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SEC Rankings based on Efficiency Metrics

Posted on 9/30/25 at 10:19 am
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3540 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 10:19 am
This is a combined average of SP+, FEI, KFord, and ESPN FPI… National rank listed:

3. Alabama
5. Texas
7. Ole Miss
9. Georgia
11. Tennessee
12. Oklahoma
16. Vanderbilt
17. Missouri
18. Texas A&M
19. LSU
24. Auburn
32. South Carolina
34. Mississippi State
35. Florida
39. Arkansas
50. Kentucky
Posted by RebelExpress38
In your base, killin your dudes
Member since Apr 2012
14181 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 10:26 am to
Texas is about to get exposed worse than LSU
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
19865 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Texas is about to get exposed worse than LSU

Its a complicated situation with them.

With even an average passing game they're elite.

But their passing game isn't really even average and their running game isn't nearly good enough to win most games against other elite teams.

Much like LSU it doesn't mean they cant figure it out, but right now I would pick a lot of teams to beat them head to head.
Posted by ht1950
Member since Dec 2023
412 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:42 pm to
Texas now has eight SEC games in a row. I think this makes them less likely to get to Atlanta among these other possibilities: 'Bama, Georgia, Oklahoma and Ole Miss. All the other teams have a cupcake or two to relieve the pressure.
Posted by pankReb
Defending National Champs Fan
Member since Mar 2009
71130 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

Texas now has eight SEC games in a row


We had this a few years back. It was damned brutal.

Welcome to the SEC
This post was edited on 9/30/25 at 1:43 pm
Posted by UKWildcats
Lexington, KY
Member since Mar 2015
18640 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:43 pm to
50 > 3........right?


SUCK IT LONG AND SUCK IT HARD BAMA
Posted by TexasWranglers
Member since Sep 2024
1247 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:48 pm to
Can we book mark this so every SEC fan doesn't whine about "Texas has a cupcake SEC schedule"

Sounds like some of y'all are starting to remember the claim that an SEC schedule is actually hard.

Also I think we drop 2 and we will see what 9-3 gets us, likely a N6 bowkl but out of Playoff.
Posted by ht1950
Member since Dec 2023
412 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:49 pm to
This year, I think there are at least 14 SEC teams that can line up and beat any of the others on a given Saturday. I've never seen the league as deep as it is now.
Posted by TexasWranglers
Member since Sep 2024
1247 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:53 pm to
I agree and this is 100% why Texas fans are so excited to be out of the Big 12. Even if we moved to the Big 10 or went Independent you wouldn't have that kind of parity or exciting fanbases to play.

Imagine for a second having to play Baylor, Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas Tech, TCU, and Oklahoma state over and over and over again. Probably not too excited about any road trips and definitely not pumped to play the above week in and week out. Sure, half those may be ranked in a given year but its not near the spark the SEC brings.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
19865 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

Can we book mark this so every SEC fan doesn't whine about "Texas has a cupcake SEC schedule"


9. Georgia
11. Tennessee
12. Oklahoma
16. Vanderbilt
17. Missouri
19. LSU
24. Auburn
32. South Carolina

That’s Bamas SEC schedule. Our “easy games” are 16, 17 and 32 nationally.

You aren’t playing that so yes you can still be accused of having a relatively easy schedule for the SEC.
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
28723 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

34. Mississippi State

I don't think I understand this.

In FEI for example, considering a 'good' team, State (4-1) has 1.18 expected losses (as GLS), which results in a 0.18 GLD.

Kansas State (2-3) is sitting at the same FEI but with -2.03 GLD.

How can two vastly different SOS/R have the same FEI?
Posted by TinGym
Member since Jun 2016
3185 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:24 pm to
At least we're better than Florida. ;(
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19540 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

We had this a few years back. It was damned brutal.

Welcome to the SEC

We do have a bye week in there.

10/4 @ Florida
10/11 Oklahoma (Dallas)
10/18 @ Kentucky <--- trap game at night
10/25 @ Miss State
11/1 vs Vanderbilt (next game in Austin)
11/8 BYE
11/15 @ Georgia
11/22 vs Arkansas
11/28 vs Texas A&M

If we are good, we'll win 6 or 7 games.
If we aren't, we'll still beat A&M.
Posted by LouisvilleKat
Member since Oct 2016
19357 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:38 pm to
quote:


50 > 3........right?


SUCK IT LONG AND SUCK IT HARD BAMA
They need to get on our level
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
19540 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

How can two vastly different SOS/R have the same FEI?

I think you are comparing two different ratings that are not related to each other.

FEI = OFEI + DFEI + SFEI

State = .17 + .19 + .04 = .39 (rounded)
KSU = .02 + .31 + .05 = .39 (rounded)

State is 1 spot above them due to rounding. We don't see all the digits.

----------
number of losses a team

ELS = two standard deviations above average

GLS = one standard deviation above average

ALS = average team

would expect to have against the schedule of opponents

State performs better than KSU in all but ALS.

-------
Either way, I don't think you can compare these stats, even though they are all on the same page together.

eta: key word = "think" as I don't know the answer for sure
This post was edited on 9/30/25 at 2:49 pm
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
28723 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 3:02 pm to
Makes sense (even though I don't see why they choose to do that).

Thanks for taking the time to write all that out.

Posted by LSUTigresFan
SE Louisiana to Austin (Texas Ex)
Member since Mar 2013
6143 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

With even an average passing game they're elite.


This is what I believe too. If Arch starts clicking and we get our two main backs back, we have a high ceiling that is top 10 worthy.

Arch just needs to have fun playing the game and Sark needs to put the team in a position to win with great play calling.
Posted by Tideroller
Lower Alabama
Member since Jan 2022
3095 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 3:40 pm to
I'm surprised that Vandy is just 16.
Posted by RTRnFlorida
Member since Mar 2024
2110 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 3:41 pm to
Vandy should be number 1.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16096 posts
Posted on 9/30/25 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

I'm surprised that Vandy is just 16.


They’ve played a pretty poor slate of opponents so far.
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