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re: 2018 SEC runningback unit rankings per SEC Country

Posted on 2/2/18 at 12:48 pm to
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25876 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Do you understand that having the aggregate #4, #2, #8, #9 and #6 class in a 5 year span can win you a NC?

No one has argued otherwise. What we're saying is that having #1 classes makes a NC more likely than if you didn't have those.
quote:

It is if you think coaching doesn't matter which is laughable.

No one has said coaching doesn't matter.
quote:

This #1 class stuff only has applied to Alabama

No it isn't. Alabama is just the current example.
Posted by Jake_LaMotta
Coral Gables
Member since Sep 2017
5700 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

What we're saying is that having #1 classes makes a NC more likely than if you didn't have those.


You don't have to have a #1 recruiting class to compete for or win NC's. What you do have to have is continual top 10 classes.

There is more to college football than just 'recruiting'. How do I know this? All those Georgia players that are in the NFL over the last 25 to 30 years that you all wasted.
Posted by Crowknowsbest
Member since May 2012
25876 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

You don't have to have a #1 recruiting class to compete for or win NC's.

Again, no one has said this.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 12:55 pm to
Selective quoting... rather than actually respond to all of the things that rebut any point that you thought you made, you elect to ignore it. Congrats on being a functional retard that at least knows when he's been bested.

quote:

Do you understand that having the aggregate #4, #2, #8, #9 and #6 class in a 5 year span can win you a NC? They don't have to be all top 5 or #1. It is if you think coaching doesn't matter which is laughable.

Can? Sure. Again... literally no one claimed that "all top 5 or top 1" was what we were talking about. The "laughable" part is that you're attempting to backpedal into that, rather than owning that there is a big fricking difference between the #10 class and the #1 class... and in many years, the difference between the #1 class and #5 class is pretty steep as well.

Solid job introducing *another* strawman argument around "coaching doesn't matter" as well.

Stick to trolling... you're out of your fricking depth if you want to try and have a logical debate with me. I take shits with more brain cells than you've got rattling together up there.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

What you do have to have is continual top 10 classes.


Who are all the coaches with national championships that had classes continually ranked between 5 and 10? Keep in mind that recruiting rankings are a reasonably modern phenomena... It sounds like you've got a large sample size to pull from to make this claim.

quote:

There is more to college football than just 'recruiting'.

Sure... but it doesn't mean that recruiting isn't a high fricking priority on the list of things to do to go win at a high level. If you think it's not, you don't understand Saban's process very well...

quote:

All those Georgia players that are in the NFL over the last 25 to 30 years that you all wasted.

"Wasted" - averaging 10+ wins over a 15 year period with Richt... Winning the SEC multiple times... The idea that if you don't win a national championship you've somehow "wasted" talent, only exists in the minds of childish internet posters. The rest of us realize that you can be a very good team and not win a national championship. Auburn went undefeated in 2004 and didn't win a championship... If you want to critique Goff or Donnan, or late Dooley... go for it. Dooley still had good seasons after 1980. Goff and Donnan just ended up being bad hires. It's not like Alabama hasn't had bad hires.



Tell you what... Let's make it easy for you.

Please point to the season where UGA specifically did not make the national championship game while having the more talented team in every matchup that they played...
Posted by Jake_LaMotta
Coral Gables
Member since Sep 2017
5700 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

"Wasted" - averaging 10+ wins over a 15 year period with Richt


Yes. Wasted. You won very few big games under Richt and were often blown out in them

You had a ton of talent as evidenced by the NFL. Nobody in college football has wasted as much talent as Georgia the last 30 years. It is like a running joke at this point. 1980 was forever ago. That isn't going to change. You can keep pumping yourself up for having a #1 class but it won't change anything. Georgia playing for a NC is an anomaly and 2017 was literally a once in a lifetime/generation event for a huge portion of your fan base. And you blew it to a backup QB surrounded by a bunch of True Freshman. You won't be back anytime soon.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

Yes. Wasted. You won very few big games under Richt and were often blown out in them

You had a ton of talent as evidenced by the NFL. Nobody in college football has wasted as much talent as Georgia the last 30 years. It is like a running joke at this point. 1980 was forever ago. That isn't going to change. You can keep pumping yourself up for having a #1 class but it won't change anything. Georgia playing for a NC is an anomaly and 2017 was literally a once in a lifetime/generation event for a huge portion of your fan base. And you blew it to a backup QB surrounded by a bunch of True Freshman. You won't be back anytime soon.

Try again... this time try to stick to the conversation and answer the question that was asked.

Simple question... simple answer.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42509 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:28 pm to
UGA returning RB stats (career):
Swift: 81 car, 618 yds, 7.6 ypc, 3 TD
Holyfield: 56 car, 322 yds, 5.8 ypc, 2 TD
Herrien: 124 car, 628 yds, 5.3 ypc, 4 TD

total: 261 yds, 1,568 yds, 6.0 ypc, 9 TD

UF returning RB stats (career):
Scarlett: 210 car, 1070 yds, 5.0 ypc, 7 TD
Davis: 79 car, 526 yds, 6.7 ypc, 2 TD
Perine: 227 car, 987 yds, 4.3 ypc, 9 TD

total: 516 car, 2.583 yds, 5.0 ypc, 18 TD

So overall, your RBs have played more, but at the same time ours have a full YPC better on average. You're bringing in a solid RB (#8 in 2018 class) who almost averaged 9.5 ypc in 4A Ga HS fb, and we're bringing in a solid RB (#1 in 2018 class, but coming off ACL surgery) who averaged over 14 yards a carry in 4A NC HS fb. We're also bringing in the #5 ranked RB.

I can kind of understand why you might think yours are better, but I don't think them playing more necessarily means they're better. I think most people who didn't have a dog in the fight would definitely take our RBs over y'alls.


Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42509 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Davis have proven themselves, not just assumed.


This is my favorite. Davis has proven himself despite getting fewer carries than Swift last year.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

This is my favorite. Davis has proven himself despite getting fewer carries than Swift last year.


I couldn't pick a favorite there was so much derp in there... but this one was up there.
Posted by craigbiggio
Member since Dec 2009
31805 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:37 pm to
quote:

3) Florida



lol
Posted by Jake_LaMotta
Coral Gables
Member since Sep 2017
5700 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Try again... this time try to stick to the conversation and answer the question that was asked.


Done this multiple times and you keep answering my own statement with the same exact statement I am making. Lets forget Richt for a second. Are you aware of the talent that Goff and Donnan wasted? It is like you aren't even a Georgia fan. The guys you have squandered since even 1990 to now is ridiculous.

Richt was as good of a job as a Georgia coach can do. He won 2 SEC Championships and was able to finish #2 in the nation. Other than 1980 that is as good as it gets for you. That is just a sad and bitter reality. Kirby hasn't done anything the guy you fired didn't do. With that choke job in the National Championship game Kirby reminded me of Goff and Donnan.
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
42509 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 2:53 pm to
I'm trying to decide if you're related to Mark Richt, or if you're from Georgia and then got denied from UGA and Auburn so you ended up at Bama.

Look, Bama is the best program in the history of college football. Does that make you feel validated? No one is arguing that. But to say that recruiting ranking doesn't really matter is just so incredibly stupid. There's a reason that Bama started winning when bringing in top 3 classes when Saban got there. He's obviously an incredible coach, but even he can't win with a bunch of crap players (see: year 1 at Bama, and time in NFL).
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Done this multiple times and you keep answering my own statement with the same exact statement I am making.

False. You said... which I have now quoted for you multiple times...

That there is no difference between the #1, #5, or #10 ranked recruiting class. It's categorically false, which I've demonstrated to you any number of ways.

I've also stated that *outside of Clemson*, every team to win a national championship in the last decade has had *at least* one class rated in the top 5 by at least one service. Most in the top 3, and many with *more than one* such class.

I've asked you for the following:

What head coaches have won national championships in the modern era... let's say since 2000 since recruiting rankings before that were fuzzy at best... with zero top 5 classes and instead only averaging top 10.

Secondarily... if you want to say that UGA has "wasted" all this talent, point to all the seasons where UGA did not win the national championship since 1980 and we had the more talented roster in every scenario. In your esteemed opinion, we have been so *loaded* with talent, that there is simply no conceivable way that we should lose other than poor coaching and wasting said talent... so please point to every season where this is the case.

You can rely on the Goff/Donnan argument if you want, which I've already addressed as poor hires... It's just not terribly germane to the conversation. Alabama, UF, USC, Ohio State, etc... every school makes bad hires at some point... Donnan arguably was an "ok" hire, in that he at least didn't leave the roster fricking barren for Richt when he got here... he just wasn't a very good coach.

quote:

With that choke job in the National Championship game Kirby reminded me of Goff and Donnan.


Saban made a coaching decision that only tGOAT could make... it paid off. Alabama was the beneficiary of some lopsided officiating and our staff tightened up... Going to OT with Alabama and losing doesn't equate to a "choke job"... Particularly when Alabama has the more talented roster *in spite* of the injuries. You can rewrite history all you want though bud... have at it.
Posted by Jake_LaMotta
Coral Gables
Member since Sep 2017
5700 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

But to say that recruiting ranking doesn't really matter is just so incredibly stupid.


Never said this. Top 10 classes matter. Additionally, there is very little difference between the #1, #5, and #10 classes. That is what I have said. For example, I will take a #8 Nick Saban coached and developed recruiting class over a Mark Richt, Kirby, Jimbo Fisher, Dabo, etc #1 or #2 class. It is that simple. Some kids that are rated 5* recruits end up really being 3*'s. Some 3*'s end up really being 5*'s. It isn't an absolute or definitive system. What I just explained to you is how the #1 class isn't much different than the #10 class. There are hits and misses. Everyone rated a 5* doesn't actually end up being a 5* player. Can you understand this? There is a margin of error involved. Then you factor in kids who transfer out, quit, or get kicked off. It makes a huge difference.

You realize most of the guys that rank these kids never played football let alone any sports. Ever. Not even little league.
Posted by Bamainva40
Member since Nov 2017
1677 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 3:02 pm to
I apologize for this guy ....Every sensible Bama fan knows Kirby has brought a new attitude to Georgia. I wasn't convinced until the sec championship and rose bowl but know I am convinced that Georgia can sustain success. The difference in the National championship was more about Bama than Georgia choking . Bama had a junior class that was in their 3rd title game, they never panicked and tua have them the spark they needed to hang in and hang in. Kirby has the blue print: recruiting, accountability top to bottom, as well as a good staff and winning football philosophies. Georgia isn't going anywhere and it's good for Bama and keeps Sabans competitive juices going.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

Never said this. Top 10 classes matter. Additionally, there is very little difference between the #1, #5, and #10 classes. That is what I have said. For example, I will take a #8 Nick Saban coached and developed recruiting class over a Mark Richt, Kirby, Jimbo Fisher, Dabo, etc #1 or #2 class. It is that simple. Some kids that are rated 5* recruits end up really being 3*'s. Some 3*'s end up really being 5*'s. It isn't an absolute or definitive system. What I just explained to you is how the #1 class isn't much different than the #10 class. There are hits and misses. Everyone rated a 5* doesn't actually end up being a 5* player. Can you understand this? There is a margin of error involved. Then you factor in kids who transfer out, quit, or get kicked off. It makes a huge difference.


All of the things you just mentioned are exactly why the #1 and #10 classes *are* different.

You have a bigger margin of error if you're signing higher rated classes... it's not about *one* five star or *one* four star athlete panning out or not panning out... it's the totality of the talent that you are bringing in (as well as how much of it you are able to retain). If you average out the busts and surprises... the school pulling in #1, 2, and 3 classes has more room for error than the school pulling in #10, 9, or 8...

Example: Let's ignore Alabama for now

#2 class in 2017: 5 - 5* players, 14 - 4* players, (19 blue chippers) Average player rating of 94.59
#3 class in 2017: 3 - 5* players, 17 - 4* players, (20 blue chippers) Average player rating of 92.27

#9 class in 2017: 1 - 5* player, 10 - 4* player, (11 blue chippers) Average player rating of 89.34
#10 class in 2017: 0 - 5* players, 10 - 4* players, (10 blue chippers) Average player rating of 89.37

You can knock the ratings if you want, but the proof has been in the pudding for a long time... when you average out the data, they are more right than they are wrong... So for a team to be in the top 2, 3 or 5... they are getting nearly 2x the number of high quality athletes than if they're in the bottom of the top 10 in most seasons.


ETA: Also... L.O.L. at taking "a #8 recruiting class with Saban"... First of all, it wouldn't happen at this point... The Bama-bump/Saban-bump is real... not because recruiting sites love Alabama or anything... but because rankings follow offers, not vice versa. If Saban throws out an offer, it's seen as a metric of approval. Look no further than a guy like Christian Barmore... was totally unrated until his offers started piling up. Similarly, for Justin Young, the UT wide receiver pick up... somehow flew under the radar, got the late pick up by Tennessee... now he's a 4*. The ratings are a business, so there is manipulation to keep classes more interesting (see late bumps/decreases for certain schools to keep the conversation more interesting about who ends up with #1, or in top 5/10...), but in a lot of ways they rely on the guys who *do* know football to help them out as well.

Second of all, you're talking about a coach who is arguably (perhaps inarguably at this point) tGOAT. Sure... I'll take a 10th ranked class with Saban and his staff doing the evaluations, development, and coaching over Mark Richt, Dan Mullen, or Ed Oregeron with a #1 ranked class. At this point, there isn't a big enough sample size to say one way or the other who Kirby is as a coach, but it would appear that he learned a lot from his time with Saban. I can tell you I wouldn't do that with Urban Meyer though... Would probably do it with Dabo, but not with a great degree of confidence... even with the results he has had in the past 3 years. Dunno who else you would put up in the conversation for coaches you'd be willing to take sub-par recruiting classes with relative to elite teams. Probably Petersen is the only other one I can think of right now. Scott Frost or Lincoln Riley might get there one day?

In other words, the quality of coach that it takes to make up for a 2x differential in blue chip recruits is pretty substantial. You're better off getting a coach who can get the recruiting part figured out, and hope that any coaching deficiencies can be accounted for with staff augmentation.
This post was edited on 2/2/18 at 4:17 pm
Posted by Open Dore Policy
The Commodore State
Member since Oct 2012
4472 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

13) Vanderbilt


Not last.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 4:06 pm to
Getting back to the original topic at hand...

quote:

Auburn won't be and never has been that low.

Going to be interesting... I think this might be the lowest talent level at the RB position I can recall at Auburn in a while... at least from a perception standpoint. You guys probably know that position group a lot better than the rest of us though.

Does seem like perhaps State and Mizzou maybe a little high, could easily see Auburn bouncing ahead of them, particularly from a production standpoint. More likely to hold the lead in more games - yielding more runs, both will have brand new OCs, and Gus' tendency on offense is to lean on the run whenever possible anyways.
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
22285 posts
Posted on 2/2/18 at 4:47 pm to
The difference between #1 and #10 classes is all the 5 stars. Remove All but 2-3 5 stars and 20% of the 4s off Bama and that’s what a top 10 avg recruited team looks like.
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