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Predicting the 2024 SEC Standings

Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:10 pm
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2670 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:10 pm
This time with tie-breakers based on head-to-head predictions.

1. Alabama (8-0, 12-0)
1. Texas (8-0, 12-0)
3. LSU (11-1, 7-1)
4. Georgia (6-2, 10-2)
5. Auburn (6-2, 10-2)
6. Ole Miss (6-2, 10-2)
7. Texas A&M (5-3, 8-4)
8. Tennessee (5-3, 9-3)
9. Missouri (4-4, 8-4)
10. Oklahoma (3-5, 7-5)
11. Florida (2-6, 4-8)
12. Kentucky (2-6, 6-6)
13. Arkansas (1-7, 4-8)
14. S Carolina (1-7, 4-8)
15. Mississippi St (0-8, 3-9)
16. Vanderbilt (0-8, 3-9)

A few notes:

Alabama’s schedule is setting up nicely for them to have 3 monster clashes of un-beatens:

Week 4: Georgia (3-0) at Alabama (3-0)
Week 11: Alabama (8-0) at LSU (8-0)
SEC CG: Alabama (12-0) vs Texas (12-0)

I think there are a few teams who won’t be nearly as bad as their record indicates, but they simply play brutal schedules. I have Oklahoma beating South Carolina, Missouri, and Tennessee. But I still have them losing 5 SEC games (@ Auburn, Texas, @Ole Miss, Alabama, @LSU). That’s just an insanely brutal schedule.

South Carolina also faces a gauntlet. I have them only beating Vandy in SEC play though I think they’ll be a decent team. Playing @ Kentucky, LSU, Ole Miss, @ Alabama, @ Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Missouri).

Meanwhile I think LSU, Auburn, and Ole Miss play relatively easy schedules compared to their norm.

Georgia got the unfortunate draw of playing both Bama and Texas in the road.
This post was edited on 12/22/23 at 1:13 pm
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:13 pm to
New OC and maybe new DC. New QB and receivers. LSU will be rebranded when it goes to Vegas to play USC
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2670 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:14 pm to
USC had been a disaster under Riley, and LSU has the easiest schedule in its first 8 games out of all SEC teams.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
5544 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:16 pm to
LSU, Auburn, A&M, and Florida too high. Georgia a win too low. Mizzou should be higher, and I think one of those teams in the 13-15 range ends up toward the middle.
Posted by Henry Jones Jr
Member since Jun 2011
72759 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

New OC and maybe new DC.
If LSU loses the best part of their team and keeps the worst, the Tiger Rant will be entertainment central for a few weeks
Posted by FoTownBam
Foley Al
Member since Oct 2023
3405 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:19 pm to
LSU going 11-1 is laughable. They’ll be lucky to win 9 games next season
Posted by TDFreak
Coast to Coast - L.A. to Chicago
Member since Dec 2009
8295 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:20 pm to
I think you’re short changing Missouri’s potential record. Easily 6-2 or 7-1.

Also, Missouri could be unbeaten going into Week 9 vs unbeaten Alabama.
Posted by RebelTheBear
Saban's spare bedroom
Member since Aug 2016
5778 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

5. Auburn (6-2, 10-2)

Road games at Missouri, Alabama, and Georgia, plus home games against Oklahoma and A&M. Will be tough to get to 10-2, especially if Walker White doesn't turn out to be a day-one starter
Posted by geauxnavybeatbama
Member since Jul 2013
25134 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

its first 8 games out of all SEC teams.


We play USC, UCLA, Ole Miss and A&M in that stretch

Y’all play Cal, Oklahoma, Georgia and Missouri

It’s a push
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2670 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

LSU going 11-1 is laughable. They’ll be lucky to win 9 games next season


So who do they lose to?

Road games @ S. Carolina, @ Arkansas, @ Texas A&M, @ Florida

Home games against Vandy, Ole Miss, Alabama, and Oklahoma

All of their toughest games are in Tiger Stadium.
Posted by Comancheria
Guntersville, AL
Member since May 2023
809 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

1. Texas (8-0, 12-0)


I'd wager a significant amount of money that we don't go undefeated.
Posted by theCAW
Polk County
Member since Dec 2023
4154 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:23 pm to
One win is a real possibility for Florida next year
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
97176 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:25 pm to
I don’t see us being that bad
Posted by kczoutiger
Member since Jul 2016
845 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:25 pm to
I personally do not see Auburn going the stretch of OU, @Georgia, @Mizzou, @Kentucky better than 2-2, and then having to play @Bama.

I do think Auburn is going to be way improved from last year. That game in Columbia should be a good one.

8-4, 4-4 should be the floor of Mizzou's season next year.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
5544 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

So who do they lose to?

Road games @ S. Carolina, @ Arkansas, @ Texas A&M, @ Florida

Home games against Vandy, Ole Miss, Alabama, and Oklahoma

All of their toughest games are in Tiger Stadium.


Alabama, and one of Ole Miss and Oklahoma if not both. And then maybe one of those road games. They could lose to USC as well.

I could see 10-2, I could see an uncharacteristically awful season. I think 11-1 is a little rich because of the losses, and they still lost 3 games even with those guys.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2670 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

I think you’re short changing Missouri’s potential record. Easily 6-2 or 7-1.


I think people are short changing the fact Mizzou had one Top 25 win this season and that’s only because Tennessee is ranked when they don’t deserve to be.

I have Missouri beating Arkansas, Miss St, S Carolina, and Vandy. But I have them losing to Oklahoma, Alabama, Auburn, and Texas A&M.
Posted by Dude20
Member since Oct 2020
570 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:28 pm to
The dumbass off-season threads already popping up. If you’re bored in Auburn, go walk around Walmart or something….
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2670 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Road games at Missouri, Alabama, and Georgia, plus home games against Oklahoma and A&M. Will be tough to get to 10-2, especially if Walker White doesn't turn out to be a day-one starter


Bama and Georgia on the road are basically automatic losses based on recent history.

Oklahoma and Texas A&M are both huge games but both at home. I know dozens of people already committed to flying in for the OU game. Jordan-Hare will be insane. I don’t see us losing those at home.

I think at Mizzou is a coin flip. It’s the difference between 9-2 and 10-3. Could go either way but I like our chances.
Posted by 4Ghost
Member since Sep 2016
8562 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:30 pm to
Still Bama until Napoleon calls it quits.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2670 posts
Posted on 12/22/23 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

The dumbass off-season threads already popping up. If you’re bored in Auburn, go walk around Walmart or something….


Do they celebrate Christmas on the reservation? If so, log off and have a pow wow for a bit.
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