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re: Bama a 5-7 pt favorite in Vegas
Posted on 11/1/15 at 3:13 pm to Last call
Posted on 11/1/15 at 3:13 pm to Last call
They will get a lot of action on this line. By game time you will see it closer to the 3.5 area. As an LSU, I am not freaking out by this line. They are close in ranking, many experts have been building Bama up to the public and it is at BDS. I am much more interested in where it closes than where it opens.
1
Posted on 11/1/15 at 3:22 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
quote:
This is an LSU site, but I would take Bama in this one. Harris has had the entire year to use Fournette as a distraction to augment his passing game. When Fournette gets stopped or they need to rely on Harris to hit 3rd and long, 4th and long in clutch passes I don't see Harris doing it. If it's close, I'd feel much more comfortable as a Bama fan than an LSU fan.
Like I said, it's an LSU site and they're out in full force because they're relevant this year, but this game will be their first true test since it's on the road. The Gators were the best team they played, but it was at home against our second string quarterback and after yesterday, we can equivocally say that Grier would have given us a much better chance to win, especially since he shines in the fourth quarter.
Harris has hit on 3rd downs all year. Watch a game. 4th and long? What? Harris isn't the punter. I would feel much more comfortable having Harris than Coker in a close game if passing is needed to win the game.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 3:30 pm to Howyouluhdat
anything 4 or over and i'll take lsu ... fg type of game ... which should worry most bama fans ...
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:16 pm to joshnorris14
Yes, it is. The SEC rant was just a tab on Tigerdroppings until like 2011
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:19 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Just to clear this up: LSU should've beaten Florida 35-14. We absolutely dominated every facet of the game and the only reason that y'all had 28 points instead of 14 was due to the fact that we muffed a punt and completely blew a kickoff coverage. Second of all, Harris has some of the best 3rd down stats in the SEC. You're talking out of your arse because you're mad about LSU beating UF earlier this year, there are literally no statistics that back up anything you just said, now run along
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:21 pm to Last call
Someone who knows more about betting needs to explain the money lines in this one.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:22 pm to ThoseGuys
quote:I highly doubt that. It's been bet down to 5.5, and money will eventually start coming in on Alabama. It'll probably settle in around 5.5 come gametime.
By game time you will see it closer to the 3.5 area
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:24 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Just to clear this up: LSU should've beaten Florida 35-14. We absolutely dominated every facet of the game and the only reason that y'all had 28 points instead of 14 was due to the fact that we muffed a punt and completely blew a kickoff coverage. Second of all, Harris has some of the best 3rd down stats in the SEC. You're talking out of your arse because you're mad about LSU beating UF earlier this year, there are literally no statistics that back up anything you just said, now run along
If those are the rules of logic we're using, then let me clear this up:
We should have beaten Ole Miss. Between the no call on the lineman downfield and the miracle helmet deflection TD, Ole Miss should have scored 14 less than they did.
This post was edited on 11/1/15 at 4:25 pm
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:41 pm to jbond
I don't think anyone disagrees with you except ole miss fans.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:42 pm to Fratigerguy
Lines almost never move more than 2-3 points from where they unless there is some sort of major injury or suspension.
It moved from 7 to about 5.5 and will probably remain there give or take a .5.
It moved from 7 to about 5.5 and will probably remain there give or take a .5.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:43 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
quote:
StrawsDrawnAtRandom
You are NEVER going to get over that loss are you?
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:48 pm to FreddieMac
quote:Who the frick's stopping you?
I would take LSU and 7 pts
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:51 pm to StrawsDrawnAtRandom
Maybe you should check Harris' stats on third down passes.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 4:51 pm to Last call
ritter must be "working" the game
Posted on 11/1/15 at 5:00 pm to LSU1NSEC
quote:
ritter must be "working" the game
gathering up those excuses like a squirrel gathers nuts for when y'all get that arse kicked....did the same thing last year..I like that. 
Posted on 11/1/15 at 5:06 pm to joshnorris14
quote:Don't kid yourself. This is a subforum on the primary LSU Message Board. This IS an LSU board.
This isn't an LSU site
eta - The line is the publics opinion of the game - not the casinos. The public will change the line with their bets on either side of the line. LSU bets lower the line. Alabama bets increase the line. Right now about 55% of the bettors are favoring LSU but that evened out about noon today and has been 50% LSU and 50% Alabama since the line dropped to LSU -5.5
This post was edited on 11/1/15 at 5:12 pm
Posted on 11/1/15 at 5:08 pm to IAmReality
I really dont see this line dropping very much if any. Vegas wants equal action on both sides and i think they will get that at -7.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 5:29 pm to Howyouluhdat
quote:
Harris has hit on 3rd downs all year.
Harris has had some of his biggest plays on 3rd down but his lowest completion rates for the season actually seem to be on 3rd down as well.
Not saying they are bad but the lowest for all three downs is 3rd for him. Harris also went down 5% in completions from September to October as well as his completion rate on the road is lower then at home.
Posted on 11/1/15 at 5:35 pm to jbond
Who exactly is saying that y'all shouldn't have beaten ole miss and what does that has to do with my post? Take your insecurity elsewhere gump
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