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re: We drop to 5th behind UGA

Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:22 pm to
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20760 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:22 pm to
By the way, Bill Battle‘s shitty legacy lives on:

- Nike Contract
- Gregg Goff
- Avery Johnson
- Duke (Yes, I know it was CFA’s responsibility but we pay an AD to not bind us to shitty deals like that.)
This post was edited on 11/12/19 at 7:27 pm
Posted by PEPE
Member since Jun 2018
8198 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

The fact that they think we are are behind UGA to me means we are going to get jumped on the last weekend for sure.


Correct. The sooner people grasp this likely reality the better for their mental state.

People who don't think a 12-1 PAC12 champion leap frogging us the final week is a very real possibility are living in la-la land.

We need Oregon/Utah to drop a game.
Posted by Cobrasize
Birmingham
Member since Jun 2013
49682 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

We need Oregon/Utah to drop a game.

I think it will happen.
Posted by Shaft Williams
Central City, LA
Member since Jul 2010
9419 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:40 pm to
You put Oregon or Utah in the playoff and at least one semifinal game will be a dud with poor ratings and empty seats.

Don't forget this is a business. And, Bama getting in makes a lot of financial sense for the future of the playoff especially expanding the playoff.
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16985 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:43 pm to
Yep and yep. Rematch of Bama LSU at some point would get huge hype and ratings.
Posted by pvilleguru
Member since Jun 2009
60453 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:44 pm to
quote:

So UGA isnt penalized for losing to SC at home lol
How do you figure they weren't?
Posted by BamaBo7
Madison,MS
Member since Jan 2017
5686 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:48 pm to
Posted by TideWarrior
Asheville/Chapel Hill NC
Member since Sep 2009
11833 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:51 pm to
Thats the real issue is the PAC 12 who have 2 1 loss teams that neither one in their last 3 games play a team with a better record then 4-5. So if both finish 11-1 going into their CCG they will jump us. I actually think they would also jump LSU if UGA wins out.
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
20760 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

Thats the real issue is the PAC 12 who have 2 1 loss teams that neither one in their last 3 games play a team with a better record then 4-5. So if both finish 11-1 going into their CCG they will jump us. I actually think they would also jump LSU if UGA wins out.



- If UGA wins out, then they are in and it’s no longer our problem.

- I’m hesitant to say that we will get in over a 1 loss PAC 12 Champ but if we look the part against Miss State and then convincingly beat an Auburn team that beat the PAC 12 champ at a neutral site, then I think most metrics will put us over the top.
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16985 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 7:59 pm to
Agreed. I want revenge.
Posted by stat19
Member since Feb 2011
29350 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 8:09 pm to
quote:

I’m trying to figure out why the rant is celebrating like there isn’t a month left lol


LSU fans celebrate when Alabama loses anything.

They don’t realize it but LSU fans have the biggest little brother syndrome of any fan base in the SEC. Sometimes little brother whips your arse and you have to put up with child-like mockery. This is just one of those times.
Posted by BamaBo7
Madison,MS
Member since Jan 2017
5686 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 8:10 pm to
Unless Utah is the one loss champ.. then it gets interesting. The Barn beat Oregon.. but if Utah wins.. that might throw a monkey wrench in it all.
Posted by FWBFLlaw
Member since Aug 2018
2389 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 8:23 pm to
Yeah; they are really pumping up the”Tua has quit” and “Tua won’t play another down at the college level” theories. It’s almost like they don’t want to play a healthy Tua or something.
Posted by prevatt33b
Member since Oct 2019
1147 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 8:25 pm to
quote:

Unless Utah is the one loss champ.. then it gets interesting. The Barn beat Oregon.. but if Utah wins.. that might throw a monkey wrench in it all.


Oregon's resume is better than Utah's and will always be the more attractive 1-loss PAC12 team.
Posted by FWBFLlaw
Member since Aug 2018
2389 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 8:30 pm to
Just saw the scroll on ESPN, apparently we have the highest % to make the playoffs at 41%. Oregon has a 31%. UGA has the next highest at 21%. Utah, Baylor, PSU, Minnesota, and Oklahoma have less than 12% chance to make the playoffs.
This post was edited on 11/12/19 at 8:31 pm
Posted by XenScott
Pensacola
Member since Oct 2016
3128 posts
Posted on 11/12/19 at 8:48 pm to
If LSU beats Georgia convincingly innSECCG then they are out with 2 losses. We need au to lose so that Oregon has a loss to a 4 loss mid pack SEC team.
Posted by EasternShoreTider
Fairhope, AL
Member since Oct 2018
988 posts
Posted on 11/13/19 at 9:04 am to
quote:

We need au to lose so that Oregon has a loss to a 4 loss mid pack SEC team.


That's kind of my thought as well. If Auburn does beat Georgia, and we can hammer Auburn it gives us a great win, but I'm more worried about it strengthening Oregon's one loss. The committee does take in to account how good/bad your loss is..

I feel like they may look for any way to "spin it" to get Oregon in, and that just may be the route they take.
This post was edited on 11/13/19 at 9:35 am
Posted by Bamafan24
Huntsville
Member since Oct 2014
8282 posts
Posted on 11/13/19 at 9:22 am to
quote:

If LSU beats Georgia convincingly innSECCG then they are out with 2 losses. We need au to lose so that Oregon has a loss to a 4 loss mid pack SEC team.



I disagree with the auburn loses because this committee favors wins over loses. A big win over auburn at auburn would be a bigger boost.
Posted by OldPete
Georgia
Member since Oct 2013
2804 posts
Posted on 11/13/19 at 9:38 am to
UGA has a much worse loss than us but they also have two much better wins. In the long run, it doesn't matter that UGA is ahead of us; if they win out, they'd have jumped us any way. For us to get in, at the least, we need UGA and Oregon to drop a game; we might even need OU to drop a game and or Baylor to drop a game.

Best case scenario if we win out:

Baylor beats OU this week and then loses to Texas the following week.

Oregon loses at Arizona State and beats Utah in the PAC-12 championship game.

AU and/or LSU beats UGA.

Wild (but unlikely) scenario: AU beats UGA and then UGA beats LSU in the SECCG; the SEC champ gets left out but two 1-loss non-conference champions from the SEC (LSU, Bama) make the play-off and the internet explodes...
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
26956 posts
Posted on 11/13/19 at 10:09 am to
quote:

The fact that they think we are are behind UGA to me means we are going to get jumped on the last weekend for sure.



Chip Kelly needs to go to work Saturday.
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