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Playoff Bye Scenario

Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:11 am
Posted by Nama1435
Member since Nov 2024
8 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:11 am
If I am reading correctly, if Georgia wins out they would get off the SEC championship and get a bye for the first round of the playoffs? Meanwhile, A&M and Bama would play for a tough game for a potential bye and Bama is out if they lose?

Also, let’s say Bama wins out then loses the SEC championship. Would that mean A&M, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Oklahoma go while Bama goes home at 10-3 when they all have only 0-2 losses?

Why even play the championship?

Make it make sense…

“An SEC champion does not automatically get a bye for the playoffs; an automatic bye is not part of the new 12-team College Football Playoff format. Byes are now awarded to the four highest-ranked teams overall, regardless of whether they won their conference championship or not.”

Posted by Ancient Astronaut
Member since May 2015
36946 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:12 am to
quote:

and Bama is out if they lose?


Won’t happen. Whoever goes to the champ game will be in no matter what
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
26092 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:14 am to
That’s how I’m seeing it too unless bama jumps to 4 if they beat a&m pushing uga to 5? If this scenario holds then UGA has a massive amount of time off before playing a huge game which wasn’t beneficial at all last year. No one could have predicted Alabama losing to Oklahoma so that threw this thing into a blender as far as possible outcomes go
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
25898 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:16 am to
i do remember all the screaming to keep us out because we were not a conference champion. We may be down but we are not out.

I'll guarantee you should we beat AU and lose the SECCG they will keep us out of the playoffs even though the committee has said in the past they won't penalize a team for playing that extra game.
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
26092 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:17 am to
If Alabama is in top 12 after the auburn game, they’re in the playoffs regardless of the secc
Posted by FootballFrenzy
Chief of the Grammar Police
Member since Oct 2023
7765 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:22 am to
The Committee has made it clear (and they actually followed through with SMU last year) that a team will not be punished for losing a conference championship game.
This post was edited on 11/16/25 at 8:29 am
Posted by Soonerd78
Member since Sep 2024
2429 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:23 am to
quote:

No one could have predicted Alabama losing to Oklahoma so that threw this thing into a blender as far as possible outcomes go


lol why would no one have predicted it ? Some did including your own UGA alum Pollack . If people were paying attention the game was evenly matched per stats .
This post was edited on 11/16/25 at 8:24 am
Posted by GamerAg
Member since Dec 2010
2630 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:24 am to
If Bama was 12 wouldn’t they be at risk of being bunped for a G5 team
Posted by EV
Member since Aug 2024
297 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:24 am to
If both USC and Michigan win out, Alabama is in serious danger of being bumped out

Posted by Dawgs2122
Member since Dec 2024
1139 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:24 am to
Last year is not this year. They have made no such statements this year
Posted by GamerAg
Member since Dec 2010
2630 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:24 am to
Yeah OU over Bama was the most likely upset pick of the week
Posted by AHM21
Member since Feb 2008
29896 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:27 am to
If it comes down to 10-2 Oklahoma or 10-3 Alabama with a loss in Atlanta, 10-2 Oklahoma should get the spot.
Posted by FootballFrenzy
Chief of the Grammar Police
Member since Oct 2023
7765 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:28 am to
Oh.
Posted by Opelika Dawg
Georgia/Bama Line
Member since Dec 2019
28 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:44 am to
1. Ohio State (Big 10 Champ) - vs Rutgers @ Michigan
2. Indiana (at large) - @ Purdue
3. Texas A&M (SEC Champ) - vs Samford @ Texas
4. Georgia (at large) - vs Charlotte @ GT (Atl)
5. Texas Tech (Big 12 Champ) - @ West Virginia
6. Ole Miss (at large) - @ Miss St
7. Oregon (at large) - vs USC @ Washington
8. Notre Dame (at large) - vs Syracuse @ Stanford
9. Oklahoma (at large) - vs Missouri vs LSU
10. Alabama (at large) - vs East Illinois @ Auburn
11. #16 Georgia Tech (ACC Champ)* - vs Pitt vs UGA
12. NR JMU (Group of 5 Champ)* - irrelevant

13. BYU - @ Cincinnati vs UCF
14. Utah. - vs KState @ Kansas
15. Vandy - vs Kentucky @ Tennessee
16. Texas. - vs Arkansas vs A&M
17. Miami - @ VaTech @ Pitt
18. USC - @ Oregon vs UCLA
19. Michigan. - @ Maryland vs Ohio State
20. Virginia - vs VaTech

Outside the conference Oregon seems most likely to fall out.
In conference, I think Oklahoma could have a let down against Miz next week.
This post was edited on 11/16/25 at 10:36 am
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4160 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:47 am to
My thinking is whoever is top 4 pre-championship games will remain in their spot unless they are passed by a team that wins their conference championship game.The committee doesn't want teams punished just for making the game.
This post was edited on 11/16/25 at 8:48 am
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4160 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:49 am to
Not buying the James Madison hype. They have literally beat no one. Pretty sure the committee will put in the winner of the American conference - either North TX, Tulane or Navy when it comes down to it.
Posted by memphisRebel
Memphis, TN
Member since Jan 2013
488 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:55 am to
quote:

If it comes down to 10-2 Oklahoma or 10-3 Alabama with a loss in Atlanta, 10-2 Oklahoma should get the spot


Oklahoma should get the spot by virtue of beating Bama in Tuscaloosa. Plus Alabama has a Loo’s to a bad FSU.

Making the SEC Championship game and losing shouldn’t matter.
Posted by Gator Fever
Member since Sep 2021
4160 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:56 am to
I agree OK should go over Bama if it comes down to that because of the head to head win.
This post was edited on 11/16/25 at 8:58 am
Posted by Opelika Dawg
Georgia/Bama Line
Member since Dec 2019
28 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 8:58 am to
Agree but it won't happen like that IF the committee has the same hard fast rule they used last year about CCGs
Posted by Ssubba
Member since Oct 2014
7342 posts
Posted on 11/16/25 at 9:02 am to
All of the "sources" have been adamant that a SEC/Big 10 conference runner up will not be left out. This was one of the talking points during all of the meetings that have happened over the last couple of years.
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