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re: SECCG SOG Prediction Models - #1 Georgia vs #3 Alabama

Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:28 pm to
Posted by RollTide33
Member since Sep 2019
2765 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:28 pm to
This is where we really miss Jase. His ability to catch passes out of the backfield could have been a game changer Saturday.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

This is where we really miss Jase. His ability to catch passes out of the backfield could have been a game changer Saturday.


Agree - I think we've missed the hell out of him all season. It feels like forever ago but remember how many times he and B-Rob made huge catches in the flats those first 3 weeks?

He was really shaping up to be a big time contributor this year. Losing him was huge.
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37609 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:29 pm to
quote:

I think we are in for a hell of a game personally.




Gonna be lit.....its been awhile since we have been such an underdog

Posted by Dubosed
Gulf Breeze
Member since Nov 2012
7040 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:30 pm to
Bama has a chance because UGA is trotting out Stetson Bennett. They can't block Bama's front either. This game will come down to Bryce Young making plays.
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
75853 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

This game will come down to Bryce Young making plays.



I hope our OL gives him time to make them.

Posted by Dubosed
Gulf Breeze
Member since Nov 2012
7040 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

I hope our OL gives him time to make them.



That ain't gonna happen. Bryce Young is gonna have to earn that 5* and NIL 7 figure deal.
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37609 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:43 pm to
quote:

That ain't gonna happen. Bryce Young is gonna have to earn that 5* and NIL 7 figure deal.



Heisman on the line too
Posted by RollTide33
Member since Sep 2019
2765 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 9:51 pm to
Can we chill with the NIL stuff and speculation that it is negatively affecting players? In a reality where a coach of a top 6 team with a legitimate chance to make the playoffs bails for more money I don't think we can blame players.
Posted by TideSaint
Hill Country
Member since Sep 2008
75853 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:11 pm to
His post went way, way over your head.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:19 pm to
Fyi, here is one of the CFBGraph site guys explaining the reasoning and the numbers behind their projection for UGA/Bama

CFBGraphs UGA/Bama Discussion

Basically he says their method doesn't always track perfectly in terms of point total, but they feel strongly about the margin. So it could easily be more like 23-23.

Pretty interesting and definitely leans into some of the matchups we've discussed in here.
This post was edited on 11/30/21 at 10:23 pm
Posted by 1BamaRTR
In Your Head Blvd
Member since Apr 2015
22521 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:46 pm to
The CFB Nerds model had it 28-28 though both predicted 10 point wins by UGA
Posted by Che Boludo
Member since May 2009
18181 posts
Posted on 11/30/21 at 10:47 pm to
Did you factor in the secret pick-up the blitz packages?
Posted by Sl0thstronautEsq
Antarctica
Member since Aug 2018
9259 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 4:34 am to
quote:

and Tennessee threw for 330 yards and 6.9 YPA. And their outside WR got hurt early in the game.


Hooker left A LOT of yards on the field early in that game too. Had dudes running wide open down the field and just missed them. Would have been some explosive gains that could have changed the outcome of that game.

Hoping BY doesnt suffer the same fate of being too amped up to control his accuracy, because I think our WRs will have chances against their secondary.
Posted by Bamadoc
Mississippi
Member since Jan 2014
3985 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 6:46 am to
quote:

His post went way, way over your head.


Most can tell dubose was kidding, but you can't blame folks for being defensive about the NIL stuff. Just this past Saturday there were posts left and right about the million dollars he's making and not earning it.
Posted by Brostache48
Member since Dec 2019
554 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 6:57 am to
The only thing I'd add would be if Brob isn't ready to go Saturday, I really don't see us trying to run it 27-28 times. I could be wrong because BoB seems to be a "beat his head into the wall until something works" type of guy but if we were smart we would take our chances with the pass game and only rush 15-20 times at most
Posted by TD7
Member since Jul 2019
919 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 7:07 am to
I agree, I haven't felt this less confident in the offensive staffs ability to put together an offensive game plan in a long time. I just have no confidence BOB will do what's necessary to attack Georgia. Hope I'm wrong.
This post was edited on 12/1/21 at 7:10 am
Posted by Brostache48
Member since Dec 2019
554 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 7:24 am to
Trust me, I hope we're both wrong. Just seems like we're winning despite our lack of ability to call plays on offense to put us in favorable situations
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 7:50 am to
quote:

The only thing I'd add would be if Brob isn't ready to go Saturday, I really don't see us trying to run it 27-28 times. I could be wrong because BoB seems to be a "beat his head into the wall until something works" type of guy but if we were smart we would take our chances with the pass game and only rush 15-20 times at most


I'd like to think the same thing, but.......yeaaaaa

I will say that I think we did do that we'd still substitute quick passes as subs for the run game that would more or less be the same in terms of yardage (2-4 yards or so).
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 7:51 am to
quote:

I agree, I haven't felt this less confident in the offensive staffs ability to put together an offensive game plan in a long time. I just have no confidence BOB will do what's necessary to attack Georgia. Hope I'm wrong.


Same
Posted by UASports23
Member since Nov 2009
24347 posts
Posted on 12/1/21 at 7:54 am to
I mean a former NFL coach and any coach can see what happens when you have zero plays to spread the defense out.... right?
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