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Where’s this heading?
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:25 am
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:25 am
Now that bowl season is meaningless & unlimited free agency has degraded the quality of games, it seems like TV advertisers are starting to demand some answers. And, while it’s painfully obvious that school presidents, ESPN execs, coaches & conference officials don’t give a rip about the fans, they care tremendously about corporate $ and are finally ready to change.
I don’t see any other outcome than an NFL model with salary cap, collective bargaining with shared TV revenue & players as W-2 employees. Legally, that’s what has to happen. I think the wheels are already in motion to make it happen rapidly (2-3 years).
Anybody see a different outcome?
I don’t see any other outcome than an NFL model with salary cap, collective bargaining with shared TV revenue & players as W-2 employees. Legally, that’s what has to happen. I think the wheels are already in motion to make it happen rapidly (2-3 years).
Anybody see a different outcome?
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Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:34 am to BevoBucks
quote:
it seems like TV advertisers are starting to demand some answers.
I mean, this is logical but what have we seen to support this?
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:38 am to BevoBucks
This year will be a tape job. We won’t see anything meaningful until this time(ish) 2025
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:38 am to BevoBucks
Don’t worry, it will free up your Saturdays.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:41 am to BevoBucks
The inevitable endpoint seems to be the disassociation of college football and colleges. Why should a minor league system with constant free agency be associated with predominantly state run institutions of higher learning? The continued association has been a farce for a while now (we all know it, we just ignore it because we enjoy the product), but it is rapidly becoming too ridiculous to ignore.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:42 am to BevoBucks
More Tiered divisions for competition based on budgets ranges
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:44 am to BevoBucks
quote:
don’t see any other outcome than an NFL model with salary cap, collective bargaining with shared TV revenue & players as W-2 employees. Legally, that’s what has to happen. I think the wheels are already in motion to make it happen rapidly (2-3 years).
This is what it needs to be to create any kind of parity. We’re gonna have to see all of the large schools break away from ncaa and become what it is a minor league to NFL and then have a true college football back to the way it used to be with all of the smaller schools Honestly many of the P5 schools now won’t be able to compete with the larger schools in a decade.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:49 am to BevoBucks
quote:
it seems like TV advertisers are starting to demand some answers.
Where are you seeing this? You make a claim but where is the source?
Posted on 1/8/24 at 8:50 am to BevoBucks
quote:
salary cap
Two years ago I asked if the NCAA would ever institute a salary cap. I was criticized for even thinking it. But, it seems inevitable at this point.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:08 am to BevoBucks
I agree on the players union and collective bargaining agreement, eventually all the no-name grunts getting no NIL money are going to figure out they hold a lot of power if they band together and go on strike.
Also the bowls all need to be tied into the playoff system, just freaking make them play-in games to the cfp’s or whatever to give them meaning.
Also the bowls all need to be tied into the playoff system, just freaking make them play-in games to the cfp’s or whatever to give them meaning.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:12 am to BevoBucks
If the playoff does as well as it should, it will expand.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:18 am to BevoBucks
quote:
Now that bowl season is meaningless & unlimited free agency has degraded the quality of games, it seems like TV advertisers
That's quite a few opinions, but what do the nielsen ratings (the facts) say?
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:18 am to BevoBucks
College football is heading the same place everything else is. Down the toilet.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:27 am to BevoBucks
So we are where we are. You can ask why. And how does this manifest itself? If a 63-3 game is the poster child then look to the root cause. I'm not overly concerned about the portal, though it appears to be a runaway bus while the NCAA driver is asleep at the wheel. It really needs limits. NIL? Now we're talking money - and indirectly the portal is all about money too since exposure and playing time = moola. So if 63-3 occurred because FS players decided to give the game the middle finger and a big FU to the NCAA, then extract cost for opting out by hitting their pocket book. I have no idea how that would be structured but maybe start with scholarship language that bowl games are part of their expected play schedule so if they act childish then 
their arse where it hurts.
their arse where it hurts. 
Posted on 1/8/24 at 9:35 am to BevoBucks
quote:
I don’t see any other outcome than an NFL model with salary cap, collective bargaining with shared TV revenue & players as W-2 employees. Legally, that’s what has to happen. I think the wheels are already in motion to make it happen rapidly (2-3 years).
Anybody see a different outcome?
Nope. It's what needs to happen.
We've been lying to ourselves about these just being normal students who happen to play football and love their school.
18 year old kids have 2-5 years to prove they're good enough to make tens or hundreds of millions of dollars. Preparing for this starts in middle school.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:28 am to BevoBucks
quote:
I’m very confident big changes are coming to CFB. Multiple tipping points have been hit.
Idk when or how yet but every powerful person seems aligned in their belief that something big is imminent.— Josh Pate (@LateKickJosh) December 31, 2023
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:48 am to BevoBucks
Salary caps can't work b/c the money isn't coming from the schools.
TV Revenue has to happpen for players, now that they have NIL rights, they have the right to say pay us TV company or we're not going to appear on your broadcast. Same with bowls, part of the payouts have to go to players, winners get bigger purse incentivizing them to play in the game.
Lastly, has to be a draft. Would recommend the same type of algorithm program they use for medical residencies, players can rank their top 8 and then the algorithm would allocate their destination.
TV Revenue has to happpen for players, now that they have NIL rights, they have the right to say pay us TV company or we're not going to appear on your broadcast. Same with bowls, part of the payouts have to go to players, winners get bigger purse incentivizing them to play in the game.
Lastly, has to be a draft. Would recommend the same type of algorithm program they use for medical residencies, players can rank their top 8 and then the algorithm would allocate their destination.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:53 am to BevoBucks
What are you smoking? The games where people were crying about outputs and what not got the highest ratings this year.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 10:55 am to BevoBucks
My guess is that football and basketball will start paying all players, might start seeing big time games not just on cable, but streaming packages.
The net result could be a massive draining of funds available to other sports. Could be a collapse in sport offerings that surpass what we saw due to Title IX. Men's and women's sports both get wrecked.
The net result could be a massive draining of funds available to other sports. Could be a collapse in sport offerings that surpass what we saw due to Title IX. Men's and women's sports both get wrecked.
Posted on 1/8/24 at 11:04 am to BevoBucks
I think of the bowls can start to pay NIL to the players on the bowls that more players will stay in and get a nice goodbye paycheck.
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