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Vermont Scouting Report

Posted on 3/14/22 at 1:14 pm
Posted by rockiee
Sugar Land, TX
Member since Jan 2015
28553 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 1:14 pm
Vermont Season Summary

Record: 28-5 (17-1)

Quad 1 record: 0-1
Quad 2 record: 1-1
Quad 3 record: 7-2
Quad 4 record: 19-1

SOS Rank: 314th

Kenpom: 59th
Haslam: 48th
Torvik: 65th

Offense

-Vermont plays one of the slowest tempos in the nation

-35% of their points come from 3, that is 72nd highest in the nation

-Vermont rarely gets the the FT line, partly due to the amount of jump shots they attempt

-They are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the nation, basically a non factor in that area of the game.

-Great shooting team

-One of the best teams in the country when it comes to protecting the ball


Defense

-Vermont gives up a high number of 3 pt attempts and they are 229th in 3 pt defense

-The best team in the country in defensive rebounding

-Not a turnover forcing type of team

-They do a great job of not fouling

Misc.


-Not a big team, 6'8'' is the tallest player they use and only have 3 players above 6'5''

-One of the most experienced teams in the nation, full starting five of seniors

Analytical Projections

Kenpom: 72-68 Arkansas
Torvik: 71-67 Arkansas
Haslem: 72-68 Arkansas

Conclusion (My Take on Things)


As others have mentioned, it is a similar match up to Colgate the year before.

The pace of play will be big in this game. Vermont wants a slow, walk it up the court type of game. Pushing the ball up the court will be important. Over the course of 40 mins there is no way they can stay in the game with it being at a high pace. Vermont protects the ball well so most of the fast breaks will need to come off of rebounds.

On offense, good shot selection will be key. Vermont will not allow many offensive rebounds which puts more pressure on smart shot selection. Many of our players should have the opportunity to drive the ball. Vermont will allow open and good looks from 3 which will be helpful to knock down when they present themselves. Vermont does a great job of defending without fouling and one of our strengths is drawing fouls so we will see what happens when those two strengths go at each other. We will have the size advantage at almost every match up.

On defense, the obvious area of concern is behind the 3 point line. We have a tendency to help too much at times on penetration and allow open looks from deep. Vermont is not as athletic as the teams in the SEC, so the defenders staying in front of their man should be easier. The key players from a scoring aspect on their team come for the 1 and 5 spots. I think that is favorable from the sense of Notae/Toney guarding the one and Jaylin taking on the 5.

I would say the three most important factors in the game are going to be how well we defend the 3 pt line, how effective we are at pushing the tempo and shot selection.
Posted by RazorHawg
Member since Aug 2013
24506 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 1:53 pm to
Outstanding post.
Posted by Hogwarts
Arkansas, USA
Member since Sep 2015
18301 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 1:59 pm to
Upvoted! Great post
Posted by Razorback Reverend
Member since Dec 2013
24005 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 2:02 pm to
love, love, love this. tY Rockiee!
Posted by hawgndodge
Member since Jun 2009
5332 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 2:11 pm to
That right there is how you breakdown a game.. Great post..
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38135 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

rockiee


Posted by King
Deep in the backwoods
Member since Sep 2008
18660 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 5:41 pm to
Did we win
Posted by Riggle
Member since Feb 2013
4593 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

rockiee


Absolute hog bball legend
Posted by Rzrbackguy
Apalachicola, FL
Member since Jul 2014
2530 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 8:00 pm to
Great analysis. I'd add...it will be critical that we stay out of foul trouble, especially if JD and Williams guard their 1 and 5 spots.

It either or both of those two are on the bench for too long, a team like this will not miss the chance to capitalize.

Wild shots will really hurt us, but if we can get it up tempo (doubtful for long actually) we'll kill them.
Posted by CFB_Fanatic
Member since Aug 2016
2716 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 10:17 pm to
Aside from the obvious problem with foul trouble, we need to keep them off the free throw line. I haven't looked at the stats but these kinds of teams always make their free throws.

Don't forget that we trailed at halftime last year against Colgate. Anything is possible
Posted by BallHawg10
On the Flagship - Fayetteville
Member since Mar 2011
4642 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 10:59 pm to
Nope, we led by 3 at the break against Colgate.

Anything is possible, though, that’s for sure.
Posted by beebefootballfan
Member since Mar 2011
20387 posts
Posted on 3/14/22 at 11:01 pm to
We led Colgate at the half. Got down 33-19 then went on a 17-0 run to finish the half to lead 36-33.

One thing I think this team lacks that made last years so good was their passing. I watched the highlights of every tournament game the other day and it blew my mind some of the assist passes that team made.
Posted by Feral
Member since Mar 2012
12679 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 6:15 am to
quote:

On offense, good shot selection will be key. Vermont will not allow many offensive rebounds which puts more pressure on smart shot selection.


This.

If OhNotae shows up and starts chucking threes from the halfcourt logo (and missing them), we’ll get killed on the offensive boards worse than usual.

Here’s hoping we left our shooting woes in Tampa, because we can’t afford to start another game shooting sub-30% in the first half.
Posted by BadPiggy
NW Arkansas
Member since Jan 2015
533 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 6:20 am to
I wonder if Vanover might not end up being very useful in this game since Vermont is not a big team. Could be good for cleaning up rebounds on both end, and blocking out while our guards drive the lane. And since they are an outside shooting team, he would not be a big penalty on the defensive end.

I'm no coach, but I'm sure Muss will consider this if its viable.
Posted by ArHog
Gulf Coast
Member since Jan 2008
38135 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 6:58 am to
quote:

I wonder if Vanover might not end up being very useful in this game since Vermont is not a big team


Muss isn't this ignorant

Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
26709 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 7:05 am to
When Vanover started against Colgate and got destroyed by Lurch who was slower than smoke rising off poo, Muss yanked him.
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
18825 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 8:45 am to
He hasn't played in months. No chance he sees the floor unless Williams gets in serious foul trouble. Even then they will roll with Kamani.

Umede and Toney are as big as their biggest guys.
Posted by sugatowng
Look at my bling Bitches
Member since Nov 2006
25557 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 9:13 am to
I watched their most recent game and I saw a team that shot well from deep, worked ball around to find guys in the paint and was good at defending.

We can’t have an off night shooting or we will lose this game
Posted by STLhog
Dallas, TX
Member since Jan 2015
18825 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 9:17 am to
Against 18-14 UMBC?

Not discounting this team but they haven’t seen anyone with our size and length since Maryland, who beat them easily.
Posted by UltimateHog
Thailand
Member since Dec 2011
68485 posts
Posted on 3/15/22 at 9:54 am to
They led Maryland at half. Providence was up 10 at half and they tied second half with them.
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