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SP+ percentile ratings for the past 15 college football national champions
Posted on 1/11/23 at 9:57 pm
Posted on 1/11/23 at 9:57 pm
1. 2020 Alabama (99.6th percentile)
2. 2022 Georgia (99.6)
3. 2021 Georgia (99.5)
4. 2012 Alabama (99.4)
5. 2008 Florida (99.4)
6. 2018 Clemson (99.2)
7. 2019 LSU (99.1)
SP+ uses play-by-play data to evaluate teams on five factors that identified as being highly correlated with winning: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers. The overall SP+ rating is a weighted average of the five factors.
2. 2022 Georgia (99.6)
3. 2021 Georgia (99.5)
4. 2012 Alabama (99.4)
5. 2008 Florida (99.4)
6. 2018 Clemson (99.2)
7. 2019 LSU (99.1)
SP+ uses play-by-play data to evaluate teams on five factors that identified as being highly correlated with winning: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers. The overall SP+ rating is a weighted average of the five factors.
15
Posted on 1/11/23 at 9:58 pm to E.Hubble
There you go.
Science, bitches.
Science, bitches.
Posted on 1/11/23 at 9:59 pm to E.Hubble
All I know is Georgia only had to beat the 2nd best team in the SEC West, the 2nd place team in the Big 10, and the 2nd place team in the Big 12 to win the title. What a cakewalk.
Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:07 pm to E.Hubble
All I know is I'm taking Joe Burrow and his surrounding cast vs Lil Stet and the boys 10/10 times.
I would venture that most here would agree outside of Georgia fans and the assortment of trolls who are inherently triggered by LSU.
But that's just my opinion.
I would venture that most here would agree outside of Georgia fans and the assortment of trolls who are inherently triggered by LSU.
But that's just my opinion.
Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:08 pm to E.Hubble
InsecureU
Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:17 pm to E.Hubble
quote:
SP+ uses play-by-play data
That nonsense is for dweebs!
Everybody else knows that Joey, Justin ahd Ja'Marr will be always be known for leading the mighty LSU Tigers to the GOAT 2019 NC!
Posted on 1/11/23 at 10:20 pm to E.Hubble
This is the same system that had Bama ‘19 ahead of LSU ‘19, after LSU won in Tuscaloosa, lol.
Oh, it had Georgia beating TCU 34-24.
Trash.
Oh, it had Georgia beating TCU 34-24.
Trash.
Posted on 1/12/23 at 1:12 am to E.Hubble
Guy who made that fully admits that it is based on the whole year and that LSU's bad defense for two thirds of the season hurt them big time.
Said if they had played the kind of defense they did the last couple of regular season and then the post season games all year, number one or close to it.
Said if they had played the kind of defense they did the last couple of regular season and then the post season games all year, number one or close to it.
Posted on 1/12/23 at 2:40 am to E.Hubble
Finally, it’s settled.
Posted on 1/12/23 at 6:54 am to E.Hubble
quote:
1. 2020 Alabama (99.6th percentile)
2. 2022 Georgia (99.6)
3. 2021 Georgia (99.5)
4. 2012 Alabama (99.4)
5. 2008 Florida (99.4)
6. 2018 Clemson (99.2)
7. 2019 LSU (99.1)
Greatest team and season in the history of the conference.
Posted on 1/12/23 at 7:09 am to E.Hubble
Interesting. Here are the Sagarin ratings of 1998-2022 champions. As far back as the website goes
1. 2020 Alabama - 108.82
2. 2005 Texas - 106.93
3. 2001 Miami - 106.36
4. 2016 Clemson - 105.35
5. 2019 LSU - 104.88
6. 2011 Alabama - 104.17
7. 2004 USC - 103.37
8. 2018 Clemson - 103.16
9. 1999 Florida State - 102.07
10. 2013 Florida State - 101.90
11. 2000 Oklahoma - 101.63
12. 2017 Alabama - 101.18
13. 2015 Alabama - 100.92
14. 2014 Ohio State - 100.81
15. 2009 Alabama - 100.25
16. 2021 Georgia - 99.62
17. 2022 Georgia - 99.43
18. 2012 Alabama - 99.40
19. 2008 Florida - 98.74
20. 1998 Tennessee - 98.49
21. 2010 Auburn - 98.06
22. 2003 LSU - 97.43
23. 2006 Florida - 96.18
24. 2007 LSU - 93.39
25. 2002 Ohio State - 93.26
1. 2020 Alabama - 108.82
2. 2005 Texas - 106.93
3. 2001 Miami - 106.36
4. 2016 Clemson - 105.35
5. 2019 LSU - 104.88
6. 2011 Alabama - 104.17
7. 2004 USC - 103.37
8. 2018 Clemson - 103.16
9. 1999 Florida State - 102.07
10. 2013 Florida State - 101.90
11. 2000 Oklahoma - 101.63
12. 2017 Alabama - 101.18
13. 2015 Alabama - 100.92
14. 2014 Ohio State - 100.81
15. 2009 Alabama - 100.25
16. 2021 Georgia - 99.62
17. 2022 Georgia - 99.43
18. 2012 Alabama - 99.40
19. 2008 Florida - 98.74
20. 1998 Tennessee - 98.49
21. 2010 Auburn - 98.06
22. 2003 LSU - 97.43
23. 2006 Florida - 96.18
24. 2007 LSU - 93.39
25. 2002 Ohio State - 93.26
Posted on 1/12/23 at 7:21 am to E.Hubble
quote:
1. 2020 Alabama (99.6th percentile)
2. 2022 Georgia (99.6)
3. 2021 Georgia (99.5)
Posted on 1/12/23 at 7:27 am to E.Hubble
quote:
factors that identified as being highly correlated with winning: efficiency, explosiveness
Over the past few years, I think these two metrics alone have been among the best predictors of success in college football.
Posted on 1/12/23 at 7:39 am to E.Hubble
quote:
2020 Alabama
LSU fans insist this season doesn't exist.
Posted on 1/12/23 at 7:41 am to E.Hubble
quote:
The overall SP+ rating is a weighted average of the five factors.
This is like when Gumps leaned on QBR (another nonsensical stat that is just a combination of random bs) as a way of saying Mac Jones was better than Joe Burrow
Fact: If you need “muh advanced metrics” to convince others that your team was good - thennnn your team probably wasn’t actually that good
Posted on 1/12/23 at 8:06 am to E.Hubble
quote:
1. 2020 Alabama (99.6th percentile)
2. 2022 Georgia (99.6)
3. 2021 Georgia (99.5)
4. 2012 Alabama (99.4)
5. 2008 Florida (99.4)
6. 2018 Clemson (99.2)
7. 2019 LSU (99.1)
Only thing I take away from this is that there isn't nearly as much separation between teams as most fans tend to think there is.
Literally all are 99+ percentile.
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