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re: Predicting each Program's number of SEC wins during the next decade

Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:21 pm to
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

Surprised that you have Georgia losing 5 of their championship games against the west.


The West is now and will continue to be the dominant side of the league.... in fact I think it will become even more lopsided over the next 10 years. I think Bama beats Georgia this year to win the SEC. So there's one for you to start things out.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

He also said this which was very misleading like it just took him 5 years to do it. 2000 was his 10th year as the head coach.


Well Dan Mullen did not beat a single Top 15 team to my knowledge (final AP rankings) during his entire 9 year tenure.... so either way it goes to show Mullen failed miserably in the Big Win category.
Posted by MullenBoys
In the minds of Ole Miss fans
Member since Apr 2014
13673 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

UG has one good year and now you're anointing them as the next great college football dynasty


I been thinking the same thing. They had one great year and now they can't stop making stupid threads about how awesome they are while putting down all the other programs lmao.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

UG has one good year and now you're anointing them as the next great college football dynasty


One good year? Georgia has the second most regular season SEC wins during the last 10 years... behind only Bama.

And 80% of that was prior to hiring Kirby.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

They had one great year and now they can't stop making stupid threads about how awesome they are while putting down all the other programs


SEC Regular season wins since 2000:

101- Alabama
100- LSU
99- Georgia
98- Florida
89- Auburn

Georgia is two regular season wins away having the most in the league over the past 18 seasons. I find it interesting that you all keep saying that Georgia "had one good year"..... you don't have that many SEC wins over nearly two decades because of one lone good season. Sorry, doesn't work that way.
Posted by Cobb Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
9804 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

And Georgia has only appeared in one national championship in 30 years but that’s not stopping Georgia fans from predicting more appearances


What’s the number for South Cackylacky? When’s the last time the fowl fowls won the SEC? Be gone before someone drops a house on you.
Posted by TouchdownToCauseHell
Member since Apr 2018
568 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 4:34 pm to
he didn't say Scar would win one, why you laughing?
Posted by scrooster
Resident Ethicist
Member since Jul 2012
37612 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

68- Georgia (85.0%)
67- Alabama (83.8%)
53- Auburn (66.3%)
52- Texas A&M (65.0%)
51- Florida (63.8%)
46- LSU (57.5%)
43- S. Carolina (53.8%)
36- Mississippi St (45.0%)
35- Tennessee (43.8%)
35- Missouri (43.8%)
24- Arkansas (30.0%)
23- Ole Miss (28.9%)
15- Kentucky (18.8%)
12- Vanderbilt (15.0%)

That's not a stretch considering past history ... but you give UGA A LOT of credit for moving forward while ignoring some others who are doing the same.

Also, the math doesn't add-up. For instance ... The West.

Next ten years, average number of SEC (conference) wins per year (and I am taking into account SECCG appearances).

6.7 WPY - Alabama
5.3 WPY - Auburn
5.2 WPY - Texas A&M
4.6 WPY - LSU
3.6 WPY - Mississippi St
2.4 WPY - Arkansas
2.3 WPY - Ole Miss
30.1 WPY out of 56 games per year played ...

... of which 42 are intradivisional and 14 are cross-divisional.

You can't play yourself and either win or lose to yourself so you deduct yourself but, as a division you still have to take the totals and all games played into account.

Take the average losses to The East over the next ten years including the SECCG ... let's say conservatively 6.5 per year ... and that's being generous to The West based upon recent past averages.

So now we're up to 36 ... or even round up to 37 WPY total for The West.

Out of 56.

It doesn't add up especially when you combine your SEC East predictive numbers to the equation.

It doesn't balance.



Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28540 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

so either way it goes to show Mullen failed miserably in the Big Win category.




Ya, I never tried to argue that. Facts are facts. I'm only saying that there are not that many other coaches in the league that would have done better.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

I'd put the over/under on East championships for UGA at 3.5 over the next 10 years

I think 8 is aggressive AF, but I'll take the over on your 3.5 in a heartbeat.
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

think 8 is aggressive AF, but I'll take the over on your 3.5 in a heartbeat.


I'm thinking 5 or 6.
Posted by SAINTS0321
Member since Jan 2016
3963 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 6:23 pm to
Meddler can't last
Posted by SAINTS0321
Member since Jan 2016
3963 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 6:36 pm to
Bama 10 x 8 = 80
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 6:40 pm to
Yeah. Not like 8 is impossible... Just probably 6+\-2
Posted by bamafan1001
Member since Jun 2011
15783 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 7:34 pm to
Tennessee won’t be a doormat forever
Posted by Scoreboard
Madison, AL
Member since Apr 2012
2011 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 8:17 pm to
What a load of BS. We still lead the Georgia series, and we will after this decade. Nobody stays on top, dude, except maybe Bama. It all goes in cycles.
Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32844 posts
Posted on 7/18/18 at 10:12 pm to
quote:

quote:
SEC East
8- Georgia
2- Florida






Its like 1990's all over again, expect UGA is UF, and UF is UT.
Posted by northshorebamaman
Cochise County AZ
Member since Jul 2009
35476 posts
Posted on 7/19/18 at 12:20 am to
quote:

SEC East
8- Georgia
2- Florida


Posted by djsdawg
Member since Apr 2015
32844 posts
Posted on 7/19/18 at 12:39 am to
quote:

not even close as to who is the best coach in MSST history, and anyone who thinks it was Sherrill is kidding themselves.


Not sure why Sherrill had a poor final 3 seasons, but he had plenty of success before that.
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
26957 posts
Posted on 7/19/18 at 12:50 am to
Alabama...78 wins.
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