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SEC Baseball Post Season Outlook

Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:51 am
Posted by Jebadeb
Member since Oct 2017
5338 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:51 am
This is my take on where things are considering rankings, SEC records, and historical trends. Feel free to tell me where you disagree.

Locks to Make it:

Texas
Arkansas
Georgia
LSU
Tennesee
Vanderbilt

One more SEC Win to be safe:

Auburn
Oklahoma
Alabama
Ole Miss

Work to do:

Flordia
Kentucky
Ms. State
Texas A&M

Would Need Autobid:

S. Carolina
Missouri

-----

Hosts:

Top 8 Locks:

Texas
Arkansas

Possible Top 8:

Georgia
LSU
Tennesee
Vanderbilt

Top 8 Unlikely But Possible Host:

Auburn
Oklahoma
Alabama
Ole Miss

Unlikely to host:

Flordia
Kentucky
Ms. State
Texas A&M
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
12379 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:52 am to
Auburn is already a lock to host and is currently in the driver’s seat for the top eight, barring an epic collapse
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32022 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:55 am to
Auburn will be 16-11 likely after this weekend. Then they head to Ole Miss. 18 SEC wins likely gets them a top 8.

They’re #4 in RPI and have 13 Q1 wins
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
33238 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:58 am to
quote:

Hosts:

Top 8 Locks:

Texas
Arkansas

Possible Top 8:

Georgia
LSU
Tennesee
Vanderbilt

Top 8 Unlikely But Possible Host:

Auburn
Oklahoma
Alabama
Ole Miss



While unlikely, can you imagine if 10 of the 16 hosts were from the SEC???
Posted by TriStateAreaFootball
Member since Dec 2024
1109 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 11:02 am to
quote:

While unlikely, can you imagine if 10 of the 16 hosts were from the SEC?

They'd start talking about expanding the tournament or changing the format much like the immediate aftermath of 1/9/12.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2654 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 11:03 am to
Auburn has won 6/8 SEC series, losing series only to the #1 and #2 RPI teams. Series wins over LSU (sweep), Tennessee, and Vandy. And we don’t have the luxury of padding the W/L column with Mizzou.

I think Auburn needs 4 SEC wins and a midweek win over Jax State to lock a Top 8 national seed. Three SEC wins probably puts us right on that line but there’d be no guarantees. Two more SEC wins locks us in as a regional host, IMO.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2654 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 11:06 am to
If I had to rate the SEC resumes I’d put them like this at the moment:

1. Texas
2. Arkansas
3. Georgia
4. Auburn
5. LSU
6. Vandy
7. Tennessee
8. Florida
9. Alabama
10. Oklahoma
11. Ole Miss

All 11 still have a shot to host a regional, but 2 will fall to a 2 seed.

I think we get 5 of the Top 8 national seeds.
Posted by tylerdurden24
Member since Sep 2009
48305 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 11:15 am to
I’d swap Auburn and Tennessee as possible top 8s. Auburn in better position right now than Tennessee
Posted by twk
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jul 2011
2407 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

If I had to rate the SEC resumes I’d put them like this at the moment:

1. Texas
2. Arkansas
3. Georgia
4. Auburn
5. LSU
6. Vandy
7. Tennessee
8. Florida
9. Alabama
10. Oklahoma
11. Ole Miss

All 11 still have a shot to host a regional, but 2 will fall to a 2 seed.

I think we get 5 of the Top 8 national seeds.

That order looks pretty reasonable as of right now, but I don't think the SEC will get 9 hosts. It may be as few as 7, but 8 seems likely.

Out of Tennessee, Florida, Bama, OU, and Ole Miss, one will surely make the cut, but there are scenarios where that's it. Florida has a nice RPI, but will have to at least get to 15-15. If they do, it's likely to be at Bama's expense (and Bama has to survive UGA, first, as Florida has to get by the Horns). Tennessee has a rough run in (home to Vandy, @ Ark). Ole Miss and OU would probably get passed over for teams from "special needs" conferences as of today, so they've got work to do.
Posted by Landmass
Premium Member
Member since Jun 2013
21353 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

4. Auburn

Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
12379 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 3:59 pm to
Don’t know why you think that’s funny. It’s hard to argue with where he put our résumé.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
70876 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 4:02 pm to
Missouri plays MSU and A&M to close out

Put A&M and MSU in the tournament
Posted by Bigbens42
Trussvegas
Member since Nov 2013
12379 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 4:03 pm to
On3 projects as the five overall seed right now.

LINK /

Baseball America was projecting us there even before the Tennessee series, and I’ll bet we remain at five when they release an update.

LINK /
Posted by Landmass
Premium Member
Member since Jun 2013
21353 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

Don’t know why you think that’s funny.


It's just odd seeing Auburn there. The fact that Auburn is 4 speaks a testament to the shakeup in SEC baseball over the past few seasons.
Posted by SECdragonmaster
Order of the Dragons
Member since Dec 2013
17197 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 9:05 pm to
quote:

It's just odd seeing Auburn there.


#everything school

1. Currently trying for back to back national championship in golf.
2. Final Four in basketball.
3. (Likely) Regional host in baseball.
4. Won 3 of the last 5 games in football.
5. Won 3 of last 8 national championships in Equestrian.
Posted by lewis and herschel
Member since Nov 2009
14148 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 9:07 pm to
We took the series from Arkansas...
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
2654 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

It's just odd seeing Auburn there.


Auburn has been to Omaha twice in the last 5 Tournaments. You act as if Ole Miss is an Omaha staple.
Posted by Notherdamnhog
Huntsville, Al
Member since Aug 2010
6193 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 9:31 pm to
There will be a non Regional host SEC team in Omaha. Book it.
Posted by WoodyOrnamental
Member since Sep 2021
1394 posts
Posted on 5/5/25 at 10:35 pm to
Still double take whenever Aub is the slightest bit good at baseball.
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
6733 posts
Posted on 5/6/25 at 7:00 am to
quote:

#everything school


Lol, what?
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