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Posted on 11/3/22 at 10:48 pm to JackTraven
Not really...line has been pretty stable since late Sunday.
Once again, there's a difference between what the "public" is doing and where the real money is going.
Once again, there's a difference between what the "public" is doing and where the real money is going.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 10:52 pm to KellerChrystFan
quote:
Because it would be moronic based on where the line started at 2 TDs. You could double dip and they’d be out even more if UGA won by 7-10ish.
It started between 8 and 9 buddy.
LINK
This post was edited on 11/3/22 at 10:55 pm
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:31 pm to TrendingRight
Line has dropped 4 points. Anything more than that is silly.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:39 pm to Prof
Draftkings is at 7.5, a 5 point drop since opening. Are UGA fans still feeling it? I suspect it will go to 5.5 at the lowest.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:41 pm to Sgt Tuffnuts
quote:
It started between 8 and 9 buddy.
Your own link shows several books starting at 9 and dropping to 8. A full point drop is substantial but Vegas doesn't have to drop the line to sway the public in the era of intertubez and social media. When they release info like this and publicize it that is with the intent is to sway bettors to UGA the same as a line drop.
Posted on 11/3/22 at 11:51 pm to TrendingRight
People should learn what juice is.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 12:05 am to lewis and herschel
Georgia will win unless the victory goes to the better team. Tennessee is a solid touchdown better. The sucker bet is based on betting the history, not this year.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 5:17 am to Smokeyone
quote:
I suspect it will go to 5.5 at the lowest
There's zero chance of that happening.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 6:04 am to RD Dawg
Same thing with the LSU and Bama lines. Maybe Vegas will be right this time.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 6:08 am to RD Dawg
quote:
There's zero chance of that happening.
Still at 7.5 with the over at 65. Today is the day for big money right?
Posted on 11/4/22 at 6:11 am to TrendingRight
The line has dropped from +12 to +8.
87% of the money is on Tennessee at Caesars.
87% of the money is on Tennessee at Caesars.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 7:52 am to TrendingRight
quote:
Given they're the best handicappers on earth - Tennessee loses by 10 or more.
The built in expectation is that UGA will be -1 in turnovers (given that UT is +1 per game on the season and UGA is even in turnover margin).
The reality is the final score will be based on turnover margin.
If UGA is in the positive in turnover margin, UGA wins very big.
If UGA is even... UGA wins by 14-21.
If UGA is -1... UGA wins by 3-14
If UGA is -2... the game is mostly a toss up.
If UGA is -3... UT wins by 7-14.
More than that, UT rolls.
Turnovers are UT's way to win. Otherwise it's UGA.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 7:58 am to TrendingRight
It doesn't matter. I am betting on Georgia. Trust me, the bulldogs are screwed now.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:09 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
and Vegas is wrong A LOT
No they're not.
Why do you think they have all of those hotels out there?
Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:23 am to momentoftruth87
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Isn’t all the money on tenn?
So the legend is told
Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:24 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
and Vegas is wrong A LOT
They only have to be right 51% of the time to make $$$...
Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:25 am to trussthetruzz
quote:
Vegas is wrong A LOT
Lines, yes.
Making money off of betting trends, no.
Posted on 11/4/22 at 9:01 am to TrendingRight
VOLS are 7-1 ATS IIRC
Posted on 11/4/22 at 9:28 am to trussthetruzz
Last week favorites went 20-26 against the spread. The side with the highest percent of bets went 22-24. The side with the highest percent of money went 22-24. Vegas lives off those margins.
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