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re: SEC Basketball - predict the order of finish

Posted on 1/4/25 at 9:50 pm to
Posted by AggieBoy86
H-Town
Member since Oct 2012
501 posts
Posted on 1/4/25 at 9:50 pm to
Know. A&M too 3 or 4 we shall see but season against gorns by 29z Beware Ags will be at top of SEC end season. Mark it.
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
11061 posts
Posted on 1/4/25 at 9:57 pm to
quote:

I think Alabama is better than UT unfortunately and it will come down to us playing in the Airplane Hangar and seeing Broome get 4 fouls in the first 3 minutes,


I think we split with them but I’ve thought that since November.
Posted by Tigerfan0318
Missouri
Member since Oct 2018
2139 posts
Posted on 1/4/25 at 10:31 pm to
Naw...

We suck...

Put us at 16.
Posted by southpawcock
Member since Oct 2015
16052 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 8:30 am to
It's a safe bet we'll finish dead last.
Posted by boXerrumble
Member since Sep 2011
53952 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 8:53 am to
Its a safe bet that Florida won't finish better than 6th or 7th at best.

SEC Schedule did them no favors - Tennessee is the only one of Auburn, Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi State, and Arkansas to have to take a return trip to Gainesville.

I see Florida losing at least 6 SEC games, meaning 6th is probably their ceiling given the other easier schedules.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
130019 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 8:56 am to
It's so weird to me. We have 3 top 10 wins, yet I think we are going to be somewhere between 5-7 in conference play.

Our defense is poor at best and so I see Auburn, Tennessee and Alabama feasting on us, and I suspect we lose to teams like Ole Miss as well.
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
11061 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 9:24 am to
quote:

Our defense is poor at best and so I see Auburn, Tennessee and Alabama feasting on us, and I suspect we lose to teams like Ole Miss as well.

We’ll be at Rupp for our matchup.
Posted by Mosnowman
Josey Wales Country
Member since Sep 2012
283 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 9:46 am to
We are planning on winning at least one SEC basketball game this year...
This post was edited on 1/5/25 at 9:47 am
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
130019 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 10:03 am to
quote:

We’ll be at Rupp for our matchup.
That will be a dog fight for sure. I like the team Pope assembled with little time, but I keep thinking we are going to have problems, but 12-2 with 3 top 10 wins should convince me otherwise, but somehow I'm not yet.
Posted by SmithsAuFan
San Diego, CA
Member since Jul 2013
1971 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 10:05 am to
1 Auburn

2-5 bama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Florida(tough to distinguish who will come out of this group)

6-8 Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Miss St(A&M might be the best of this group but they could steal a match from each other or one of the teams above)

9-12 Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Georgia(Could still make tournament)

13-16 Vandy, Texas, LSU, South Carolina
Posted by Warwick
Member since May 2022
1641 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 10:46 am to
16. LSU
15. USC
14. Tex
13. Mizz
12. Vandy
11. UGA
10. OU
9. Ark
8. Ole Miss
6. State
5. A&M
4. Florida
3. UT
2. Bama
1. Aub
Posted by wesfau
Member since Mar 2023
1137 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 10:51 am to
Watched both UT/UA and AU/UM (along with a shitload of other great games) and I'm not sure I'd move Auburn to the top spot over UT. On the road and housing a ranked conference opponent was a much better showing than piddledicking around at home against an unranked conference opponent.

ETA: Whoops...UT was at home, weren't they? Ah, well, the relative performances still don't justify putting AU at the top.
This post was edited on 1/5/25 at 10:56 am
Posted by Contra
Member since Oct 2016
8712 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 11:01 am to
If Alabama doesn't turn the ball over 20 times a game, number 1 will be between Alabama and Auburn. I don't believe UT's highs are as high as Alabama and Auburn's. Alabama dropped 107 on the Sooners yesterday and showed what it can do when it cuts out the insane amount of turnovers.
This post was edited on 1/5/25 at 11:03 am
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
130019 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 11:03 am to
No 7?
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
19576 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 11:23 am to
That dang Butler loss keeps me from thinking State has a chance to win the conference.

Butler hit everything they threw up and we had an off defensive night on the road. That’s going to happen a few times on the road in the SEC and a couple at home.

Whoever has the easiest road schedule among Auburn, Alabama and Tennessee should be considered the favorite.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
33124 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 11:29 am to
While I doubt the SEC gets all 4 #1 seeds, I think there will be 4 teams that will have an argument for a 1 seed (Auburn and Tennessee getting #1 seeds, Alabama and Kentucky finishing with records that would justify #1 seeds as well but probably getting #2 seeds)
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
33124 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 11:36 am to
quote:

Whoever has the easiest road schedule among Auburn, Alabama and Tennessee should be considered the favorite.


That's hard to say, considering all 3 play in the SEC.

Here are their remaining schedules (using .NET rankings - they have not updated to include yesterday's games yet):

Alabama


Q2 Away (85) South Carolina 01/08/2025
Q1 Away (22) 13 Texas A&M 01/11/2025
Q2 Home (36) 24 Ole Miss 01/14/2025
Q1 Away (16) 10 Kentucky 01/18/2025
Q2 Home (35) Vanderbilt 01/21/2025
Q2 Home (52) LSU 01/25/2025
Q1 Away (17) 17 Mississippi St. 01/29/2025
Q1 Home (28) Georgia 02/01/2025
Q1 Away (37) 23 Arkansas 02/08/2025
Q1 Away (40) Texas 02/11/2025
Q1 Home (1) 2 Auburn 02/15/2025
Q1 Away (47) Missouri 02/19/2025
Q1 Home (16) 10 Kentucky 02/22/2025
Q1 Home (17) 17 Mississippi St. 02/25/2025
Q1 Away (2) 1 Tennessee 03/01/2025
Q1 Home (4) 6 Florida 03/05/2025
Q1 Away (1) 2 Auburn 03/08/2025


Auburn

Q1 Away (40) Texas 01/07/2025
Q2 Away (85) South Carolina 01/11/2025
Q1 Home (17) 17 Mississippi St. 01/14/2025
Q1 Away (28) Georgia 01/18/2025
Q1 Home (2) 1 Tennessee 01/25/2025
Q1 Away (52) LSU 01/29/2025
Q1 Away (36) 24 Ole Miss 02/01/2025
Q2 Home (42) 12 Oklahoma 02/04/2025
Q1 Home (4) 6 Florida 02/08/2025
Q1 Away (35) Vanderbilt 02/11/2025
Q1 Away (10) 5 Alabama 02/15/2025
Q2 Home (37) 23 Arkansas 02/19/2025
Q1 Home (28) Georgia 02/22/2025
Q2 Home (36) 24 Ole Miss 02/26/2025
Q1 Away (16) 10 Kentucky 03/01/2025
Q1 Away (22) 13 Texas A&M 03/04/2025
Q1 Home (10) 5 Alabama 03/08/2025


Tennessee

Q1 Away (4) 6 Florida 01/07/2025
Q1 Away (40) Texas 01/11/2025
Q1 Home (28) Georgia 01/15/2025
Q1 Away (35) Vanderbilt 01/18/2025
Q1 Home (17) 17 Mississippi St. 01/21/2025
Q1 Away (1) 2 Auburn 01/25/2025
Q1 Home (16) 10 Kentucky 01/28/2025
Q1 Home (4) 6 Florida 02/01/2025
Q2 Home (47) Missouri 02/05/2025
Q1 Away (42) 12 Oklahoma 02/08/2025
Q1 Away (16) 10 Kentucky 02/11/2025
Q2 Home (35) Vanderbilt 02/15/2025
Q1 Away (22) 13 Texas A&M 02/22/2025
Q1 Away (52) LSU 02/25/2025
Q1 Home (10) 5 Alabama 03/01/2025
Q1 Away (36) 24 Ole Miss 03/05/2025
Q3 Home (85) South Carolina 03/08/2025


Considering Alabama and Auburn play each other twice, Tennessee probably has a SLIGHTLY easier path. They get Alabama at home but Auburn on the road.
Posted by SmithsAuFan
San Diego, CA
Member since Jul 2013
1971 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 11:50 am to
quote:

Watched both UT/UA and AU/UM (along with a shitload of other great games) and I'm not sure I'd move Auburn to the top spot over UT. On the road and housing a ranked conference opponent was a much better showing than piddledicking around at home against an unranked conference opponent.

ETA: Whoops...UT was at home, weren't they? Ah, well, the relative performances still don't justify putting AU at the top.


Auburn and Tennessee also play in Nev. I would heavily lean Auburn wins that one and takes a potential tie breaker if there was a tie.
Posted by TDCat
Louisville
Member since Oct 2013
990 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

SEC Schedule did them no favors - Tennessee is the only one of Auburn, Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi State, and Arkansas to have to take a return trip to Gainesville.

Yikes!

With the SEC's OOC success, it's not out of the question to lose 8 conference games and end up with a 3/4/5 seed. It'll be interesting to see how seeding shakes out come tournament time.
Posted by anc
Member since Nov 2012
19576 posts
Posted on 1/5/25 at 12:14 pm to
Alabama, Auburn and Tennessee each have 9 away games remaining. All will be tough to beat at home so the road schedules are the key.

Alabama's average road game NET is 29.66, and they play both Auburn and Tennessee on the road.

Auburn's average road game NET is 36.00. They play Tennessee at home but have Alabama on the road.

Tennessee's average road game NET is 27.55. They host Alabama but travel to Auburn.

Auburn has the easiest path amongst the would be contenders, but not by a large margin.

Just for my personal interest, State's average road game NET is 31.66 but they play Alabama, Tennessee and Auburn on the road. State is about to go into a schedule stretch where they play 5 of 6 against ranked teams and then later in the season they have a completely different stretch of five straight ranked opponents. Im sure others in the SEC have similar issues.



If a team manages to go 6-3 on the road this season, I'd wager that team wins the SEC.

This post was edited on 1/5/25 at 12:21 pm
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