Favorite team:LSU 
Location:
Biography:2018 Bowl Pick Em Champion
Interests:
Occupation:
Number of Posts:26988
Registered on:11/5/2015
Online Status:
 Online

Recent Posts

Message

re: Path to Playoffs

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/12/26 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

ESPN CFP indicator says with winning out, LSU has a 54% chance of getting in
hate to pick on your username but do you not know how to internet? This is unequivocally false. What is the point of you jumping into every playoff thread on this forum and spreading misinformation?

In this hypothetical no way do I see 10-2 Houston finishing ranked ahead of 9-3 LSU. 10-2 BYU I understand, Houston no way.
quote:

Three loss Texas is in over you easily if it turns out that way.
what makes you so certain Texas is in over LSU with the same record and H2H loss?

Next week you’d probably still be a few spots ahead of us but then after we beat Tennessee on the road vs you beating Arkansas at home, LSU will have put the committee on notice for what they just did in the previous 2 weeks. That’d be the best 2 game stretch of any team in the country and recency bias comes in. Committee puts in who is playing the best right now
quote:

Obviously need SCe to lose to UGA

It wouldn’t hurt if UK drops another game
this is where the help we need comes in. Need Georgia to finish 11-1

That would be South Carolina and Mizzou catching a 4th loss. Kentucky plain and simple is not better than LSU even though they won in OT at home on a 2pt conversion with a ton of BS calls gifting them points. If they lose a third, which they should to either Florida or Mizzou, that opens us up to finish as the 3rd highest ranked SEC team.
Dumb

It’s not a 2 team tiebreaker. There would be a clusterfrick of 9-3 teams


ETA for instance, reasoning 7-2 Tennessee is behind 7-2 Bama with the H2H win is because 7-2 Texas beat Tennessee so Texas is the buffer team ranked between the 2. Once you throw Tennessee, Texas, Ole Miss and LSU all in a 9-3 tiebreaker go ahead and compare those teams round robin records. Maybe then you’ll understand

re: Pels vs Nets

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/11/26 at 8:57 pm to
Best case scenario PTAO is back and we’re winning the next 4

quote:

no way 3 loss lsu makes the playoffs…
solid troll:lol:
I’ve put too much effort into arguing we’d get in at 9-3. I know we’re not winning out anyway

I’m more excited to see LSU v Gonzaga on Saturday than I am the Texas game
That would be nice given how much the regular season has been diminished. It’d be a huge advantage to be ranked #1 at the end of the regular season. For every additional upset the next highest ranked team gets a more favorable matchup in the next round too
quote:

but there’s too many BYU’s and Texas Tech’s and Iowa types that will have two or fewer losses.
You’ll see that won’t matter in 2 weeks if we’re 8-3 when the rankings come out.

Iowa’s only win that could qualify as a quality win be Wisconsin if they finish 10-2.

There’s a reason 2-loss Alabama is ranked ahead of an undefeated B1G team. The SOS in the SEC is being weighted as you’d hope by the committee to date.

Eta playoff predictor says 10-2 Iowa has a 65% chance to make the playoff, LSU at 9-3 is 73%. Our strength of record would outweigh theirs

re: Round 2: LSU OM

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/11/26 at 12:14 pm to
Models say that is one of the most important outside games for LSU. We do need Tennessee to finish 9-3 with us also finishing 9-3. Tennessee’s big win over Bama would be the buffer we need to be ranked ahead of Tennessee with most the other 3-loss teams such as ole Miss and probably Kentucky ranked behind them

re: Round 2: LSU OM

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/11/26 at 12:10 pm to
Yes that’s fair, Ole Miss comes in at the bottom of the tiebreaker as I suspect. It will be tough between lsu and Texas. Depends on the MOV but Texas does have 3 big wins to what would be LSUs 2. LSU would have the “recency bias” of who is playing best right now coming off a win against Texas and on the road against Tennessee in that scenario though where both those teams would be ranked #6 when we played them.

I don’t think we win out but if we do that 73% chance to make the playoff seems modest

re: Round 2: LSU OM

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/11/26 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

If both teams win out then Ole Miss will be ranked higher in the final poll.

That head to head will be the tie breaker.
you fail to see the big picture. I’m tired of spoon feeding people but what are ole Miss big wins outside of LSU if they finish 9-3 and Tennessee Texas also finish 9-3? It’s not just a 2 team tiebreaker

•LSU will have beat Texas and Tennessee
•Texas will have beaten Tennessee Ole Miss and Ohio State
•Tennessee will have beaten Kentucky and Alabama
•Ole Miss will have beaten LSU, ???? (4-loss Mizzou, OU????)

Now rank those 9-3 teams in order. I have a strong feeling how the committee would rank them with lsu coming off back to back wins over those teams and Ole Miss is probably at the very bottom of that totem pole

re: Round 2: LSU OM

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/11/26 at 11:35 am to
quote:

LSU has a much more difficult schedule remaining.

which very much works to our advantage

If we lose another game then frick it all anyways
quote:

We are statistically one of the best mid teams of all time

probably true :lol::banghead:
The one game we got whooped in this year last weekend and we still had a +14 margin on 1st downs

Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.


Amazing we haven’t converted that to a better record when you can sustain drives like that and get other teams off the field at that rate. Unbelievable with Treydez our RZ efficiency has been that bad. What a waste… If he was available for the UK game we’d be in the playoff as of this week.
quote:

BoarEd
every time I see these Qtard skits I start laughing thinking of you and DeBoar

Honestly it’s uncanny :lol:
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.
quote:

They have played the hardest schedule.out of every team mentioned and 100% should be ahead of TN, LSU, and kentucky
ole Miss best win would be against LSU and who else? LSU would have beaten Tennessee and Texas, Texas would have beaten Tennessee Ole Miss and Ohio State, and tennessee would have beaten Kentucky and Alabama.

Ole Miss is at the bottom of that totem pole

In order it’d be LSU, Texas, Tennessee, Ole Miss. bet

re: It’s not over fellas…

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/10/26 at 9:46 pm to
quote:

We are not getting in with the 3 losses we have and a “ recency bias “ from just getting our arses handed to us at home ! Wait until next year !
what:lol:

It’s hilarious you mention recency bias as if the playoff starts this week. What about “recency bias” in 2 weeks if we still have only 3 losses and are coming off wins against #6 and #8 (who will be ranked higher)… what then?
quote:

Literally beat lsu
full body of work pal

quote:

LSU only chance even sniff playoff is win out
no fricking shite retard. That’s what we’re discussing :confused:

quote:

and kentucky and ole miss lose another.
yeah Kentucky only has 2 losses, different scenario. They’d be ahead of all the 3-loss sec teams. You’re a dumbass if you think LSU Ole Miss Texas and Tennessee all 9-3 that LSU is in the back of that pack.

Please rank those 4 teams if all finish 9-3. You gonna put Ole Miss ahead of Tennessee? Bet you’re not :doublebird:

re: It’s not over fellas…

Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger on 11/10/26 at 9:28 pm to
quote:

You forgetting that Ole Miss beat LSU. Think that would put them in over us with the same records.
not at all forgetting that. Put together their full body of work and who is playing the best at the moment.

You realize there’s a lot of teams in those rankings that beat teams H2H ranked above them right? Tennessee beat bama by 10+ and are ranked 5 spots behind bama. Ole Miss would be ranked behind Texas and probably Tennessee too if all 8-3