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If Bama defeats the Dawgs, can they make the CFP with one loss?
Posted on 11/24/23 at 4:16 am
Posted on 11/24/23 at 4:16 am
Dennis Dodd at CBS sports gives a decent breakdown on what needs to happen for a 1 loss (to Bama) UGA to make the CFP.
Bottom line, just beat Bama .. which I believe they will. If not, need FSU, Washington and Texas to slip-up. I expect that either Ohio St or Michigan will remain undefeated, so that will secure a spot for one of them.
C/P from Dodd's article --
Bottom line, just beat Bama .. which I believe they will. If not, need FSU, Washington and Texas to slip-up. I expect that either Ohio St or Michigan will remain undefeated, so that will secure a spot for one of them.
C/P from Dodd's article --
quote:
No. 1 Georgia (11-0): Already in the SEC Championship Game against Alabama. Win out over Georgia Tech and Bama, and UGA is back in the playoff. As mentioned, the Dawgs are so firmly entrenched it's possible they could lose once and still get in. Amazingly, the "better" loss would be this week to Georgia Tech. The Dawgs could lose to the Yellowjackets and still go on and win the SEC title for a third straight year. The SEC champion has not been left out of the BCS/CFP since 2005. Losing to Georgia Tech, though, could force the committee to think twice.
It gets complicated in a different way if Georgia loses to Alabama. A second team from a conference has been in the BCS/CFP three times since 2011. However, in general, the committee favors conference champions over teams that lose those games. Things get sticky if Florida State and Washington, plus the Ohio State-Michigan winner, finish undefeated. That would account for three of the four spots with a one-loss Georgia competing against Alabama, the Ohio State-Michigan loser and possibly Texas as a one-loss Big 12 champion. In that scenario, Texas might get the fourth spot.
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Posted on 11/24/23 at 6:22 am to UGA fan n NC
1-We need to beat Bama and Tech..given.
2-I think Oregon beats Washington and would be in. I don’t think Oregon St can beat Oregon. They are healthy and on a roll.
3-Texas and FSU have a reasonable chance of still dropping a game. Neither is playing elite.
4-If Bama beats us they have the best win in the Country. Beat us and they are in (if they get past AU).
Us getting in with a loss would require Texas and FSU to lose, a close Bama loss after a strong GT showing.
Screw all that ..Kirby needs the Bama win. Trust in Kirby. Beat Tech.
2-I think Oregon beats Washington and would be in. I don’t think Oregon St can beat Oregon. They are healthy and on a roll.
3-Texas and FSU have a reasonable chance of still dropping a game. Neither is playing elite.
4-If Bama beats us they have the best win in the Country. Beat us and they are in (if they get past AU).
Us getting in with a loss would require Texas and FSU to lose, a close Bama loss after a strong GT showing.
Screw all that ..Kirby needs the Bama win. Trust in Kirby. Beat Tech.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 6:42 am to RealDawg
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Screw all that ..Kirby needs the Bama win. Trust in Kirby. Beat Tech.
Agreed. No mulligans this year. Just win.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 6:43 am to RealDawg
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Screw all that ..Kirby needs the Bama win. Trust in Kirby. Beat Tech.
I agree. I do not trust the CFP committee at all when it comes to selecting the best team(s) with 1 loss. Should the Dawgs lose the SECCG, I don't see the committee selecting them even though I'd firmly believe they are one of the best 4 teams remaining.
This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 6:47 am
Posted on 11/24/23 at 7:22 am to UGA fan n NC
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If Bama defeats the Dawgs, can they make the CFP with one loss
Of course they can. As is the case every single year, it's largely dependent on the other P5 champs. The suggestion that a 1-loss P5 champ has no chance is silly.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 7:23 am to UGA fan n NC
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do not trust the CFP committee at all when it comes to selecting the best team(s) with 1 loss.
They've gotten it right every year so far. There's no reason to think they'd start shitting it up now.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 7:55 am to WG_Dawg
quote:"they", meaning UGA .. Yes, Bama will make the CFP with 1 loss if they win the SECCG. My concern is would UGA make the CFP with one loss (to Bama)? That is where I don't trust the CFP committee when selecting a 1 loss, non-P5 champ team for the CFP.
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If Bama defeats the Dawgs, can they make the CFP with one lossquote:
Of course they can. As is the case every single year, it's largely dependent on the other P5 champs. The suggestion that a 1-loss P5 champ has no chance is silly.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 8:01 am to UGA fan n NC
Ah I gotcha. My answer is still the same though. Yes we absolutely CAN, as evidenced by 2 years ago. It's absolutely not a definite though and entirely depends on the other champs.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 8:17 am to WG_Dawg
I feel pretty confident that UGA defeats Bama. But just in case they don't win, I hate to think of going into selection Sunday on pins and needles because UGA's CFP hopes are placed in the hands of a committee.
This post was edited on 11/24/23 at 8:20 am
Posted on 11/24/23 at 8:21 am to RealDawg
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4-If Bama beats us they have the best win in the Country. Beat us and they are in (if they get past AU).
Us getting in with a loss would require Texas and FSU to lose
Bama needs this to get in the playoffs if they beat us
They do not control their own destiny, they need to beat us and hope for a good bit of chaos
I’m seeing a lot of people that are arrogantly assuming Bama gets in no matter what, but they wouldn’t
They’d be behind every undefeated conference champ and a 1 loss Texas
They MIGHT also be behind a 1 loss Oregon
Hopefully, we take care of business and none of this matters
Posted on 11/24/23 at 8:25 am to UGA fan n NC
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But just in case they don't win, I hate to think of going into selection Sunday on pins and needles because UGA's CFP hopes are placed in the hands of a committee.
I hear ya, and it does suck. I agree. But the committee selects the 4 best resumes/most deserving, they have never picked the "best team" as that would be subjective and impossible. If we are a 1 loss team that isn't a conference champion, we've unfortunately put ourselves in position to have to rely on some help.
Personally I think bama and MAYBE OSU/Oregon are the only teams this year that can and with us, so I will be annoyed if we don't make the final 4 but hey, that's why you play the games. If you wanna make it, win.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:17 am to WG_Dawg
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do not trust the CFP committee at all when it comes to selecting the best team(s) with 1 loss.
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They've gotten it right every year so far. There's no reason to think they'd start shitting it up now.
Agreed.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 9:21 am to SteelerBravesDawg
There were 8 SEC teams that would have given us a better game than TCU.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 11:25 am to UGA fan n NC
We need to beat bama. I don't even care Abt a natty I just want to beat a full strength bama team to shut their arrogant fan base up
Posted on 11/24/23 at 12:07 pm to WG_Dawg
The OP isn't asking whether one loss Bama can qualify. The question was about UGA but poorly written.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 12:13 pm to UGA fan n NC
If UGA were to lose a closely contested SECCG our natty qualification would be doubtful. In that possible case I would like to be in the room listening to the committee's discussion.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 12:16 pm to Whiznot
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poorly written.
Yes, it was poorly written. My apologies ...
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:12 pm to UGA fan n NC
No problem. I was confused at first. A one word switch from "they" to "we" would have been better.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:16 pm to Whiznot
I wonder if us kicking the shite out of TCU and Michigan the last 2 years help us.
Posted on 11/24/23 at 2:37 pm to Peter Buck
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wonder if us kicking the shite out of TCU and Michigan the last 2 years help us.
If the committee was truly going for those teams that pass the "smell test", I would think so. But they've consistently shown us what their criteria is. I think that there is no shot that we get in as a 1-loss non-con champ over a 1-loss con champ.
It's never been done, and I think they should remain true to their standard, even as I wish that they wouldn't.
But, we are beating Bama, so whatever.
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