quality wins, bad losses, etc.
record - all time win percentage
that's very summarized.
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:11 pm to ManBearSharkReb
quote:
Your model is dawg shite
the model doesn't care what you think of it..
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:12 pm to ManBearSharkReb
quote:
Your model is dawg shite
You're right. There is no way Golding holds Charlotte to only 20 points
Posted on 9/11/26 at 3:22 pm to MilkJug
That's pretty cool. Do you have historic data/prediction comparisons?
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