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Predicting each Program's number of SEC wins during the next decade
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:41 pm
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:41 pm
What would you predict to be the number of regular season SEC wins each program has over the next 10 years.... 2018-2027?
First off, here's the general consensus of what I see happening:
1. Saban will retire at some point
It may be after next year. It may be 5 years from now. It may even be 8 years from now. But I'd be shocked if Saban is still coaching at Alabama in the year 2027. My gut feeling is he coaches 3-4 more years in Tuscaloosa
2. Georgia will dominate the East
I think Kirby is our guy. I could be wrong, but I think he'll be coaching in Athens for the next decade. I also think the SEC East will continue to be the weaker division, setting up Georgia to be a fairly constant fixture in Atlanta representing the division.
3. Texas A&M improves
The money spent on facilities will start to pay off, and upgrading at HC will finally get the Aggies into a competitive situation in the West. I think they'll get on SEC Title.... maybe two SEC West Titles during the next 10 years. I still think Alabama will be the premier team in the West.... but with Saban likely retiring at some point, they'll slip just a bit. I think Auburn likely battles it out with A&M for the #2 spot in the West over the next decade.
4. LSU slips just a bit
I think Orgeron enters next season on the hot seat. In all likelihood LSU has a new coach in 2020.
So here's how many SEC regular season wins I project for each program during the next decade (80 wins is max):
68- Georgia (85.0%)
67- Alabama (83.8%)
53- Auburn (66.3%)
52- Texas A&M (65.0%)
51- Florida (63.8%)
46- LSU (57.5%)
43- S. Carolina (53.8%)
36- Mississippi St (45.0%)
35- Tennessee (43.8%)
35- Missouri (43.8%)
24- Arkansas (30.0%)
23- Ole Miss (28.9%)
15- Kentucky (18.8%)
12- Vanderbilt (15.0%)
If I had to predict the number of Division Titles per team, it would look like this:
SEC East
8- Georgia
2- Florida
SEC West
5- Alabama
2- Auburn
2- Texas A&M
1- LSU
SEC Championships
4- Alabama
3- Georgia
2- Auburn
1- Texas A&M
First off, here's the general consensus of what I see happening:
1. Saban will retire at some point
It may be after next year. It may be 5 years from now. It may even be 8 years from now. But I'd be shocked if Saban is still coaching at Alabama in the year 2027. My gut feeling is he coaches 3-4 more years in Tuscaloosa
2. Georgia will dominate the East
I think Kirby is our guy. I could be wrong, but I think he'll be coaching in Athens for the next decade. I also think the SEC East will continue to be the weaker division, setting up Georgia to be a fairly constant fixture in Atlanta representing the division.
3. Texas A&M improves
The money spent on facilities will start to pay off, and upgrading at HC will finally get the Aggies into a competitive situation in the West. I think they'll get on SEC Title.... maybe two SEC West Titles during the next 10 years. I still think Alabama will be the premier team in the West.... but with Saban likely retiring at some point, they'll slip just a bit. I think Auburn likely battles it out with A&M for the #2 spot in the West over the next decade.
4. LSU slips just a bit
I think Orgeron enters next season on the hot seat. In all likelihood LSU has a new coach in 2020.
So here's how many SEC regular season wins I project for each program during the next decade (80 wins is max):
68- Georgia (85.0%)
67- Alabama (83.8%)
53- Auburn (66.3%)
52- Texas A&M (65.0%)
51- Florida (63.8%)
46- LSU (57.5%)
43- S. Carolina (53.8%)
36- Mississippi St (45.0%)
35- Tennessee (43.8%)
35- Missouri (43.8%)
24- Arkansas (30.0%)
23- Ole Miss (28.9%)
15- Kentucky (18.8%)
12- Vanderbilt (15.0%)
If I had to predict the number of Division Titles per team, it would look like this:
SEC East
8- Georgia
2- Florida
SEC West
5- Alabama
2- Auburn
2- Texas A&M
1- LSU
SEC Championships
4- Alabama
3- Georgia
2- Auburn
1- Texas A&M
21
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:43 pm to BHMKyle
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:43 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
SEC East
8- Georgia
2- Florida
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:44 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
SEC East 8- Georgia 2- Florida
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:47 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
SEC Championships
quote:brb need to dust off my jar
1- Texas A&M
This post was edited on 7/18/18 at 1:48 pm
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:47 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
68- Georgia (85.0%) 67- Alabama (83.8%) 53- Auburn (66.3%) 52- Texas A&M (65.0%) 51- Florida (63.8%) 46- LSU (57.5%)
Big 6. Aggie too low.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:48 pm to BHMKyle
You gave Alabama waaay too many West titles.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:48 pm to CNB
I almost projected 8 for Georgia and one each for Florida and South Carolina...... but then I remembered that South Carolina had only been to the SEC CG once in 27 seasons, so projecting 1 in the next 10 seemed far-fetched.
This post was edited on 7/18/18 at 1:50 pm
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:49 pm to BHMKyle
I don’t care how many you give South Carolina, Georgia isn’t going to win the division 8 times. You’re high
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:50 pm to BHMKyle
LSU won't slip that far
UGA won't go that high
IMO of course. Good post OP.
UGA won't go that high
IMO of course. Good post OP.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:52 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
general consensus of what I see happening
Did you poll all of your personalities?
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:56 pm to hogNsinceReagan
quote:
You gave Alabama waaay too many West titles.
Alabama has won the west 11 times in 26 seasons. With another three ties. How is 5 in 10 years farfetched?
Posted on 7/18/18 at 1:59 pm to CNB
quote:
Georgia isn’t going to win the division 8 times. You’re high
To be fair, this list is going to look stupid no matter the breakdown. Way too difficult to predict something like this.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:01 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
but then I remembered that South Carolina had only been to the SEC CG once in 27 seasons, so projecting 1 in the next 10 seemed far-fetched.
If you are partly going by that logic, the west doesn't make much sense.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:05 pm to rockiee
It’s just another “hey look how good UGA is now! Please notice us” thread
There will be more
There will be more
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:05 pm to CapstoneGrad06
quote:
Alabama has won the west 11 times in 26 seasons. With another three ties. How is 5 in 10 years farfetched?
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:07 pm to CNB
quote:
I don’t care how many you give South Carolina, Georgia isn’t going to win the division 8 times. You’re high
The East is garbage, and quite honestly always has been if you consider top to bottom. Back in the '90s it was very top-heavy which overcompensated with how bad the bottom 3-4 teams were.
16 of the 27 SEC East Titles have been won by legendary coaches Steve Spurrier, Phil Fulmer, or Urban Meyer.
All others have been won by Georgia with the exception of the last three years under Richt and Kirby's first year when Georgia was completely mediocre:
2013- Missouri
2014- Missouri
2015- Florida (McElwain)
2016- Florida (McElwain)
The SEC East was screaming for someone to take control in the Post Spurrer/Fulmer/Meyer/Richt (when he was good) era. I think Kirby will be the one to step up and do it.
I've never been sold on Dan Mullen. I thnk he's a good coach but a not so good recruiter that will likely never be great. I think Muschamp will do good things for South Carolina standards, but South Carolina is not going to be a perennial power. They never quite got there with Spurrier, so I don't see them doing it now.
The rest of the East is filled with below average coaches.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:07 pm to CNB
quote:
It’s just another “hey look how good UGA is now! Please notice us” thread
There will be more
Eh, he would have done a thread like this even if UGA was average IMO. He just loves threads like this. This thread is pushing the boundaries though.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:13 pm to BHMKyle
EIGHT??? Holy tits! 
3-5 in the big game too huh. but Bama has a worse win percentage. really choking when it counts.
3-5 in the big game too huh. but Bama has a worse win percentage. really choking when it counts.
Posted on 7/18/18 at 2:14 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
South Carolina had only been to the SEC CG once in 27 seasons, so projecting 1 in the next 10 seemed far-fetched.
And Georgia has only appeared in one national championship in 30 years but that’s not stopping Georgia fans from predicting more appearances
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