VolSquatch

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You have to understand the nature of warfare, especially in today’s hyper-political landscape. One of the main weapons of war is propaganda. Basically, you have to sift through the bullshite and use deductive reasoning based on logic and knowledge of military history.

Having said all that, I’d say you should be highly skeptical of any casualty figures released by either side, or even purported by media outlets.

So, what does that leave us? Well, let’s lay out some facts:

The war is in its third year. And it’s been stalemated for almost two years. So, the one definite fact we know about this war is it’s a stalemate. So, what is the nature of a stalemated war? What decides the outcome of such a war? Again, history gives us the answer. And that answer is exhaustion. The side who runs out of men and resources first, will lose.

So, and you’ll have to do a bit of homework here, I suggest if you want really understand how this war will end, look into which country, Russia or Ukraine, has the advantage in manpower and resources.

As for what we’re seeing on the battlefield, I’ll again refer you to the nature of this war, the nature of a stalemated war. As always history can guide us. Specifically WWI, more specifically, the Western Front of WWI. In that war, stalemate descended on the front in 1914. Between 1914 and the end of the war in 1918, the front barely moved. In fact, if you read the daily updates from this war; about how the Russians advance here and take this and that village sometimes the Ukrainians advance a few kilometers and take this or that village, it reads exactly like updates written in 1916.

All that to say, when the end in WWI came, it came suddenly. In summer 1918, it looked as though the war would drag on for at least two more years or longer. Tens of thousands were dying monthly on both sides. Then, in the fall of 1918, the German lines finally started to crack and rapidly began to crumble all together. The Germans had reached their breaking point. That’s how a stalemated war ends. One moment appears that it will go on for the foreseeable future, until it doesn’t. And when that point comes, the losing side degenerates rapidly.

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One side is attacking a fortified front recklessly with minor successes. These attacks have to be costing more troops than ghd defense is losing, right?

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These troops being used are not good fighting men. They rushed through training to the front lines. Again there is an enormous waste.

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I’ve read that Russia is not getting the numbers of volunteers that they were getting previously. That is having an impact.

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This isn't up to you, me, or anyone else.

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but I'm not stuck on this guy using the term literally

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JD Vance is a smart guy, but he sacrifices logic for a false, self-serving narrative.

He says Ukraine isn't winning the war — fair enough. But in the next breath, he warns that this means millions more will die, the war could go nuclear, and invokes concerns about "nightmare demographics" in "these countries."

But it's not about any of that. It's about the US pouring in billions while Ukraine keeps losing. If the US stops, Ukraine collapses, the war ends — and no one else has to die.

But. America can't afford to take a massive L — not with its ego and power projection at stake in the region.

The US excels at two things: starting wars abroad and spinning the narrative at home.

Again. America is not a peace broker in Ukraine. It's a central actor.

Trump admin sees that Ukraine is losing, so now they want to cut losses and freeze Russian gains on American terms. To pause and restart the conflict at will, in line with their behaviorist religion.

Saving their proxy-army in the face of defeat has nothing to do with a genuine desire for peace.

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No, but it doesn't change the fact that drones have killed civilians. Your implication about going after missile sites/stockpiles hinges on those being the only weapon used to target civilians, so they should have gone after that if punishing war crimes was the aim.

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They wanted Gabriel. He was clearly their guy.

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You've made it plain via your not understanding my posts.

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