College Football Power Index 2023

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Last Updated: April 18, 2023
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete.
What is ESPN's College Football Power Index?
GLOSSARY
W-L:Won Games
FPI:Football Power Index that measures team's true strength on net points scale; expected point margin vs average opponent on neutral field.
RK:Football Power Index Rank vs all FBS teams.
TREND:FPI Rank change from previous week.
PROJ W-L:Projected overall W-L, accounting for results to date and FPI-based projections for remaining scheduled games (and potential conference championship games). May not sum to a whole number because of differing number of games played in each simulation.
WIN OUT%:Percent of season simulations in which team won all remaining scheduled games as well as conference championship game (if applicable).
6WINS%:Percent of season simulations in which a team won at least 6 games (typically bowl-eligible).
WIN DIV%:Percent of season simulations in which team won its conference division, for those conferences that have divisions.
WIN CONF%:Percent of season simulations in which team won its conference, incorporating chance of getting to and winning conference championship game (if applicable). Accounts for shared conference titles in conferences that allow them.
PLAYOFF%:Chance to make the CFB Playoff, according to the Playoff Predictor.
MAKE NC%:Chance to make the CFB Playoff National Championship game, according to the Playoff Predictor.
WIN NC%:Chance to win the CFB Playoff National Championship, according to the Playoff Predictor.

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They must be the darling of college football.

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The media wants Texas in the conversation every year. We make them more $$$, which is their entire agenda.

Recently, we haven’t deserved it. This year, I like the talent and depth more than the last decade plus. No excuse to not be in the mix.

Tiggers better start sharpening it up littlelefty if they don’t want to get embarrassed by UT next year.

We see you down there below Auburn, hahah

SEC odds to win NC
BAMA 20%
UGA 19%
LSU 4%
10erC 0.2%

The rest of us 0%. Football is broken.

Florida State way too low

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Recently, we haven’t deserved it

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No excuse to not be in the mix

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Uuhmm, Sarkisian maybe, no?

They are getting the usual Texas love plus a bump for losing close games to Bama and TCU last year and thrashing Oklahoma.

Not to poke Oklahoma with a stick they were hammered dog mess last year so I'm not sure I'd really go overboard on that win.

At the end of the day they finished 8-5 against a schedule that most SEC schools would have sold their souls to get to play.

They should put up a gaudy record next year. They get Bama and TCU but the rest of their schedule is extremely manageable. They should be favored to win in 10 of their games.

People will predict they are back and they will either beat an over matched team in their bowl game, or draw a real opponent and get slaughtered. Regardless... 2024 people will point to Texas and say they are national title contender.

Texas is back!

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Texas is back!

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Nope, I didn’t say that, but I do believe that Texas is close and will have their best season since 2009. I think it would be hard to argue that this Texas team doesn’t have a lot of NFL talent. TBD how much the coaches get out of them.

Sark’s problem on offense is pretty simple imo.

If he gets a play to work, he is an offensive genius at setting up the next play. He runs into problems when he doesn’t get that first play to work, or he is stubborn trying to get that first play to work.

The plays stack on each other and make the defense play on roller skates.. but you have to get them to put the roller skates on first. Most of the time, it works out. Sometimes, it doesn’t.