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Analytics model projects 9 wins
Posted on 8/29/22 at 10:05 pm
Posted on 8/29/22 at 10:05 pm
Just reviewed an analytics model that I subscribe to.
Model accounts for coaching staffs. home/away field, and roster talent.
SEC rosters with the better talent wins 70% of league games.
Pre-season projections:
Losses to LSU, Bama, and Aggy.
Alabama and Ole Miss games project to be extremely close.
Talent gap with Cincy (including home field) is about 25 spots.
For BYU, its about 40 spots.
Missouri State is about 110 spots.
Liberty is about 60 spots.
...
EDIT: MISREAD Model. NO loss to SCar.
I thought the Cocks game was in Columbia.
This post was edited on 8/30/22 at 11:28 am
Posted on 8/29/22 at 10:17 pm to Jack Ruby
So according to this model we lose to South Carolina but beat lsu and auburn? I’d think both of those schools have more *talent* on their roster than SC but I could be wrong
Posted on 8/29/22 at 10:17 pm to Jack Ruby
quote:
Losses to S Carolina

Posted on 8/29/22 at 11:26 pm to Drewbie
Posted on 8/30/22 at 8:33 am to Jack Ruby
quote:
Pre-season projections:
Losses to S Carolina, Bama, and Aggy.
Alabama and Ole Miss games project to be extremely close.
So we play Bama tight but get blown out by S. Carolina.
Posted on 8/30/22 at 9:04 am to boogiewoogie1978
Show me Samalytics.
Posted on 8/30/22 at 9:43 am to STLhog
What did this analytics site say our wins were last year?
Posted on 8/30/22 at 10:51 am to Hawgnsincebirth55
LSU had 10 draft picks this year. Auburn and South Carolina had either close to the same amount or slightly more draft picks than Arkansas.
Posted on 8/30/22 at 10:52 am to FayetteNAM
Didn't see last year's model.
This model also says Auburn is going to be awful this year because of all the coaching turnover and bad hires made by Harsin.
This model also says Auburn is going to be awful this year because of all the coaching turnover and bad hires made by Harsin.
This post was edited on 8/30/22 at 11:05 am
Posted on 8/30/22 at 11:10 am to Jack Ruby
So we are losing to a 5 win USC team?
Posted on 8/30/22 at 11:29 am to sugatowng
I fricked up. I thought the SCAR game was an away game and the model said the home team was going to win.
LSU is the third game we lose, according to the model, NOT GAMECOCKS.
LSU is the third game we lose, according to the model, NOT GAMECOCKS.
This post was edited on 8/30/22 at 11:30 am
Posted on 8/30/22 at 1:51 pm to Jack Ruby
I really think we take LSU again this year.
Posted on 8/30/22 at 9:53 pm to Jack Ruby
Looks like shite is skewed towards LSU and Florida as per usual. No reason to believe either of those don't fight for last place in their division (sans Vandy)
Posted on 8/31/22 at 9:30 am to dammitbert
Lsu still has boatloads of talent on its roster. That's the issue keeping them in the mix per the analytics.
As for Florida, kind of the same thing, plus they have a very good coaching staff, but their talent is not like LSU, but they play in the east... So they are better (roster wise) than everyone not named Georgia.
In the West, they'd probably be 4th or 5th.
As for Florida, kind of the same thing, plus they have a very good coaching staff, but their talent is not like LSU, but they play in the east... So they are better (roster wise) than everyone not named Georgia.
In the West, they'd probably be 4th or 5th.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:17 pm to Jack Ruby
did the analytics guys ever play football?
Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:20 pm to Jack Ruby
can you post profile pics of the analytics guys?
I'm betting they look like this

I'm betting they look like this

Posted on 8/31/22 at 12:28 pm to Jack Ruby
quote:
Lsu still has boatloads of talent on its roster.
according to who?
Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:07 pm to Harry Rex Vonner
Even when LSU is in the so called down years, they have more talent than Arkansas.
Posted on 8/31/22 at 6:47 pm to dchog
quote:
Even when LSU is in the so called down years, they have more talent than Arkansas.
according to who?
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