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re: Honest assessment of how you expect the season to play out

Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:21 am to
Posted by Berry4Heisman
Orlando, FL
Member since Jan 2020
920 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:21 am to
quote:

I don’t think Tenn makes the playoffs with 2 losses. The Arkansas loss is tough to overcome.
You could be right.
Posted by PuertoRicanBlaze
Book Board Admin
Member since Apr 2024
7274 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:25 am to
We'll be lucky to beat Mercer.
Posted by That LSU Guy
Ponte Vedra Beach
Member since Jul 2008
15720 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:25 am to
quote:

ACCFAN Member since Oct 2024


SadUCFKnight has entered the chat.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19727 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Making the sec title game shouldn’t have a negative impact but it might if you make it and lose.

While I agree, there is a problem even before the SEC CG. 5 SEC teams aren't making the playoffs.. So even if no SEC CG is played.. at least 1 of these teams is going to be left out (in that scenario).

Georgia 11-1
Tennessee 10-2
Alabama 10-2
Texas 10-2
Texas A&M 10-2

Records Against Each Other
Georgia 2-1
Alabama 1-1
Texas 1-1
Tennessee 1-1
Texas A&M 0-1

So from this perspective, A&M would probably be out if there was no SEC CG, so at least they would get a shot to beat Georgia. There are so many possibilities though, which is great for discussion, which makes it great for CFB.. while having divisions adds more clarity, it also eliminates more teams.. you can definitely make the argument both ways..
This post was edited on 10/29/24 at 11:34 am
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10911 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:32 am to
quote:

Sec overrated


LOL - I remember when the 2017 Hurricanes were cruising with their 4-point win over FSU (7-6) , 1-point win over Georgia Tech (5-6), 8-point win over Syracuse (4-8), 5-point win over North Carolina (3-9). Ya'll were feeling pretty cocky rolling into Pitt (5-7) with your 10-0 record ranked #2. Then Pitt beat you by double digits, Clemson smoked you in the ACC Chanmpionship game by 5 touchdowns and Wisconsin pounded you by double digits in the bowl game in your own stadium.
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
14864 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:34 am to
What I hope happens is this: Aggies, LSU, and UGA win out. Then the SECCG would be Ags vs LSU again.

4 SEC teams make the CFP: A&M, LSU, UGA, and either Texass or Tennessee.
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
10238 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:35 am to
quote:

10-2 Texas A&M vs 11-1 Georgia in Atlanta



Part of me would love to see this matchup. Just to show what's wrong this 16-team, uni-division mess.
Posted by RollingwiththeTide62
Member since Aug 2024
4057 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 11:36 am to
Major upsets Bama sec champ loses in semis at worst
Posted by Chingon Ag
Member since Nov 2018
4041 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 12:01 pm to
Posted by sorantable
Member since Dec 2008
54199 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:01 pm to
I’m figuring Ole Miss has at least a couple loses left in them.
Posted by theballguy
Un-PC for either side
Member since Oct 2011
35133 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

For Tennessee I expect us to drop 1 more against UGA but win the rest. Should be enough to sneak us into the playoffs.


Unfortunately, maybe not. Kind of 50/50.

Tennessee would definitely deserve it in my book.

But ...

The problem is these other conferences being so top heavy.

Media will do everything they can to promote the 11-1 Penn State's and Miami's, Clemson's of the world and leave as many SEC teams as possible out.

I see SEC only getting in 2 teams.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19727 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

I see SEC only getting in 2 teams.

It's possible. There are a lot of undefeated and one loss teams floating out there in the P4 conferences..

Big 12
8-0 BYU
8-0 Iowa State (plays KSU)
7-1 Kansas State (plays ISU)

ACC
8-0 Miami
7-0 Pitt (plays Clemson + SMU)
6-1 Clemson (plays Pitt)
7-1 SMU (plays Pitt)

Big 10
8-0 Oregon
8-0 Indiana (plays Ohio State)
7-0 Penn State (plays Ohio State)
6-1 Ohio State (plays Indiana + Penn State)

Other
7-1 Notre Dame (plays Army)
7-1 Boise State
7-1 Washington State
7-0 Army (plays ND)

That is 15 teams that could all end up with 11 wins.. before you even get to the SEC. You know the officials will be giving them all the benefit of the doubt..

SEC
11 wins = in
10 wins = unknown

If Washington State ends up 11-1 and PAC 2 Champs, they might be thrown a bone where a 6th CC gets in, leaving only 6 at large spots. Army could be in the same boat if they end up 12-1.. leaving only 5 at large spots.

The playoff will be expanding to 14 or 16 sooner than later.
This post was edited on 10/29/24 at 1:27 pm
Posted by 308
the backwoods of Mississippi
Member since Sep 2020
3178 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 1:31 pm to
LSU gets lucky and squeaks by Bama, then wins out.

aTm wins out, beating Texas in a wild rivalry week game.

LSU then takes out aTm in Atlanta.
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
11587 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:09 pm to
I’ll be an optimist and say Texas wins out but loses again to UGA, and gets an at large bid.

My main hope is we meet up with Miami there. Payback has been a long time coming.
Posted by JetDawg
Los Angeles/USC Trojans fan/alum
Member since Oct 2020
8863 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:12 pm to
Miami - 38
VT - 34

Miami - 39
California - 38

Miami - 52
Louisville - 45

Miami waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay overrated.
Posted by BevoBucks
H-town
Member since Dec 2022
6736 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:14 pm to
We drop one more close one at Kyle to miss ATL, squeak into an at-large bid, win one & lose in quarters.

We finish 7th overall with an 11-3 record.
Posted by Nitro Express
Gulf Coast
Member since Jul 2018
17833 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Probably lose to Bama


I don't know, man. Milroe on the road is likely to be ugly.
Posted by Mr Sausage
Cat Spring, Texas
Member since Oct 2011
15620 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:28 pm to

quote:

Chingon Ag


you can feel it, too?
Posted by Coke Man
Member since Nov 2023
280 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:28 pm to
The first CFP rankings next Tuesday will give an idea of what the committee thinks of the SEC vs Big 12 vs ACC teams.
Posted by BigOrangeKen
Union City
Member since Oct 2015
3919 posts
Posted on 10/29/24 at 2:33 pm to
I don’t Texas is playing at College Station and they will be rowdy and loud and circled this game.
I think it will be a great game but I wouldn’t bet on either team it will be a close game.
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