Favorite team:LSU 
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Number of Posts:2046
Registered on:8/27/2011
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Arky whipped the dogshit out of LSU for two years in a row. That happened because the players didn't care to win the game? What the frick are LSU fans paying for? Your guys quit the game before it even starts!
Yea, they did. Pisses me off but it's pretty obvious if you look at the lack of effort and intensity starting in the first quarter. Sometimes teams show up flat, LSU has done that 2 years in a row vs Arkansas for a lot of reasons
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This year, Arky is re-building
Rebuilding what? Their 7-5 team from last year? Arkansas sucks, period. LSU has been better than them and lost. You're blinded by your hate of LSU if you can't see that
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I'm not going to do research for you because you are ignorant in sports betting. Many of the people who help set the lines for games were former gamblers that had a lot of success. Like I said before, it is not easy and many fail but it is entirely possible.
Ok, I really don't care to debate this anymore. Admittedly, I don't know shite about sports betting but I know that Vegas makes an absolute killing every year which implies that the odds are at or below 50% and they bank off of a LOT of people thinking that they can predict what's going to happen in a certain year by looking at what happened in 2014. The entire reason that I brought the gambler's fallacy into it was because people were repeatedly saying that past events are a good indicator of future success even if coaches, players, and a bunch of other shite changes, and I have morons like RB10 who clearly has a gambling problem trying to correct me when saying that "LSU is going to lose because they lost the past two years" is the literal definition of reverse gambler's fallacy.
And again, you're acting like I'm talking about the sporting event itself and not the prediction that we're making
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You can't really be this delusional, right?
What were our records in both years? And as a side question: was ULM a better team than Alabama in 2007 (?) when they beat Alabama?
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As he keeps saying, all sports are 50/50 regardless of any kind of stats, location, injuries, coaching, matchups, etc. All just blind luck.
I have never said this once. You do understand that a baseball game and betting on baseball are completely different entities that have absolutely nothing to do with each other right? We're talking about betting and predicting the outcome of the game in this thread. Can you get that through your stupid fricking thick skull?
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You realize that some people make their living off of sports betting
Who? The guys who rob you blind by claiming that they win big consistently and sell you their betting systems? I've never heard of a single person winning money in sports betting and I know of a ton of people who have completely ruined their lives and lost their families over it
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proven you wrong
About what? Claiming that it's possible to predict the future by looking at past results? That's false, whether you and your gambling problem friends agree with me or not
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You do understand that when betting sports, you can make money by betting FOR the team that loses, correct?
No, you can't. You can't consistently make money in absolutely any way by betting on sports other than blind luck or parlaying and getting extremely lucky. If you can then please write a book and make yourself a millionaire
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You're the only one in here talking about coin flips. Betting sports is not a coin flip.
What does that have to do with what I said?
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Betting sports is not a coin flip
If there was absolutely any way to make your odds better than 50% then people would consistently win. They don't. Is that hard to grasp for you or do I need to give you the number of a gambling problem hotline?
So now I'm saying that I can predict what happens in sporting events? Holy shite you people are great
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Bro, you have been responding directly to me for well over 15 posts and an hour
I've been responding to multiple people and you think they're all to you or all indirectly replying to you, they're not. There was a string of 5 posts where you took completely independent discussions I was having and applied it to our argument
Aside from your queer little snarky comments, why are you still in this discussion? You've added nothing of substance since I tried to ask you to clarify what you were arguing and got no response. I get it, you have a low IQ and you took whatever your tiny brain believed I was saying and ran with it, that's not my problem
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going against the hot team because the "have to lose eventually" is what's considered the fallacy.
No it's not. It goes both ways, and you're an idiot for repeatedly trying to cover your arse by acting like it's not
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They love when people, like this moron, look at betting sports as anything close to 50/50 odds.
It is 50/50 odds. It's perfectly 50/50 and Vegas makes sure of that so there's no way to consistently win. The fact that you'd even imply that it isn't 50/50 shows just how fricking stupid you are :lol:
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in the real world, every game/play has odds of success based on 1,000 different factors
I know this. And those factors are nonexistent and impossible to predict at this point in time. Ya'll are acting like I'm dumb because I'm choosing to disregard a bunch of random speculation that's impossible to validate being thrown around.
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Vegas makes it's money off of irrational people like you.
No it doesn't, because I don't bet on sports. I'm willing to bet that more than a few people who are trying to explain to me that there are all of these methods to predict winners DO like to bet on sports though, and I'm willing to bet that they're down in their lifetimes.
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purest form of a gambler's fallacy is a person incorrectly interpreting results as proof that there is a difference in the chance of success.
Is this not what several people have been saying? Not saying you, but other people, specifically that Arkansas fan that was dumb enough t think I'm fricked up 75% of the time. You're dragging the things I'm saying to other people and acting like I'm targeting you. I'm not, I understand what you're saying but you're replying to me when I'm not talking to you and it muddied up the conversation to the point that it was completely blown apart
Again, you're dumb enough to think that past game results are a good indicator of future results so your opinion of me is completely irrelevant. Just because 5 morons are arguing with me and telling me that I got owned doesn't mean that ya'll are right
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it is not a game of chance
And for the 10000000th time, it isn't a game of chance WHEN THE GAME IS HAPPENING. That doesn't matter because betting on sports I.E. predicting what's going to happen is a game of chance and at the time that you put your bet down there's an either/or chance of LSU or Arkansas winning. And it doesn't have to be 50/50 you fricking tard, it just has to include two options I.E. LSU winning or Arkansas winning. Just like you can succumb to the gambler's fallacy when you're playing roulette even though it's not a 50/50 game. You can assume that if 26 hits 4 times in a row that it's going to happen again because its "hot" and that's gambler's fallacy. Do you understand that?
Ok, I'm mad that a bunch of idiots are agreeing with each other over the fact that they don't understand what they're talking about. Don't really care. Not sure why everybody on tigerdroppings thinks being mad is an insult
Ho Lee shite. I already clarified that there's a reverse to that fallacy. Google it dipshit. Gambler's fallacy also includes the thought process that tails is more likely to hit on the 100th flip because it hit 99 times before that. That's the part of it that I was referring to. Now suck my dick and get the frick out of this thread with your pathetic 12,000 post no life arse
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1. You're the mad one, re-read your posts compared to ours
Not really, I'm actually perfectly fine
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2. Everyone else is also on our side and agrees that you're being an idiot
Ever heard of the term "circlejerk"? It's a legitimate internet phenomenon where a bunch of retards start agreeing with each other after one person starts. Everything that I was "wrong about" was taken completely out of context or people added things to my sentences that I never even said
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3. You don't even know what you said 20 minutes prior and must be drunk/high/dumb as shite based on you not even recalling the points you made in previous posts.
Ok fig, we get it, you hate drugs and alcohol, but I was trolling TexAg's bitch arse in that post. I've never done a narcotic in my life nor have I even thought about posting here when I'm drinking
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You argued that you didn't even say past results weren't real
No, I never said that they weren't real. I'm sorry that you're an idiot and interpreted it that way. I said that past events which are frozen in history and no longer dynamic aren't a good indicator of future success in comparison to things like physical talent of living, breathing, walking, thinking humans who are currently on a team. You can twist my words all you want, it doesn't make it true and it doesn't make your retarded arse right. You keep repeating things that I've clarified repeatedly and some of which I never even implied, are you that desperate to be right?
Oh look, it's the guy who tried to call me out on the gambler's fallacy even though he didn't know what it was then acted like a little butthurt bitch when I told him that it included the reverse :lol:
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Vegas would not exist if there was. Like, do you seriously believe that past events in sports affect what happens in future games? If they did, everyone would make an absolute shite ton of money by betting on sports. There are entirely too many moving parts in sports to use last year as an argument of what's going to happen this year.
This was what SummerOfGeorge interpreted as me calling football a "coin flip". I'm sorry that ya'll are complete idiots. The coin flip quote came directly after I said this. Nothing that I said was wrong and I said that BETTING ON AN SEC FOOTBALL GAME AND PREDICTING ITS OUTCOME is basically a coin flip, which it is. I never said that the actual football game is a "cpin flip" but ya'll keep running with it, ya'll are all so mad that there's no rational reason to believe that Arkansas is going to beat LSU next year :lol:
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So now we are going to judge teams and players totally based on their gym stats?
The NFL combine evaluates players almost the exact same way that 247 does :lol: so yea, pretty much. That's why Rashard Robinson is going to be a high draft pick after not even having a real college career so far
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You should alert the NFL guys that film is no longer a necessary tool for football evaluation. The entire draft will now be based on the combine
It pretty much is. If someone is physically talented enough the NFL will completely ignore their weak stats and draft them anyway