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re: 538 gives LSU only a 17 percent change of making playoffs if LSU loses to UGA

Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:18 am to
Posted by HurricaneTiger
Coral Gables, FL
Member since Jan 2014
3028 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:18 am to
It also had us as a 35% chance to beat Bama.
Posted by Harry Morgan
Member since Sep 2019
9193 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:20 am to
ACC is a joke. Clemson had an easier schedule than bama.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
95214 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:21 am to
LSU is in no matter what
Posted by demtigers73
Coastal Club
Member since Aug 2014
5528 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:21 am to
quote:

You are delusional if you think you are getting in


FIFY!
Posted by SXV
Member since Feb 2016
1679 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:22 am to
I think LSU is in regardless.
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:22 am to
Still holding out hope I see
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6--Brazos River Backwater
Member since Sep 2015
26179 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:24 am to
quote:

uga probably is going to run all over that defense

And the Great Pumpkin is going to appear in my backyard tonight
Posted by misey94
Hernando, MS
Member since Jan 2007
23327 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:28 am to
quote:

LSU and UGA are in a win and in game... LSU has not licked up a spot... you will have to earn it.. OU and Baylor both with one loss playing next week eliminated you getting in without a championship.. You are delusional if you think you are getting in with a loss.


If Oklahoma wins, you may have a point. Besides that, I think you’re wrong. If Baylor wins, they aren’t getting in based on that one game. There is a strong liklehood that Utah loses to Oregon, which would remove them. Even with a win over a two loss Oregon, Utah would have an even weaker resume than Baylor.

The constant drumbeat from the media has been about how strong LSU’s schedule has been this year and the body of work. This committee is swayed by media sentiment and “eye tests.” If we lost a close, well played game to number 4, I would bet money we’re still in.

It’s a great argument for a future 6-8 team field. That would make all this splitting of hairs unnecessary.
This post was edited on 12/1/19 at 10:29 am
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:28 am to
quote:

OU and Baylor

You really think either of these or Utah gets in over a 1 loss LSU...which was to them #3 UGA?

Come on now
Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10322 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:28 am to
quote:

if LSU loses to UGA


The same UGA that squeaked out a 6 point win at home last week against the A&M team we just whipped by 43 points?
Posted by EXPLAYER
Member since Jul 2017
10786 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:50 am to
And Clemson 0% if they lose sad ACC championship game. Am I right?
Posted by Sponge
Member since Nov 2018
3767 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 10:55 am to
Posted by DawgsLife
Member since Jun 2013
58915 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:09 am to
quote:

and only 13 percent chance if both OSU and Clemson win their conference.

LINK

wow




Seems Ohio State is the favorite to win it all.

Wow.

I just knew since you are using this as the gospel truth that it would have Clemson winning it all....but nope.
How reliable do you think 538 is?
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:15 am to
quote:


538 gives LSU only a 17 percent change of making playoffs if LSU loses to UGA


We will never know if this is correct or not.
Posted by LSUNV
In the woods or on the water
Member since Feb 2011
22422 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:24 am to
Is that a yankee magazine?
Posted by Fats
Member since Nov 2012
3316 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:51 am to
LSU is in unless UGA blows them out
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
12179 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:53 am to
Same team that beat A&M by 6???? Umm ok
Posted by Cocotheape
Member since Aug 2015
3782 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:54 am to
538 had Hillary 70/30 on the day of the election. Seems reasonable given the polls at the time.

Their model seems to be flawed in this case
Posted by misey94
Hernando, MS
Member since Jan 2007
23327 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 11:57 am to
quote:

LSU is in unless UGA blows them out


UGA is capable of beating LSU, but you would have to break Joe in half to have a prayer of a blowout.
Posted by Tillman
Member since May 2016
12363 posts
Posted on 12/1/19 at 12:00 pm to
how many teams in this country have played two P5 teams out of conference and beat both of them

and both of these teams are the SEC which you say is the best.

i don't see how you can say texas am was better than most acc teams that Clemson has faced. based on what
This post was edited on 12/1/19 at 12:03 pm
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