re: Estimate your community’s loyalty breakdown.

Charlotte:

What I see around town on cars, houses and clothes:

14% UNC
14% Gamecocks
14% Clemson
9% NC State
9% UNC Charlotte
8% App State
8% Duke
4% ECU, UNCW
4% Bama
3% Georgia
3% Auburn
3% Virginia
2% Vandy

5% Random College (SEC, ACC & B10 mostly but tons of other schools)

But this is all variable whether it is basketball season or football.

60% A&M
15% Texas
10% OU
10% LSU
5% TCU & Baylor

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I feel like there is a lot ore UGA fans then only 10%. Every time I go to Jville I see a whole lot of UGA plates and stickers on cars. Also see a lot of people repping hats or shirts walking around

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Where do you live Breezy? Camden Co.?

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contrary to the local media's assertion and the assumption of many others, Bama is between 2-2.5 times greater than AU throughout the state as a whole. Bham is even more of a Bama town.

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I agree Bama fans are 2-2.5 times greater in number than Auburn fans in the state as a whole... In fact i think its probably triple... but I disagree that Birmingham is "even more of a Bama town." Sure it certainly breaks for Bama as a whole, but Auburn has a much greater presence in Birmingham than it does in other parts of the state.

I live in the OTM area, and I'd say its a 50-50 split between Bama and Auburn fans. The further you drive away from the OTM area, Bama fans start to dominate more and more.

I went to both the websites for the University of Alabama and Auburn to look at enrollment data from the major high schools in the Birmingham area.... Auburn actually has a very large advantage when it comes to accepting students from these schools. This is from the latest "First Time Freshmen" students to enroll in the Fall of 2017:

Mountain Brook High School: 95 kids to Auburn; 95 kids to Alabama (50%-50%)
Homewood High School: 46 kids to Auburn; 26 kids to Alabama (64%-36%)
Vestavia Hills High School: 119 kids to Auburn; 71 kids to Alabama (63%-37%)
Hoover High School: 79 kids to Auburn; 79 kids to Alabama (50%-50%)
Spain Park High School: 66 kids to Auburn; 47 kids to Alabama (58%-42%)
Oak Mountain High School: 63 kids to Auburn; 48 kids to Alabama (57%-43%)
Briarwood Christian: 53 kids to Auburn; 25 kids to Alabama (68%-32%)
John Carroll Catholic: 16 kids to Auburn; 11 kids to Alabama (59%-41%)

These 8 high schools capture probably 95% of the kids in the Over-the-Mountain Area, and based off the kids that enrolled at either of the two schools last year, Auburn enrolled 537 kids from the area compared to 402 kids who went to Alabama. That's a 57%-43% advantage towards Auburn when it comes to students who chose one or the other.

Now obviously there are kids from these schools that go elsewhere in state (UAB, Troy, Samford, etc.) and quite a large number go out of state, but this is a giant area in which the vast majority of kids go to 4-year colleges. And sure some kids may end up going to either Auburn or Alabama to achieve a certain degree while their fandom lies with the opposite team, but by and large that's not common. These 8 high schools actually acccount for nearly 20% of the total number of in-state students at Auburn and Alabama.

I think its a pretty good indicator that shows the OTM area is very close to a 50/50 split. When you go further south into Shelby County or up in Trussville, Bama starts to get more of an advantage. Once you get to the more rural areas of the metro (like Walker County, St. Clair County, Bibb County, etc.), that's when Bama really takes over.

All this to say, my experience living and working in the city is that Bama has a distinct advantage. However, its not nearly as distinct here compared to other areas of the state (like west Alabama all the way from the Shoals in the North down to Mobile in the South).

Auburn's high concentration of fans seems to be in the first few suburbs south of Birmingham, Huntsville, East Montgomery, and around Dothan.... and of course Auburn itself. In those areas its closer to 50/50. Outside of those areas, its like 90-10 Bama

80 20 bama in Decatur

Upper South Georgia

80+ UGA

Those listed below carry single digit percentiles in this order (in my estimation):

AU, Bama, UF, Tech, FSU

Miss Gulf Coast

26% LSU
24% BAMA
25% STATE
15% OM
10% Southern Miss

For the Gulf Coast I think it splits more like this:
USM 25%
State 25%
OM 20%
LSU 15%
Bama 10%
Others 5%

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New Orleans:

40% LSU
25% Tulane
15% Ole Miss

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Yeahhhh it's more like 60-70% LSU. You'll obviously see a bunch of Tulane, but most of the city doesn't really care how they do because they also pull for LSU (translation: most of them went to UNO). Ole Miss at 15% is pretty accurate, unfortunately.

There are without a doubt more LSU fans on the Coast than Ole Miss fans.