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Beneficiaries of a 12 Team CFP
Posted on 6/15/21 at 9:57 am
Posted on 6/15/21 at 9:57 am
I believe there’s two obvious conferences (apologize if this has been discussed adnausium. (My current understanding is that there will not be any automatic bids)
AAC: (their new commissioner is extremely intelligent)
- I included this conference solely on the basis that they’ll finally have a chance to be included. I believe this will garner more revenue towards the conference as a whole. The commissioner is already emphasizing a greater delegation of resources to football in general (and if we are honest) their product is definitely better if not on par with PAC 12. With a better product, comes a better TV deal & with markets in TX, OH, FL I expect the conference to become wealthy fast.
SEC: this is quite obvious
- The Reason: PRESTIGE. the discussion has centered around the possibility of 4 teams making it. I believe we can expect 3 teams per year. SEC conference winner (probably Alabama), east division winner, & either the 2nd in the west or east. (Alabama, Georgia, LSU win over FL in this scenario). However in those “magic” seasons include both 2 in east and west. We have the privilege of always being ranked higher than other conferences, & generally winning our nonconference games (better football).
Lastly: I believe all other conferences suffer from being deemed weak or one sided.
- Big 10: unlikely to get more than 1 team in a year, talented but no team is a clear #2 that would be ranked high enough.
- ACC: Clemson, every other program is in constant “rebuild mode”
- Big 12: image problems now, the guaranteed win in CFP currently usually by blowout fashion. Plus no #2 unless Sark gets Texas rolling or Campbell stays & maintain Iowa State
- Pack 12: can’t get it up. Conference is weak, top teams are highly inconsistent. They’ll be lucky to get 1 team annually.
AAC: (their new commissioner is extremely intelligent)
- I included this conference solely on the basis that they’ll finally have a chance to be included. I believe this will garner more revenue towards the conference as a whole. The commissioner is already emphasizing a greater delegation of resources to football in general (and if we are honest) their product is definitely better if not on par with PAC 12. With a better product, comes a better TV deal & with markets in TX, OH, FL I expect the conference to become wealthy fast.
SEC: this is quite obvious
- The Reason: PRESTIGE. the discussion has centered around the possibility of 4 teams making it. I believe we can expect 3 teams per year. SEC conference winner (probably Alabama), east division winner, & either the 2nd in the west or east. (Alabama, Georgia, LSU win over FL in this scenario). However in those “magic” seasons include both 2 in east and west. We have the privilege of always being ranked higher than other conferences, & generally winning our nonconference games (better football).
Lastly: I believe all other conferences suffer from being deemed weak or one sided.
- Big 10: unlikely to get more than 1 team in a year, talented but no team is a clear #2 that would be ranked high enough.
- ACC: Clemson, every other program is in constant “rebuild mode”
- Big 12: image problems now, the guaranteed win in CFP currently usually by blowout fashion. Plus no #2 unless Sark gets Texas rolling or Campbell stays & maintain Iowa State
- Pack 12: can’t get it up. Conference is weak, top teams are highly inconsistent. They’ll be lucky to get 1 team annually.
This post was edited on 6/15/21 at 10:03 am
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Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:01 am to BayouBengal21
A National Championship caliber team with 2-losses comes out of the SEC every year. Look for an SEC team to routinely win a road game in the 1st round setting up intraconference matchups later on
Just look at the last few years. The following teams would be an awful draw for anyone in the First Round
2020 Georgia (especially post-QB switch)
2019 Bama (with or without Tua)
2019 Georgia
2019 Florida
2018 Georgia
2018 LSU
2017 Auburn (with a healthy Karryon Johnson)
2017 Bama
Just look at the last few years. The following teams would be an awful draw for anyone in the First Round
2020 Georgia (especially post-QB switch)
2019 Bama (with or without Tua)
2019 Georgia
2019 Florida
2018 Georgia
2018 LSU
2017 Auburn (with a healthy Karryon Johnson)
2017 Bama
This post was edited on 6/15/21 at 10:10 am
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:01 am to BayouBengal21
quote:
- Big 10: unlikely to get more than 1 team in a year, talented but no team is a clear #2 that would be ranked high enough.
Pretty sure every review of past years has led to the B1G having more teams than anyone else in the playoffs. They get overranked a lot.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:01 am to BayouBengal21
You mean beneficiaries, not benefactors. But ok. Edit: solid edit on the thread title. Cheers!
This post was edited on 6/15/21 at 10:04 am
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:03 am to BamaNixon
Rough morning, coffee machine broke
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:05 am to skrayper
You may believe they are over ranked but they’ve haven’t had more than 1 team in the playoff a given year. Plus they’ve missed a few playoffs in general…
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:09 am to BamaNixon
I think that this will lead to an SEC team winning in a national championship game against a team that they lost to once or twice previously. This will result in cries of mulligan and other tears that we’ve seen before, which will be both as funny and ridiculous as they’ve been in the past.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:11 am to BamaNixon
CFP = New SEC Championship Game 
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:13 am to BayouBengal21
quote:
You may believe they are over ranked but they’ve haven’t had more than 1 team in the playoff a given year. Plus they’ve missed a few playoffs in general…
Exactly - when you bump it up to 12, their number increases a LOT.
B1G Playoff Teams under current format: 5 (Ohio State 4, Michigan State 1)
B1G Playoff Teams with 12 team format: 20
Pretty sure no other conference sees a net gain of +15.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:14 am to BayouBengal21
quote:
You may believe they are over ranked but they’ve haven’t had more than 1 team in the playoff a given year. Plus they’ve missed a few playoffs in general…
So how does the AAC gather all this momentum and playoff respect toward the playoff? They aren't suddenly going to upgrade their schedule with at least 6 or 7 power 5 teams. Pac 12 doesn't play the type of teams that routinely play in crackerboxes before 20, or 30,000 fans. If the SEC is getting single out for their SOS, where is the AAC gonna get all this newfound respect?
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:17 am to bamameister
Easily because a spot is specifically for the top G5
(The proposal calls for the bracket each year to include the six highest-ranked conference champions, plus the six highest-ranked other teams as determined by the College Football Playoff selection committee.)
No guarantee the PAC champ could get in. From 2018-2020 pac would have gotten 1 team in based on final rankings, G5 would have 3
(The proposal calls for the bracket each year to include the six highest-ranked conference champions, plus the six highest-ranked other teams as determined by the College Football Playoff selection committee.)
No guarantee the PAC champ could get in. From 2018-2020 pac would have gotten 1 team in based on final rankings, G5 would have 3
This post was edited on 6/15/21 at 10:23 am
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:19 am to BayouBengal21
quote:
Easily because a spot is specifically for the top G5
They'd better get that in writing.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:20 am to BayouBengal21
Bama is the biggest beneficiary for sure.
Essentially, the more teams you add the less likely it is that they miss out on a title shot by getting sucker punched or dropping a game.
A 9-2 Bama team is still in. And dangerous. It’s also essentially their floor for the Saban era. So now their down years are in the wheelhouse too. An SEC team will almost be guaranteed to have to play Bama twice (or if you are an east team that plays them in the regular season, it’s conceivable that you have to play them 3 times lol).
The margin of error now encompasses the full range of their expected results (at least from what we've seen at this point under Nick). Saban is pumped for sure.
Essentially, the more teams you add the less likely it is that they miss out on a title shot by getting sucker punched or dropping a game.
A 9-2 Bama team is still in. And dangerous. It’s also essentially their floor for the Saban era. So now their down years are in the wheelhouse too. An SEC team will almost be guaranteed to have to play Bama twice (or if you are an east team that plays them in the regular season, it’s conceivable that you have to play them 3 times lol).
The margin of error now encompasses the full range of their expected results (at least from what we've seen at this point under Nick). Saban is pumped for sure.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:29 am to Hester Carries
Alabama just got given a free insurance policy!
The rest of college football just keeps on fricking themselves!
The rest of college football just keeps on fricking themselves!
This post was edited on 6/15/21 at 10:30 am
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:32 am to bamameister
Didn't read the proposal, didja.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 10:36 am to Drydock
quote:
Didn't read the proposal, didja.
Much more about I don't believe in that proposal.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 11:09 am to BayouBengal21
It’s for The PAC12 and the media darling G5 team.
Won’t have any effect really other than to give Alabama the mulligan they need to win it all ever 3-4 years.
Won’t have any effect really other than to give Alabama the mulligan they need to win it all ever 3-4 years.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 11:12 am to BayouBengal21
quote:
AAC: (their new commissioner is extremely intelligent)
Quick note: Aresco has been the commish since the leagues inception. All of the P6 stuff, love it or hate it, has been Aresco's thing since day one.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 11:48 am to Glorious
quote:
Just look at the last few years. The following teams would be an awful draw for anyone in the First Round
2020 Georgia (especially post-QB switch)
2019 Bama (with or without Tua)
2019 Georgia
2019 Florida
2018 Georgia
2018 LSU
2017 Auburn (with a healthy Karryon Johnson)
2017 Bama
2019 Bama wouldn't have made the 12 team playoff as it's been presented.
Posted on 6/15/21 at 11:49 am to BayouBengal21
#1. College football fans. More meaningful football past 12/5 will always be good.
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