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Why is it assumed that Georgia is in the CFP no matter what?
Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:26 pm
Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:26 pm
If LSU beats Georgia, and that’s a huge if, LSU will be on a 7-game winning streak with wins over what will then be a top 5 Georgia team and a top 6 Alabama team.
Georgia’s best wins at that point will be over top 10 Tennessee and maybe a top 10 Oregon team (assuming they beat USC).
LSU will have better wins, head to head, and be SEC Champions.
Would the Committee really overlook all of that to punish us for losing by 1 pt in week 1?
Georgia’s best wins at that point will be over top 10 Tennessee and maybe a top 10 Oregon team (assuming they beat USC).
LSU will have better wins, head to head, and be SEC Champions.
Would the Committee really overlook all of that to punish us for losing by 1 pt in week 1?
This post was edited on 11/20/22 at 1:27 pm
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Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:38 pm to KwoodTiger
I agree. Makes no sense to have LSU- Georgia meet in the SEC title game then still put both in the playoff if Georgia loses. The SEC Championship game IS a playoff game. USC if they win out should get in over Georgia.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:46 pm to KwoodTiger
If TCU and USC win out then the winner of the SEC championship will be the only SEC team in the CFP.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:47 pm to KwoodTiger
The only way that Georgia is out of the playoffs is if one of the following two scenarios take place:
1.) They lose both their season finale and the SEC championship by any margin at all (two loss uga isn't getting in, period)
2.) They win their season finale but LSU absolutely beats the dog shite (no pun intended) out of them. I'm talking a 41-14 type beatdown.
If LSU beats them by just a score or two, they are in. No question. The only question is would that be enough to get LSU in too. I think it would.
1.) OSU/Mich
2.) TCU
3.) LSU
4.) uga
1.) They lose both their season finale and the SEC championship by any margin at all (two loss uga isn't getting in, period)
2.) They win their season finale but LSU absolutely beats the dog shite (no pun intended) out of them. I'm talking a 41-14 type beatdown.
If LSU beats them by just a score or two, they are in. No question. The only question is would that be enough to get LSU in too. I think it would.
1.) OSU/Mich
2.) TCU
3.) LSU
4.) uga
Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:48 pm to KwoodTiger
Same reason they lost in the SEC CG last year and still made it
Posted on 11/20/22 at 1:50 pm to TigerFanatic99
USC goes before one of those teams
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:00 pm to AkronTiger
quote:
USC goes before one of those teams
The pac 10 isn't on the same level as the SEC
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:04 pm to WaterLink
quote:
Same reason they lost in the SEC CG last year and still made it
Different resume and different circumstances each year.
That’s kind of the point though…it is an assumption but with no real empirical support other than LSU having 2 losses and Georgia only having 1 loss at that point.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:10 pm to KwoodTiger
I don’t assume UGA is in the playoff.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:16 pm to KwoodTiger
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:17 pm to KwoodTiger
You can only affect the next game on your schedule.
Let's talk about this after COFH.
Let's talk about this after COFH.
This post was edited on 11/20/22 at 2:42 pm
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:18 pm to KwoodTiger
Can’t be punished for playing 13 games. Georgia should be undefeated in the regular season barring some type of freak disaster that allows tech to beat Georgia in Sanford stadium.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:19 pm to KwoodTiger
Well LSU has 2 losses for starters…
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:19 pm to KwoodTiger
12-1 uga would be a top 4 team OP
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:21 pm to JackTraven
And one of those losses was unbelievably bad.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:22 pm to KwoodTiger
While it's not entirely fair, it's entirely possible that UGA is in over LSU even if they lose head to head.
In 2016, OSU lost to PSU during the season and finished with 1-loss. PSU had two losses but won the Big 10. OSU got in the playoff and PSU didn't.
LSU as a 2 loss conference champ isn't an automatic pick. It's actually likely UGA would be ahead of them in the pecking order even with a head to head loss.
In 2016, OSU lost to PSU during the season and finished with 1-loss. PSU had two losses but won the Big 10. OSU got in the playoff and PSU didn't.
LSU as a 2 loss conference champ isn't an automatic pick. It's actually likely UGA would be ahead of them in the pecking order even with a head to head loss.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:23 pm to Griffindawg
quote:
Can’t be punished for playing 13 games. Georgia should be undefeated in the regular season barring some type of freak disaster that allows tech to beat Georgia in Sanford stadium.
I think Tech spent their wad on beating UNC this past weekend.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:23 pm to KwoodTiger
Focus Georgia Tech, imo.
Posted on 11/20/22 at 2:27 pm to FlexDawg
Using those predictors, LSU has a 95% chance of making the playoffs if they beat A&M & UGA according to 538
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