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Registered on:9/6/2023
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quote:

That could be a quote from Douglas MacGregor in 2003 in an interview with Tucker when he said that the front was about to collapse and Russia was about to take all of the land east of the Dnipro.


So your disagree that Ukraine has a training problem? They are saying themselves that they are having to speed up the training process to get people to the front.

That is, when people aren't going AWOL. 80% of AWOL cases are occuring at the training centers.
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Okay, but as you say, the trend for over three years now has been exactly that - kill your own people in an attempt to take a few feet of land a day.


There is a difference between attritional warfare where your losses hurt less than your opponents, and attritional warfare until the point of completely collapse.

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that takes training, coordination, leadership, and a bunch of other things they clearly don't have.


Ukraine struggles in at least a few if not all of those areas and are holding pretty well :dunno:
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But needless to say, Russia has no cards at the moment...

So the pressure will ramp up on the them to stop in Ukraine, right?


What you're saying is largely accurate, and yet Russia to this point hasn't even pretended to be interested in peace. I don't believe they are just complete morons who will destroy themselves trying to take land. I also don't believe the "Putin is backed into a corner, he knows they will fail but can't quit" narrative. If that were the case they would stop any attempts to advance and switch to a holding pattern to increase their longevity as much as possible.
If she were trying to turn away from the officer her vehicle very likely would have turned more if not whipped around completely after she was shot and lost control
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All the paper tiger talk, the ineptitude, incompetence and inability to fight and defeat a neighbor with which they share a border, and they will advance westward when?

I mean come on...let's step back into reality for a bit here.


It's contradictory
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See this is exactly the point. This, again, is why Russia’s apparent progress in Kostyantynivka is very significant. If that city falls to Russia it will be essentially a breach of the fortress. It certainly looks like it is in the process of falling


Trends.

No way Russia would have even made the progress they've made there in a month last year.

You keep seeing stories about Ukranian soldiers who have spent a year or even 18 months at the front.

You've got Z firing and reassigning personnel.

Supposedly there have been no documented Patriot launches since late October. Did Ukraine already run out? (Debunk this if you can, I'm genuinely curious to know what's going on here. Saw it on X but it can be hard to tell legitimate info vs fake news).

Now Russia's economy is showing downward trends itself, too.
quote:

Zaporizhzhia is much more important than Kostyantynivka.


Supposedly Russia is advancing in range to start their "human safaris" there, but they are not a direct threat to the city yet.
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Respectable careers???? Fifth grade teachers, crrtdinly, however, not lawyers.



You just called it a downgrade :dunno:
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Before the war the population was 70k and now it's less than 10k. Does anybody think that, say, Kalamazoo, MI or Gainesville, GA is a 'Big city'?


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So why would we focus on on a city that nobody has heard of, cares about, and is only going to continue to be a meaningless dot on this stupid and failing war for global supremacy?



I wouldn't call them big cities, but both of the US examples you gave are cities people who have never been to either state might know, so it would be notable if nothing else if we were being invaded by Mexico and they took these cities.

City size does not necessarily mean anything definitive in terms of importance at the front. A large city can be hard to take because it provides a lot of concealment, cover, and opportunities to dig in for a defender but otherwise not provide a ton of strategic value, while a smaller city or even town might provide you a strategic advantage that allows gains in other areas. Spouting "the pre war population is only blah blah blah" over and over ignores a ton of context.

If the US were to be invaded, losing somewhere like Jacksonville or Mobile would be a bigger deal than losing some pretty large cities that are more inland and don't provide you with much strategic value other than being large areas outside of the propaganda win you get from capturing them.
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You are falling in the polls.


What is with some of you Ukraine first crowd and disparaging respectable careers? :lol:
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I am not sure that the people who matter in Russia would not consider it a victory and many in Ukraine would not consider it a defeat which is why they continue to fight.


Russia has barely pretended to be interested in peace. Ukraine either has genuine interest and unrealistic expectations of what Russia will accept, or also is putting up a front (just a better one than Russia has) by proposing conditions they know Russia will never accept and then being able to tell Trump "see, they don't want peace!".

Simple as. Both sides are fighting different wars and both think they are winning for various reasons. Either Russia won't be able to wage war any longer because of their economy, or Ukraine starts having personnel issues that cause operational failures. We've seen cracks in both to this point.
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Fifth grade teacher?


You already guessed lawyer in the old thread, you don't get to guess twice
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The pace is slow but it’s very heavily fortified areas we are talking about


I think the pro-Ukraine side doesn't account enough for the style of warfare being a part of why the pace of advance is slow, while the pro-Russia side doesn't account enough for how inept Russia is in regards to pace of advance.
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It's almost like they have attacked East Baton Rouge Parish and took Catfish Town and on the border of Beauregard Town, and threatening Spanish Town. A seriously retarded way to say proclaim Russia is making progress


The Cajun Navy probably has comparable naval power to Russia at this point
I posted something a while back where someone was saying Zaporizhzhia is far more important. Losing it would be catastrophic, Kostiantynivka isn't nearly on that level.
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It's pointless to argue with you, we know your position


What is my position? I'd like to know what you think it is :lol:
"lack of Russian progress"

*Shows maps that have obviously changed*

:lol:

But seriously, I think it's fair to say both that Russia isn't rolling over Ukraine in that area but also that progress probably wouldn't be swift regardless because it is a larger city. They fought over Pokrovsk for what... A year? If those claimed areas are indeed accurate it won't take Russia a year here. But we know Russian claims can be dubious at best sometimes and Ukraine has had some success counter-attacking in certain areas. Something to watch but more to come.
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. Easy money taking Jags and points. 2. Bills have been overrated all year.


If you looked at how the teams were playing and not the logos I don't know how you would pick against the Jags right now. It's the NFL and anyone can beat anyone in a given week, so not saying it's a lock by any means.

Jags have the number 1 rush defense. Bills don't have receivers who can reliably beat a Jags secondary that is a banged up. Bills have an awful rush defense, Trevor has been beating some teams through the air on their win streak (Etienne has had a couple games with YPC in the 3's) but they really start humming when the run game is going as well.

I'm just hoping it'll be as good of a game as I think it will be and let the chips fall as they may in terms of actual outcome. Hope whoever wins it is the team coming out of the AFC.