Started By
Message

By how much is Indiana favored vs OU/Bama?

Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:14 am
Posted by Craw_Dad
Member since Oct 2025
16 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:14 am
I'll guess 6.5.
Gonna be a lot of shock and indignation around here when that line comes out but it will probably grow much quieter after Indiana pushes them around for 4 quarters
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
17473 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:19 am to
I think Oklahoma beats them. Bama won't.
Posted by lewis and herschel
Member since Nov 2009
16013 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:24 am to
Bama is used to those types games and they still have an absurd roster advantage. OU to a lessor extent, they are used to losing big games....
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5088 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 9:25 am to
The lines are already out

FanDuel has IU -8.5 against OU and -6.5 against Bama
Posted by forestwhitackersgood
Dallas
Member since Jun 2019
3275 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 10:45 am to
If Bama SOMEHOW manages to recapture the mojo they had when they played UGA IN Athens, they'll beat Indiana...
BOOKMARK IT
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20456 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 10:46 am to
quote:


they still have an absurd roster advantage.

Not with the injury situation.

Midseason Bama I would take over IU straight up, this version no.
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5088 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Not with the injury situation


I think the part a lot of people are struggling with is Indiana has a lot of top end talent this year. They had 6 all Americans on the AP and I think 7 named across all outlets

Where the talent gap strikes is in the depth. They are down to a 3rd string defensive end as a starter now, I can’t see them beating 3 top 10 teams in a row with that
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
20456 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 11:15 am to
quote:

I think the part a lot of people are struggling with is Indiana has a lot of top end talent this year. They had 6 all Americans on the AP and I think 7 named across all outlets

This is what the advanced computer models say:
IU 18 - OSU 26
IU 24 - Miami 23
IU 23 - OU 18
IU 29 - Oregon 23
IU 31 - UGA 24
IU 30 - A&M 20
IU 35 - Bama 21
IU 42 - OM 23
Posted by deltadummy
Member since Mar 2025
1566 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 11:19 am to
quote:

If Bama SOMEHOW manages to recapture the mojo they had when they played UGA IN Athens, they'll beat Indiana...
BOOKMARK IT


A rather big IF, wouldn't you say?
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5088 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 11:20 am to
Metrics aren’t accounting for the loss of their star defensive end

But yeah, they can play with anybody this season

Gumps losing 35-21 to Indiana in the playoffs would create some all time melts
Posted by theballguy
Member since Oct 2011
30692 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:00 pm to
Is OU and Bama going to team up against Indiana?

Still won't be enough
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34395 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

I think the part a lot of people are struggling with is Indiana has a lot of top end talent this year. They had 6 all Americans on the AP and I think 7 named across all outlets

Where the talent gap strikes is in the depth. They are down to a 3rd string defensive end as a starter now, I can’t see them beating 3 top 10 teams in a row with that


It's easy to stay healthy when you play no P4 teams OOC and only two good teams all year
Posted by Wishbone85
Member since Nov 2024
1908 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:16 pm to
Indy's 15 minutes of fame is about up.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
21838 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

Gumps losing 35-21 to Indiana in the playoffs would create some all time melts

Why? They seem pretty solid.
Posted by GeauxBurrow312
Member since Nov 2024
5088 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:21 pm to
They are. But the end of the day it’s still Indiana
Posted by RTRnFlorida
Member since Mar 2024
2492 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:22 pm to
Weak schedule helps pad those stats. Three FCS or non FBS teams and 8 teams with a losing record helps
Posted by Windy City
Member since Jun 2019
2177 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

and they still have an absurd roster advantage.


People want to cite this, but it is not a very good point.

IU has played the 3rd and 5th best talent composite teams already. It physically whipped Oregon and went toe to toe with Ohio State with no issue.
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
21838 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

But the end of the day it’s still Indiana

I am not sure that is how you can look at teams in NIL and transfer portal anymore.

Vandy falls in the same boat.

The right resources, right coaches, and year to year talent acquirement and you get an Indiana
Posted by Yokelhoma
Member since Jul 2021
222 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 1:44 pm to
I very much want to see Indiana try to push our defense around. That won’t go well for them.

I could do without seeing our offense play though.
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
28946 posts
Posted on 12/16/25 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Where the talent gap strikes is in the depth

This is exactly why a Cinderella team won't consistently challenge for a title, no matter how many teams we put in.

In college basketball, two guys can go unconscious on an eight-man rotation.

In football, you probably need 10–15 dogs on your two-deep roster (and at the correct positions) just to compete throughout the postseason.
Page 1 2
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow SECRant for SEC Football News
Follow us on X and Facebook to get the latest updates on SEC Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitter