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re: -26 is a lot of points for UGA to cover
Posted on 9/22/20 at 10:50 am to TeddyWestside
Posted on 9/22/20 at 10:50 am to TeddyWestside
quote:FIFY
26 is a lot of points for UGA to score
2
Posted on 9/22/20 at 10:53 am to Solo Cam
quote:
26 is a lot of points for UGA to score
FIFY
It's hard for UGA to score 5 points less than they averaged last year?
Posted on 9/22/20 at 10:57 am to Porter Osborne Jr
quote:
It's hard for UGA to score 5 points less than they averaged last year?
I'll be shocked if the Dawgs come in under 35.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 10:58 am to TeddyWestside
quote:
I don't really see our offense coming out of the gates on fire.
With a new offense being installed without spring practice, and what seems like will be a redshirt freshman quarterback who hasn't taken a snap in a college game yet, I can imagine we score a touchdown in the first half but have to settle for a few field goals and take a 13-0 lead into the half.
I tend to agree. I'm thinking the game ends up something like 30-6
Posted on 9/22/20 at 10:59 am to armtackledawg
quote:only reason that I disagree is that the polls will be predicated on style points this year even more than they are in other years because of the conference only format we are being forced to accept
That is absolutely not going to happen. Kirby doesn't do this against coaches he doesn't like. He sure isn't going to do it to Pittman.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:00 am to DuckTalesLOL
quote:
Bringing in an experienced QB in Franks and having one of the best RB's in conference in Boyd will do wonders.
I have no opinion on the spread.
But think about Arkansas and what UGA is going to do defensively.
Do you expect Boyd to have success against the Dawgs defense? Franks? Or both?
Kirby always shuts down one side of the equation. Always. If the talent is lopsided, UGA will be capable of shutting down both.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:01 am to chillmonster
quote:
You gotta have the players at some point.
Yes but I think it was clear to see over the last two years it was more of a coaching issue than a talent issue considering North Texas, Colo St, San Jose St and Western Kentucky didn't have more talent. Doesn't mean its going to improve that much over the course of one off season though.
The defense is probably going to be rough but people really underestimate the talent at the skill positions. The biggest question to me is if Pittman can at least get this Oline average by SEC standards, if he can do that then the offense should be pretty good.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:02 am to Porter Osborne Jr
quote:
quote:
26 is a lot of points for UGA to score
FIFY
It's hard for UGA to score 5 points less than they averaged last year?
UGA averaged 23 ppg against the SEC last year. The question is if Arkansas is an SEC team or an AAC team.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:39 am to meansonny
I would be pretty surprised if Arkansas scores more than 7. I could easily see Georgia getting up by 3 touchdowns and shutting the offense down. The bad thing for Arkansas is that “shutting the offense down, means Georgia will be doing what they do best.
This post was edited on 9/22/20 at 11:41 am
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:42 am to chillmonster
Arkansas gave up in the six games of both years. So the scores are misleading.
The defense will be better.
The defense will be better.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:43 am to TeddyWestside
I think we win by exactly 26 points.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:50 am to Solo Cam
If the defense scores or sets up a short field with a turnover (they'll do both BTW) the Dawgs cover.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 11:59 am to TeddyWestside
I think the only way we do cover is if we shut them out or hold them to 3-7 points, likely, and either score at least once on defense or the staff uses the game as a scrimmage and someone breaks a long one. I think 24-7 or something would be "normal" given the circumstances.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:00 pm to meansonny
quote:
UGA averaged 23 ppg against the SEC last year. The question is if Arkansas is an SEC team or an AAC team
Nope, the question is, "Is Arkansas an average SEC team?"
[ETA for those born yesterday]: The answer is NO.
This post was edited on 9/22/20 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:00 pm to VADawg
quote:
I could see this being similar to the opener vs Vandy last year. Got up early, shut it down, and only scored 30. I would like to see something better than that but with a first time starting QB and the first game under a new OC, it won't look great at times.
No it won't look pretty at times. I think you are spot on...
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:06 pm to TeddyWestside
Double.
This post was edited on 9/22/20 at 12:08 pm
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:07 pm to TeddyWestside
Georgia's o does suck, but not worse than Arkansas. The defense alone could beat that spread don't do it. I put the under on -56 Alabama vs A&M when Sumlin was there and they still covered.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:16 pm to TeddyWestside
I’d bet all big dogs early this season with the exception of fcs opponents. There’s just too much that’s unknown to lay 20+ points against a P5 team.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:21 pm to chillmonster
quote:
Nope, the question is, "Is Arkansas an average SEC team?"
Agree to disagree.
Arkansas has lost 19 SEC games in a row.
Arkansas went 1-2 against the CUSA and Mountain West in 2019.
Arkansas went 1-2 against the AAC, CUSA, and Mountain West in 2018.
It is insulting to the AAC to imply that Arkansas is better than their conference.
Posted on 9/22/20 at 12:49 pm to Porter Osborne Jr
quote:Yeah, it’s an all SEC schedule.
It's hard for UGA to score 5 points less than they averaged last year?
Against Murray State, Arkansas State, Georgia Tech - Georgia averaged 57 points a game
Against LSU, Florida, Auburn, A&blM, South Carolina and Kentucky - Georgia averaged 17 points a game and never went over 26.
Your outliers are 30 vs Vandy, 43 vs Tennessee, 27 vs Missouri
So yeah, statistically speaking- it is a big deal for Georgia to hit 26 points in the SEC. 67% of the time you couldn’t hit it last head and now you have to include the losses at WR, Oline, QB and RB.
Good luck
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