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re: Auburn recruiting, circling the drain?

Posted on 7/9/25 at 4:23 pm to
Posted by Chris_topher
Member since Sep 2012
8069 posts
Posted on 7/9/25 at 4:23 pm to
Is Auburn planning to invest all its funds in the portal? Just guessing
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
74497 posts
Posted on 7/9/25 at 4:26 pm to
tell me this is a parody account
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
92785 posts
Posted on 7/9/25 at 8:13 pm to
No. Although frustrating, Auburn recruiting will be fine. They’ll sign a smaller class than usual, and I’m frustrated with what they’re doing right now, but they’ll be fine.
Posted by captdalton
Member since Feb 2021
21992 posts
Posted on 7/9/25 at 10:22 pm to
quote:

Is Auburn planning to invest all its funds in the portal? Just guessing


Nah, Hugh is investing that money in the local “nail salon”. He has checked out and looking at his buyout.
Posted by Marktastic86
Pismo Beach, CA
Member since Dec 2020
22133 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 12:46 am to
quote:

He has checked out and looking at his buyout.

Becoming an Auburn HC for 3 years appears to be a very lucrative early retirement strategy for coaches that clearly don't give a frick any more.
Posted by SECSolomonGrundy
Slaughter Swamp
Member since Jun 2012
18233 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 3:13 am to
quote:

they'll be fine.


The bar is so low these days. Does it even matter what they do in recruiting?
Posted by TrueLefty
St. Louis County
Member since Oct 2017
18605 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 4:59 am to
quote:

No. Although frustrating, Auburn recruiting will be fine. They’ll sign a smaller class than usual, and I’m frustrated with what they’re doing right now, but they’ll be fine.

Will that matter if Auburn goes 6-6 this coming season?
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5908 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 5:23 am to
quote:

They’ll sign a smaller class than usual


With rev share I don’t think it’s possible to sustain a competitive roster with small classes in this era

Paying a low 4* / high 3* depth player out of high school probably costs low 5 figures. Their portal value is minimal without proven production, so they stay and develop into contributors

If you don’t have those depth guys you are going to need to consistently go overpay in the portal to round out the roster
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
17202 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 5:47 am to
quote:

Paying a low 4* / high 3* depth player out of high school probably costs low 5 figures. Their portal value is minimal without proven production, so they stay and develop into contributors

If you don’t have those depth guys you are going to need to consistently go overpay in the portal to round out the roster


Elite recruiting is always King. But there seems to be a shift to the 3-star model you speak about. Georgia is still trying to get the 5 stars, but also has 8 - 3 stars, last I checked. BAMA is doing much the same. Keeping and developing talent may well be the more advantageous strategy going forward.
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5908 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 5:57 am to
quote:

Elite recruiting is always King


Top programs have always recruited some 3*s, and teams still need to have a good number of 5* / high 4* to compete for a title.

But with 85 roster spots, and having to pay all of those guys, its just not possible if you dont have a good chunk of your roster being affordable. Top players are making $3m+ a year now. Good players cost $1m+

Months back I read that even OL guys expected to be swing tackles, not starters, were getting paid as much as $500k in the portal. I would rather have a high 3* sit on the bench for 2-3 years than that. Team consistency doesnt hurt
This post was edited on 7/10/25 at 5:58 am
Posted by bamameister
Right here, right now
Member since May 2016
17202 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 6:15 am to
quote:

Top programs have always recruited some 3*s, and teams still need to have a good number of 5* / high 4* to compete for a title.


It's the percentage points of super teams in their recruiting numbers that are changing a little. BAMA and Georgia stack 4 stars behind those 5 stars unlike most good recruiting teams in the SEC. They also have been losing a lot of depth in the transfer portal era for those 4 star specific reasons. More subtle at this point that science I would think, but redefining rosters are happening because of the upcoming cap. For everyone.

quote:

But with 85 roster spots, and having to pay all of those guys, its just not possible if you dont have a good chunk of your roster being affordable. Top players are making $3m+ a year now. Good players cost $1m+



Thing is, 85 is no longer the number. I believe it's 105 limit with no walk-ons added. I have no idea why anyone with a limited salary cap would entertain those high-end numbers, but some might. I'd rather have less than 85 and pay my best core players. For me, that number could be more like 70-75. Coaches and GMs will have to figure it out.

quote:

Months back I read that even OL guys expected to be swing tackles, not starters, were getting paid as much as $500k in the portal. I would rather have a high 3* sit on the bench for 2-3 years than that. Team consistency doesnt hurt


Teams can still frontload talent this spring, some did and others didn't. I do look for massive bidding numbers to change dramatically going forward.
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5908 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 6:29 am to
quote:

Thing is, 85 is no longer the number


Its still 85 (scholarships) for this season, its expected to allow up to 105 in future seasons - but every player beyond 85 would be required to get full scholarship in the future.

With ADs having to splurge on revenue share Im not sure how they could take on the extra cost. Tuition/Board/Training/Food likely adds up to over $100k in cost per scholarship
This post was edited on 7/10/25 at 6:30 am
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
92785 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 8:32 am to
quote:

The bar is so low these days. Does it even matter what they do in recruiting?
the Rev Share movement has made HS recruiting much more important than transfer portal recruiting, so yes

having buyouts on player contracts is a big deal and I think it will help all schools have a more sustainable roster to develop
Posted by TTsTowel
RIP Bow9den/Coastie
Member since Feb 2010
92785 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 8:35 am to
quote:

With rev share I don’t think it’s possible to sustain a competitive roster with small classes in this era
the smaller class is due to the numbers they’ve taken in Freeze’s first 3 classes

they likely won’t take many through the portal, either
Posted by NWLA_Bama
Member since Aug 2024
1582 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 8:45 am to
It is WAAAAAAAAY too early to be calling anyone's 2026 recruiting class a bust or "drain buster". They'll end up doing just fine and will probably have a top 20 to top 15 class.
Posted by CharlotteSooner
Member since Mar 2016
14257 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Elite recruiting is always King. But there seems to be a shift to the 3-star model you speak about. Georgia is still trying to get the 5 stars, but also has 8 - 3 stars, last I checked. BAMA is doing much the same. Keeping and developing talent may well be the more advantageous strategy going forward.


This is what our front office is already doing. Identifying those guys that are 87,88,89 three star players with NFL measurables that normally end up blowing up at a smaller school somewhere else.
In other words, the guys you already see in the portal every year who want to play at bigger schools.
Posted by volinktown
Member since Apr 2017
1096 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 9:11 am to
money from yellowwood dried up. Just wait for another housing boom
Posted by 14&Counting
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2012
41863 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 9:21 am to
quote:

No. Although frustrating, Auburn recruiting will be fine. They’ll sign a smaller class than usual, and I’m frustrated with what they’re doing right now, but they’ll be fine.


Posted by Fearless and True
N Carolina
Member since Aug 2022
1704 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 10:14 am to
Will you care if Mizzwho goes 4-8 this year?
Posted by wartiger2004
9X National Champions WDE RIP CK
Member since Aug 2011
20138 posts
Posted on 7/10/25 at 10:20 am to
Could have a number one class and still lack the coaching to win see aTm for proof of that.
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