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Projecting the AP Top 25
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:01 am
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:01 am
There will be tons of movement in this week’s poll. This is how I think it will look, with each break meaning I’m confident each team in that group will be somewhere in that range.
1. Ohio State
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2. LSU
3. Penn State
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4. Georgia
5. Miami
6. Oregon
7. Texas
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8. Notre Dame
9. Clemson
——————
10. Florida State
11. South Carolina
12. Illinois
13. Michigan
14. Florida
15. Arizona State
——————
16. Oklahoma
17. Iowa State
18. SMU
19. Ole Miss
20. Tennessee
21. Texas A&M
———————-
22. Utah
23. Alabama
24. Auburn
25. Texas Tech
26. Indiana
27. USC
28. Georgia Tech
29. BYU
30. TCU
31. South Florida
*updated after more ballots have been made public (now 11).
1. Ohio State
——————
2. LSU
3. Penn State
——————
4. Georgia
5. Miami
6. Oregon
7. Texas
——————
8. Notre Dame
9. Clemson
——————
10. Florida State
11. South Carolina
12. Illinois
13. Michigan
14. Florida
15. Arizona State
——————
16. Oklahoma
17. Iowa State
18. SMU
19. Ole Miss
20. Tennessee
21. Texas A&M
———————-
22. Utah
23. Alabama
24. Auburn
25. Texas Tech
26. Indiana
27. USC
28. Georgia Tech
29. BYU
30. TCU
31. South Florida
*updated after more ballots have been made public (now 11).
This post was edited on 9/2/25 at 11:24 am
11
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:03 am to AUTiger789
But..... where's mizz-who???? They're a dominant team this year. At least that's what they believe.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:07 am to AUTiger789
I don’t think Auburn cracks the top-25
BYU, Utah USCw, Ga Tech, and Mizzou all had more pre season votes than us and had huge (points wise) victories save Ga Tech but they had the best road win of those teams
It would be nice though
BYU, Utah USCw, Ga Tech, and Mizzou all had more pre season votes than us and had huge (points wise) victories save Ga Tech but they had the best road win of those teams
It would be nice though
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:10 am to Beachbum87
quote:
I don’t think Auburn cracks the top-25
I felt the same way yesterday. However, there have been 8 ballots posted this morning so far, and 5 of the 8 have Auburn included… 3 of those have Auburn in the Top 15.
That’s a small sample size sure, but if 37% of ballots have Auburn in the Top 15, the chances of landing in the Top 25 are actually pretty decent.
I put Auburn in the 21-29 range because I don’t think us making the Top 25 is guaranteed, but I now think it’s better than 50/50.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:24 am to AUTiger789
Top 10 looks good, it is what I expect it to be. Cannot wait for Penn State to be exposed in no way should they be at #3.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:25 am to AUTiger789
I like the tier increments you made.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:26 am to AUTiger789
One AP voter's ballot. Holy shite, Alabama 
Ohio State
LSU
Penn State
Miami
Oregon
Georgia
Notre Dame
Texas
Florida State
Arizona State
Clemson
Iowa State
Illinois
South Carolina
Florida
Ole Miss
Michigan
SMU
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Indiana
Auburn
Utah
TCU
South Florida
Ohio State
LSU
Penn State
Miami
Oregon
Georgia
Notre Dame
Texas
Florida State
Arizona State
Clemson
Iowa State
Illinois
South Carolina
Florida
Ole Miss
Michigan
SMU
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Indiana
Auburn
Utah
TCU
South Florida
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:31 am to AUTiger789
I don't see us jumping Georgia or Penn State but it would be cool!
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:32 am to AUTiger789
While you're probably correct, Notre Dame is too high
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:38 am to tigerfan24736
In 6 of the 9 ballots made public so far, LSU is ahead of Penn State… one of those that had PSU higher is a voter who works for “PennLive”. I feel pretty confident LSU will get the 2-spot based off that small sample size.
The variance outside the Top 9 or 10 is all over the map.
Arizona State is as high as #9 in one ballot, but left out completely by 2 of the 9.
Michigan also got left out by one voter but is as high as #11 in two others.
As for SEC teams in these 9 public ballots, here is the range:
LSU: #2 to #4
Georgia: #3 to #8
Texas #4 to #9
S Carolina: #8 to #24
Florida: #10 to #25
Oklahoma: #12 to #23
Texas A&M: #12 to NR (NR by 3)
Ole Miss: #14 to NR (NR by 2)
Tennessee: #18 to NR (NR by 2)
Auburn: #11 to NR (NR by 4)
Alabama: #16 to NR (NR by 5)
Missouri: #20 to NR (NR by 8)
There will be a lot of movement that’s for sure.
The variance outside the Top 9 or 10 is all over the map.
Arizona State is as high as #9 in one ballot, but left out completely by 2 of the 9.
Michigan also got left out by one voter but is as high as #11 in two others.
As for SEC teams in these 9 public ballots, here is the range:
LSU: #2 to #4
Georgia: #3 to #8
Texas #4 to #9
S Carolina: #8 to #24
Florida: #10 to #25
Oklahoma: #12 to #23
Texas A&M: #12 to NR (NR by 3)
Ole Miss: #14 to NR (NR by 2)
Tennessee: #18 to NR (NR by 2)
Auburn: #11 to NR (NR by 4)
Alabama: #16 to NR (NR by 5)
Missouri: #20 to NR (NR by 8)
There will be a lot of movement that’s for sure.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:43 am to AUTiger789
Wonder why we went 10-25. We easily won 55-0....
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:47 am to AUTiger789
Not a bad list, but I’d put FSU ahead of both ND and Clemson.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 9:48 am to Gatorbait2008
quote:
Wonder why we went 10-25. We easily won 55-0..
It’s a range. One voter had you as high as 10, and another as low as 25.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 10:08 am to Green Chili Tiger
Way too high based on what I saw but I think that Frosh QB could be good. He was their best player lol
Posted on 9/2/25 at 10:13 am to AUTiger789
I'd love to see LSU ranked so high as 2, but I foresee the Tigers moving up to #5 at most. There's certainly no reason to move them ahead of Georgia at this point, and I only see Texas dropping to #4 since, despite the fact they didn't look like world beaters, they only lost by a TD to Ohio State in Columbus. That's pretty much what one would expect in a matchup between #1 and #2, or #1 and #3.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 10:33 am to Swamp Angel
quote:
I'd love to see LSU ranked so high as 2, but I foresee the Tigers moving up to #5 at most.
LSU will be much higher than 5th. Ten of the 65 votes are already known, and LSU is between 2-4 in all of them. It’s almost statistically impossible for LSU not to be in the Top 4 based off the current sample size.
PSU has come on strong with the last few ballots that have gone public. I still think LSU will be #2 but it’s going to be close between them and PSU. Both should be comfortably in the Top 3.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 10:35 am to AUTiger789
Doesn't it come out today?
Posted on 9/2/25 at 10:37 am to AUTiger789
Based on what I've seen in just week 1, LSU should be #1.
Posted on 9/2/25 at 11:19 am to AUTiger789
1. Ohio State - Beat #1 Texas
2. Penn State
3. Texas - Lost to #3 Ohio State
4. LSU - Beat #4 Clemson
5. Georgia
6. Miami - Beat #6 Notre Dame
7. Oregon
8. Florida State - Beat #8 Alabama
9. Clemson - Lost to #9 LSU
10. Notre Dame - Lost to #10 Miami
17. Iowa State - Beat #17 Kansas State
22. Kansas State - Lost to #22 Iowa State
25. USF - Beat #25 Boise State
UR Alabama - Lost to UR Florida State
UR Boise State - Lost to UR USF
And no, this is not what I think will happen..
I just flip flopped the ranking you beat or the ranking that beat you
2. Penn State
3. Texas - Lost to #3 Ohio State
4. LSU - Beat #4 Clemson
5. Georgia
6. Miami - Beat #6 Notre Dame
7. Oregon
8. Florida State - Beat #8 Alabama
9. Clemson - Lost to #9 LSU
10. Notre Dame - Lost to #10 Miami
17. Iowa State - Beat #17 Kansas State
22. Kansas State - Lost to #22 Iowa State
25. USF - Beat #25 Boise State
UR Alabama - Lost to UR Florida State
UR Boise State - Lost to UR USF
And no, this is not what I think will happen..
I just flip flopped the ranking you beat or the ranking that beat you
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