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Whats the science behind 17-3?
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:22 pm
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:22 pm
Its the most commonly blown lead across both college football and the NFL.
This lead has been blown hundreds of times.
Its also among the most common scores seen in the sport, which may also directly cause it to be blown so much.
The seahawks are in very real danger of blowing it right now.
I found it interesting.
This lead has been blown hundreds of times.
Its also among the most common scores seen in the sport, which may also directly cause it to be blown so much.
The seahawks are in very real danger of blowing it right now.
I found it interesting.
This post was edited on 1/17/26 at 8:23 pm
5
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:26 pm to GrizzlyWintergreen
It is a second order differential equation.
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:27 pm to GrizzlyWintergreen
28-3 was the funniest ever
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:27 pm to GrizzlyWintergreen
Being up two touchdowns is dangerous because the team has to not let up. So many do and cannot get the momentum back
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:28 pm to GrizzlyWintergreen
Adjustments.
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:29 pm to 3down10
This and you get adrenaline exhaustion
Posted on 1/17/26 at 8:30 pm to ColoradoAg
A lot of coaches like to sit on leads. The best coaches step on the other teams neck
Even 4 minutes left in a game is plenty of time to come back down 2 TDs
Even 4 minutes left in a game is plenty of time to come back down 2 TDs
Posted on 1/17/26 at 9:18 pm to Nado Jenkins83
quote:
28-3 was the funniest ever
That is correct!
Posted on 1/18/26 at 6:36 am to LSUgrad88
quote:
28-3 was the funniest ever
I thought it was 38-3.
Posted on 1/18/26 at 6:42 am to GrizzlyWintergreen
Just guessing:
17-3 indicates a few things. One, the leading team has already given up enough yards for the other team to get a field goal. Therefore, you can assume they have the ability to get more points later in the game. The 17 indicates the losing team has held the leading team’s offense to a field goal showing that they aren’t getting gashed for touchdowns every time. Football is a game of adjustments and there’s already evidence that adjustments are working well. 17-3 is just a two score lead, so you only need one touchdown and one stop to be playing for the tie.
Say the lead is 14-0. 14 means the leading team’s offense scored a touchdown on all or most of their drives. The 0 indicates the losing team has not accomplished anything on offense yet. Therefore, there’s no evidence of adjustments being successful for the losing team. You might see the 14 go to 21, and now the lead is getting out of hand.
I don’t know if any of this is statistically accurate but it makes sense to me.
17-3 indicates a few things. One, the leading team has already given up enough yards for the other team to get a field goal. Therefore, you can assume they have the ability to get more points later in the game. The 17 indicates the losing team has held the leading team’s offense to a field goal showing that they aren’t getting gashed for touchdowns every time. Football is a game of adjustments and there’s already evidence that adjustments are working well. 17-3 is just a two score lead, so you only need one touchdown and one stop to be playing for the tie.
Say the lead is 14-0. 14 means the leading team’s offense scored a touchdown on all or most of their drives. The 0 indicates the losing team has not accomplished anything on offense yet. Therefore, there’s no evidence of adjustments being successful for the losing team. You might see the 14 go to 21, and now the lead is getting out of hand.
I don’t know if any of this is statistically accurate but it makes sense to me.
Posted on 1/18/26 at 8:35 am to Russianblue
28-3 was falcons superbowl collapse
Posted on 1/18/26 at 8:40 am to GeauxBurrow312
quote:
A lot of coaches like to sit on leads.
This is the issue. 17-3 is enough for most coaches to think, lets start working on the clock and call run after run after run. The best coaches just keep pouring it on
Posted on 1/18/26 at 9:34 am to Lynxrufus2012
quote:
It is a second order differential equation.
Posted on 1/18/26 at 9:46 am to GeauxBurrow312
quote:
A lot of coaches like to sit on leads. The best coaches step on the other teams neck
Dan Quinn in the Super Bowl says hello.
Going into a soft zone prevent defense with a big lead allows the opposing offense to get into a rhythm, and it's really hard to get aggressive on defense again once you've turned that switch off.
Players themselves also tend to ease up a bit. When the Chargers blew that 27-0 playoff lead against Jacksonville a few years ago, it was because they started making mistakes when they were up 24-0. They dropped a TD pass, had a few unfocused penalties, and gave Jacksonville a tiny bit of life. Instead of going up 31-0 and putting the dagger in, they settled for a FG.
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