re: Georgia @ Texas has the makings of a blowout

quote:

---

I have, but I also doubt they’d be throwing the ball 33 times (in 1 half) with an average of 10 YPA if they’re playing a complete game. Again, I don’t think Texas blows y’all out, but with the results we’ve seen on the field this season I think Texas would be more likely (even if a blowout is unlikely) to blow out UGA and the opposite happening.

---

33 attempts in a half? Probably not.

10 yards per attempt? Yes. Carson Beck on the season last year averaged 9.5 yards per pass attempt. In his better games he will often be above 10 per attempt.

We saw UGA's offense go aggressive in the second half against Bama. The plus from that (as a UGA fan) is seeing that we CAN be aggressive when needed. But UGA's offense not being aggressive but playing well is more what we saw in the second half against Clemson. 14 points each quarter scoring on 2 out of every 3 drives. 15 pass attempts in the half for 152 yards (10 yppa) and 2 TD with 0 INT.

For a "complete" game at that level of performance against a top 25 team you just have to multiply that by 2. 30 pass attempts, 300 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT. That's what UGA can do against a Clemson level defense when they play well for an entire game.

Again, UGA may not put together a full game like that against Texas. But if UGA plays just "pretty good" for the game (or has a great half and another half that's just meh) they'll put up 40+ points even against good defenses.

As for what UGA's defense can do if playing well... basically just look at what they've done other than the first quarter against Bama. They won't shut out top level offenses like Bama (or Texas), but they also rarely give up 21 in a quarter either. 28 if you include drives that started in the first quarter. Unless UGA has another meltdown quarter like we saw against Bama, you're looking at a defense that won't give up more than 30 points against anyone.

Again, I'm not saying Texas can't win. I'm simply saying that for a blowout to happen in Texas' favor, they'd need UGA to have a total offensive and defensive collapse like they had early against Bama... and then have the rest of the game be average or worse as well for UGA to end up with a big final deficit.

The TLDR is basically that for Texas to get a blowout they have to have an A game and UGA to have a D- game or worse. For UGA to get a blowout with their A game, Texas can just play a C game or worse. Simply based on what we've seen so far as glimpses of both team's A-games.

Where Texas has the advantage is they've been more consistent with putting up better play this year than UGA.