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2020 early preseason SP+ ranking according to this ESPN analyst

Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:18 am
Posted by John Milner
Member since Jan 2015
6487 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:18 am
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1. Alabama 30.9 46.1 (1) 15.2 (8)
2. Ohio St. 29.7 44.2 (3) 14.5 (5)
3. Clemson 27.0 43.4 (4) 16.4 (13)
4. Georgia 25.8 32.3 (33) 6.4 (1)
5. Penn St. 23.8 39.0 (11) 15.3 (11)
6. LSU 23.4 41.9 (5) 18.6 (23)
7. Florida 23.1 37.6 (12) 14.5 (6)
8. Oklahoma 22.6 44.9 (2) 22.3 (36)
9. Wisconsin 21.6 36.0 (17) 14.3 (4)
10. Texas A&M 20.5 37.0 (15) 16.5 (15)
11. Auburn 20.3 34.5 (21) 14.2 (3)
12. Notre Dame 18.5 37.6 (13) 19.1 (24)
13. Oregon 18.1 29.8 (51) 11.8 (2)
14. Texas 17.0 40.3 (7) 23.3 (42)
15. USC 16.1 39.6 (9) 23.6 (43)
16. Michigan 16.1 32.4 (31) 16.4 (14)
17. N. Carolina 16.0 39.7 (8) 23.7 (44)
18. UCF 14.8 34.1 (26) 19.3 (26)
19. Tennessee 14.7 29.5 (56) 14.8 (7)
20. Minnesota 13.9 40.8 (6) 26.9 (58)
21. Oklahoma St. 12.9 35.5 (18) 22.6 (38)
22. Memphis 12.8 36.7 (16) 24.0 (46)
23. Miami 12.6 27.9 (63) 15.2 (9)
24. Washington 12.6 27.9 (62) 15.2 (10)
25. Nebraska 12.5 39.2 (10) 26.7 (55)
This post was edited on 2/14/20 at 8:19 am
Posted by Mad Dawg 2020
Member since Jun 2017
731 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:21 am to
I try not to put too much stock in these, but the difference between the UGA defense at 6.4 (1) and Oregon at 11.8 (2) seems massive... makes me wish the season could come quicker
Posted by BobLeeDagger
In Your Head
Member since May 2016
6919 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

15. USC 16.1 39.6 (9) 23.6 (43)


quote:

25. Nebraska 12.5 39.2 (10) 26.7 (55)



This post was edited on 2/14/20 at 8:23 am
Posted by BhamBlazeDog
Birmingham
Member since Aug 2018
3767 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:23 am to
Every. Damn. Year.
Posted by TarnishedWisdom90
Daphne, AL
Member since Sep 2018
1220 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:24 am to
I believe UGA Defense should be filthy this year... I just hope our offense can turn a corner
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:31 am to
USC returns a large chunk of their offense and most all of their defense from a team that went 8-5.

Nebraska literally returns their entire offense - like 99% of their production at all positions from a 5-7 team that lost 4 games by 1 possession or less.
This post was edited on 2/14/20 at 8:35 am
Posted by BobLeeDagger
In Your Head
Member since May 2016
6919 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Nebraska literally returns their entire offense - like 99% of their production at all positions.



From a 5-7 team...
This post was edited on 2/14/20 at 8:33 am
Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
65136 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:34 am to
Early preseason champs


PTS
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
30302 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:34 am to
Wow.....huge drop off from LSU going to the best team of all time to “only” being sixth after losing 16 men.


I thought you boys said the coaching:talent drain was just too much to keep them in the top 15.

Looks like Ed is a good coach and it’s hard to admit.
This post was edited on 2/14/20 at 8:35 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:35 am to
quote:

From a 5-7 team...



That lost 4 games by 7 or less and play in one of the weakest P5 divisions in college football.........and is ranked #25, not #10.

#25 teams typically go 8-5, so this is basically saying they improve by 2-3 wins. Seems pretty reasonable.
This post was edited on 2/14/20 at 8:37 am
Posted by Rabern57
Alabama
Member since Jan 2010
13363 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:39 am to
quote:

I thought you boys said the coaching:talent drain was just too much to keep them in the top 15.

Because preseason rankings are how teams end up ranked at the end of the next season. Most NC start the next season at #1. That tells you they aren't as sold on LSU as LSU fans are.
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35930 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:44 am to
Here is last years preseason SP+ Ranking:
1. A1abana
2. Georgia
3. Clemson
4. LSU
5. Oklahoma
6. Florida
7. Ohio State
8. Auburn
9. Michigan
10. Mississippi State

Posted by 00 Tech Grad
My homestead, AL
Member since Nov 2009
10720 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:45 am to
quote:

Most NC start the next season at #1.


Not true, this is recency bias.

quote:

That tells you they aren't as sold on LSU as LSU fans are.


Losing Joe Burrow and not having a proven replacement is enough to not give them preseason #1. I don’t see any LSU fans expecting LSU to come out #1. A lot still has to be proven.
Posted by Crimsontide1713
Member since Dec 2019
2627 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:45 am to
Obviously that was before we lost Moses and Tua for the season...
Posted by John Milner
Member since Jan 2015
6487 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:47 am to
quote:

WilliamTaylor21


for your edification, Conelly explains why A1abama ranks #1

The SP+ rankings are based on three primary factors: returning production, recent recruiting and recent history. With several key juniors electing to return to Tuscaloosa for another season and another stellar recruiting class signed, it’s easy to see why the Crimson Tide is No. 1.

But Connelly admits he was a bit surprised to see Alabama top his initial rankings.

“I was expecting Ohio State and Clemson as the top two teams here, and you probably were, too,” Connelly writes. “But the injury that defined Bama's 2019 season helped boost its 2020 odds. Losing quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to injury for four late games meant that backup Mac Jones got an extended audition in the starting role, and he looked mostly great. He produced a better passer rating against Auburn than LSU's Joe Burrow and a better rating against Michigan than Ohio State's Justin Fields.”

The Crimson Tide’s 2020 offense is ranked No. 1 in the nation, according to ESPN, while its defense comes in at No. 8. Alabama will return seven offensive starters, including four offensive linemen, and five starters on defense, plus veteran linebacker Dylan Moses.

Combine that with the country’s No. 2 signing class for the 2020 recruiting cycle, according to the 247Sports Composite, and nine straight 11-win seasons, and UA is in good shape for the upcoming football season, despite losing six underclassmen to the 2020 NFL Draft.

“Because the Tide return Jones' 1,503 passing yards (plus 100 more from Taulia Tagovailoa) -- not to mention the contributions of receivers DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle, running back Najee Harris, most of the offensive line, and most of the defensive front seven -- they boast a better returning production ranking (88th) than Ohio State (93rd), Clemson (96th), LSU (127th), etc.,” Connelly writes.

“That, combined with consistently elite recruiting and performance (the Tide haven't finished lower than third in SP+ since 2008), pushed Bama to the top. Disagree if you want, but allow this to be a reminder that Nick Saban's run of greatness in Tuscaloosa probably isn't over.”

Alabama is one of seven SEC teams ranked among the SP+ top 25, along with No. 4 Georgia, No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Florida, No. 10 Texas A&M, No. 11 Auburn and No. 19 Tennessee.

LINK
Posted by 00 Tech Grad
My homestead, AL
Member since Nov 2009
10720 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:47 am to
quote:

we lost Moses


Yes

quote:

and Tua for the season...


Ummm...
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:48 am to
quote:

Alabama is one of seven SEC teams ranked among the SP+ top 25, along with No. 4 Georgia, No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Florida, No. 10 Texas A&M, No. 11 Auburn and No. 19 Tennessee.


Alabama has to play 2 of the 3 ranked teams from the East?

Wow, screwed again!
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35930 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Obviously that was before we lost Moses and Tua for the season...
Oh boy... never change A1abana fans.
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
30302 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:53 am to
Does Alabama claim preseason national championships too? If so, let’s add another page to that media guide.
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
30302 posts
Posted on 2/14/20 at 8:54 am to

Tua WAS physically healthy. Just not emotionally.

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