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CFB Nerds UA vs AU

Posted on 11/26/19 at 12:33 pm
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16995 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 12:33 pm
LINK

Here we go
Posted by BamaBo7
Madison,MS
Member since Jan 2017
5686 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:41 pm to
Going to be a very tough game.. It will all come down to how Mac handles the pressure. If he gets the ball out and makes good reads we run away with it.. If not it will be a long painful day for him
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 1:58 pm to
They both see it pretty much how I do - a close game in the low 20's.

Posted by TiderNAL
Member since Nov 2010
7187 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:07 pm to
I predict many of us will have new or enlarged stomach ulcers due to this game, whether we win or lose.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24927 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:29 pm to
You can tell they don't have a good feel for this game. Neither do I. I keep hoping that the light turns on for the Bama defense and they have a dominating performance but with the continued decimation by injury I just can't really believe that is going to happen in this game.

So even though Auburn's offense isn't great, I think they will find ways to score points on this defense and Alabama is going to have to put up 30 points to win it. That's a tall task against the Auburn D with no Tua. With Tua I'd be very confident. Without Tua it feels like it really could go either way and I'm not surprised the line is so close.
Posted by prevatt33b
Member since Oct 2019
1147 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:37 pm to
I've researched, thought about, and discussed this game at length, and I've come to a simple conclusion:

Whether Bama wins or doesn't isn't an issue regarding stats or tendencies, it's not tremendously about this matchup or that one, and it's not inherently about injuries either - it's about whether the Alabama football team plays well. Sure, we've been hit by injuries, but we still have talent in those spots; not as much depth or experience, but we have players that should be able to get the job done.

The simple fact is that if Alabama shows up and limits penalties, communicates well, avoids mental mistakes, tackles, executes whatever gameplan was taught by the coaches, and doesn't commit numerous unforced errors, we'll win the game and be perfectly fine.

However, if Alabama shows up and doesn't have attention to detail and makes numerous mistakes, lengthy discussions of stats, match-ups, and injuries won't mean piss. We'll simply lose if auburn plays well.

All I want is for my team to show up and play to the best of its current ability. If that ceiling has been lowered by injuries, so be it. But if we play well - even with the myriad of injuries - we're still one of the best teams in the land.

Just be the best version of Alabama given the circumstances. I want to believe we can and will show up and do just that, but we've laid eggs for a half or all of the last few big games, and I'm honestly not optimistic. I'm not pessimistic either, just...matter-of-factly honest with myself about the product we seem to put on the field of late when the pressure gets turned up.

Just. Play. Well.
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 2:47 pm to
I get what you're saying, but mistakes are going to happen. The Auburn defense is too good, and Jones is too inexperienced for some mistakes from him not to occur. And on the other side, the front 7 is so young and the Auburn offense uses so much pre-snap motion, mistakes are bound to happen. If we can limit the mistakes, and limit Auburn's ability to capitalize on those mistakes, I like our chances.

Tall order for sure, and that aspect of the game in completely unpredictable.
Posted by prevatt33b
Member since Oct 2019
1147 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

I get what you're saying, but mistakes are going to happen. The Auburn defense is too good, and Jones is too inexperienced for some mistakes from him not to occur. And on the other side, the front 7 is so young and the Auburn offense uses so much pre-snap motion, mistakes are bound to happen.


I don't think you are getting what I'm saying. Forced errors are going to happen; but unforced erros do not have to happen one single time. It's called playing to the best of your ability. If a man beats you on a play, he beats you. It happens. Just don't beat yourself.

Also, Mac Jones is not inexperienced. He's been at Alabama for years, has a ton of reps with the 1s at practice and in games, played all of 2 complete Adays, and has even started 2 real games, one an SEC game. Let's stop with saying the kid's inexperienced.

Secondly, Mac Jones is still surrounded by an excellent Oline and the best set of skill players in the country. I believe this offense as currently constructed with Mac Jones should be better than any offense AJ McCarron ever led. We have that much talent.

Secondly, auburn's offense is good, but it's not the 85 Bears. There's no reason why auburn can't be eaten alive with plays Mac Jones can run in his sleep, given the amount of talent on that offense.

And contrary to popular belief, our defense is still pretty good. Tenth in the country in scoring defense is nothing to sneeze at, and auburn's offense is still garbage. It's just garbage. We see it every year, we know what we'll see, and we'll coach 'em up. If they execute the gameplan, we'll be fine. There's only one football. auburn can't play with 3.
This post was edited on 11/26/19 at 3:24 pm
Posted by OldPete
Georgia
Member since Oct 2013
2804 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

I believe this offense as currently constructed with Mac Jones should be better than any offense AJ McCarron ever led.

While I agree with your post in general, not sure 'bout this. While our current OL is good, that 2012 OL was the best we've ever had and has an argument as the best of all time...AJ was better at that point than Mac is now...Lacey and Yeldon were better then than Najee and BRob...our WRs are a better unit now but Amari Cooper and Kevin Norwood weren't chopped liver...and TEs are probably a wash. Overall, I'd say our 2012 O was easily better than our current O with Mac...
This post was edited on 11/26/19 at 3:28 pm
Posted by prevatt33b
Member since Oct 2019
1147 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 3:35 pm to
That 2012 Oline was maybe the best ever assembled. However, I don't agree about the running backs. I think if Najee and Robinson were featured in that offense, they'd shine just as brightly. We just don't run like that anymore schematically.

Secondly, I think we have the single best set of 4 starting WRs in the history of football, and this cannot be understated. AJ MCCarron was throwing to 1 stud and a handful of other dudes. Mac Jones is throwing to a pack of studs.

I also believe that we have an excellent Oline at this moment, but it's just my opinion and is subjective.

But we're getting lost in the weeds. Mac Jones is obviously a good enough QB for this offense to be an excellent offense. Excuses are not welcome or needed.
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22206 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 3:51 pm to
Mac has been on a somewhat short leash in the games he’s played. I’m really interested to see what Sark does with him in this game, given that we need to win and win big.
Posted by prevatt33b
Member since Oct 2019
1147 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:01 pm to
Sorry there's one more key to winning: the referees calling defensive holding in the secondary.
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22206 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:02 pm to
Zero chance we get the PI calls we should in Jordan Hare
Posted by TidalSurge1
Ft Walton Beach
Member since Sep 2016
36467 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Just. Play. Well.

You nailed it. The last few games we've lost were because we failed to do that. We made too many sloppy, costly mistakes -- self inflicted losses.
This post was edited on 11/26/19 at 4:13 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:17 pm to
Amen - just come out start to finish and play a clean game. No stupid mistakes, no bonehead penalties, no special teams gafs, no giant turnovers that give away points and/or take away our points.

Just play a clean game and let the chips fall where they may.
Posted by Legba007
Franklin, Tn
Member since Jul 2013
2087 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:52 pm to
may need extra blood pressure meds for this game
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Tittleman's Crest
Member since Feb 2009
52697 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 4:57 pm to
quote:


You can tell they don't have a good feel for this game. Neither do I. I keep hoping that the light turns on for the Bama defense and they have a dominating performance but with the continued decimation by injury I just can't really believe that is going to happen in this game.

So even though Auburn's offense isn't great, I think they will find ways to score points on this defense and Alabama is going to have to put up 30 points to win it. That's a tall task against the Auburn D with no Tua. With Tua I'd be very confident. Without Tua it feels like it really could go either way and I'm not surprised the line is so close.


One good thing about our defense is that teams that aren't great offensively, we have not allowed them to score many points at all, save for some garbage time stuff. LSU is an incredible offense, and our offense/special teams helped them out with short field in that first half. That is the only team that has really put up significant points against us.
Posted by AlbertMeansWell
Member since Sep 2013
5555 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 7:05 pm to
quote:


- Since 2007, Alabama has not beaten Auburn at Auburn when they're ranked in the top 25.


Auburn was ranked 24th in 2011
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
3294 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 7:31 pm to
You must be a media troll. How cute.
Posted by Sauron
Birmingham
Member since Dec 2015
994 posts
Posted on 11/26/19 at 8:03 pm to
Beg pardon?

I'm just giving out some historical info. I'd love another 42-14 beat down, but that kind of game down there is the outlier, not the norm.

Still ... It's comforting (to me, anyway) to realize despite all the weird things that always seem to happen down there, we still do better than they do on average.

And thanks for saying I'm cute. I'm vain and insecure, so that helped. I appreciate it.
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