re: Which schools will lose membership when the B1G and SEC break away?

Money is your answer, they will break away not by choice but by hey this is who is left. We are at pay for play next year, not nil, but legitimate the school taking its profits and sharing it. It starts at 20 million, starts, it’ll go up from there. Who can afford that outside the sec and big ten and would want to do it? After the 20 million you still gotta pay for coaches equipment maintenance facilities. Clem fsu nd unc ok state? A lot of universities flat won’t be able to compete. But bury your head in the sand and just keep saying big conference too big. The breakaway is inevitable. But it’s not the haves leaving as much as the have nots can’t afford to go with them.

Pay for play isn’t a made up what if, it’s coming next year, it’s already creating a stir on the recruiting trail. Recruiting classes of schools that don’t have a plan to spend the allotted 20 mil are losing recruits. Who outside the sec/big 10 can afford 40 mil a year on just football

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Pay for play isn’t a made up what if, it’s coming next year, it’s already creating a stir on the recruiting trail. Recruiting classes of schools that don’t have a plan to spend the allotted 20 mil are losing recruits. Who outside the sec/big 10 can afford 40 mil a year on just football

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Who said anything about pay for play my guy? Quote my post where I mentioned pay for play.

In the short term, college football is already dead. We the fans have let corporate conglomerates suit our desire for sitting on our couches to watch every game (used to be guilty of this when I watched all the time) supercede the pageantry of the live game. Now we have a little football with our advertisements, we have players quitting mid-season for more money, we have mercenaries playing in front of mostly empty stadiums except for the biggest of games, and people tuning out like they never used to. There are a whole lot of people who don't give anywhere near the damn that they used to, and it's growing by the day.

In the long term, you're living in an alternate reality if you think you can kick out, say, 30% of P4 teams and still have your cake to eat. Where's that revenue going to come from when millions more shut the tv off? It would kill NCAA sports. No more Hoover, Omaha, the NCAA tourney would be NIT level hype, etc. The populace already doesn't care all that much about college football (hard fact for this board's sports bros to accept), and you think they'd care more after dozens of teams are kicked out? You think networks are still going to dole out $20mm a year per school when rating are down 40, 50, 60%? The only winner in that scenario would be the NFL, because nobody is tuning in to watch Bama play Michigan when they can watch the Saints play the Cowboys with a far superior product and broadcast.

What about the other sports? You think, for example, if State, Mizzou, Arkansas, Ole Miss, South Carolina and Vandy got kicked out of P4 conference money that they'd be fine and dandy letting the new P2 teams play them in the other sports? They'd start our own league and be back to real amateur collegiate sports, albeit we'd have to go see it live more often to watch with our eyes until some entrepreneur filled in that niche via youtube, X or some other streaming service. Also the games would be 2 hours max, so that's nice.

You people are delusional living in your sports forum bubble. Nobody is kicking dozens of P4 teams out of NCAA football and continuing on as if nothing happened. It's a niche audience, don't forget that. You kill off a third of NCAA football and you're burying your sport and all other collegiate sports as you know them alive.

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We'll be back to playing real college football in a decade

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This is a good point. I think the ROI will be a law of diminishing returns type of thing. The interest in the game from most fans will wane, to the point that viewership may completely dry up. At that point, CFB will be at a crossroads and players who want to take college classes AND play football will be able to do so again. Boosters and collectives will no longer shell out exorbitant amounts to of money (see FCS or DIII model) and kids will play for the reasons they used to play. Everything is cyclical. The current model will go bust eventually

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SEC and Big10 are not breaking away. Curious, what would they be breaking away from? Too get more money? Just schedule and sell more compelling games against each other.

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Thank you. Every time I see someone suggest a “breakaway league”, that is the question they can never answer. The SEC and B1G are already leagues. They’ve already won. They already dictate the terms of the college football landscape. It’s possible that the governing body could change in some way, given how awful the NCAA is, but that is extremely unlikely to result in either conference deciding to shed schools or to create some sort of special super league. The cons massively outweigh the benefits, even for the Ohio States and Alabamas of the world.

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Vandy is the only private school. For legal cover the SEC isn't letting them go anywhere. Baseball program is just a perk

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There is also research money tied to conferences and Vandy keeps the conference competitive academically with others vying for that money. Its not a one way street between the SEC and Vandy, its a mutually beneficial relationship.

Would save me a lot of money if SC got the boot

Contracts for players becoming school employees and salary caps will kick in at some point.

This still does not prevent NIL and under the table payments from happening.

But I do agree that structures and contracts will reign things in a bit.

I realize staying on topic and reading a couple paragraphs is a monumental task for the sports bros like yourself, but you need to try and keep up. Stay on topic or move along.

You’re so catty I surmise you get that from your mother no doubt. Anyways you don’t have an answe do to, if you did, you give it.

But that's not the narrative, nor the question and assertion made in the OP……I’m not responding to the op I’m responding to the guy who said this is all what ifs(that’d be you). I then stated it’s not all what ifs they are in fact starting pay for play next year. And a real question is who can afford that outside the sec and big ten?
lol sorry I wrote in “sports bro” whatever that means