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re: The CFP’s Nightmare SEC Scenario
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:12 am to ValueTiger
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:12 am to ValueTiger
My opinion on this scenario:
Bama is in.
The ole miss loss at home to Bama and weak non-conference schedule eliminates them.
If Bama beats UT in SEC championship game UT is in and UGA is out because they would have lost to UT at home.
If Bama beats UGA then depends on the details of how UT lost to UGA as well as how Pitt and Oregon finish out to choose the 2nd team from the SEC.
Bama is in.
The ole miss loss at home to Bama and weak non-conference schedule eliminates them.
If Bama beats UT in SEC championship game UT is in and UGA is out because they would have lost to UT at home.
If Bama beats UGA then depends on the details of how UT lost to UGA as well as how Pitt and Oregon finish out to choose the 2nd team from the SEC.
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Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:18 am to DarthRebel
quote:
don't think UTK or Ole Miss get the deference afforded to Bama or UGa.
And it’s bs
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:18 am to ReversePiggie
quote:
until an expanded playoff begins
Yeah, this scenario would certainly be interesting with 12 teams.
AQs will take a lot of spots, so we'll probably still be having similar arguments over the remaining few, especially after you consider conference runners-up across the board.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:19 am to DingLeeBerry
quote:
and weak non-conference schedule eliminates them.
Ole miss winning the SEC championship game would eliminate this argument though for the sake of this hypo
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:23 am to Ancient Astronaut
I agree but the scenario in the original post says:
quote:
Bama runs the table and wins SEC championship Ole Miss wins out with the exception of the one loss to Bama
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:26 am to RoyalAir
quote:
Added monkeywrench: USC beats Clemson
Well, that ain't happening
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:29 am to paperwasp
quote:
I think we like to pretend that the best four teams will get in
it's never been about "best" 4 and has always been about best resumes/most desreving. Been that way from the beginning.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:42 am to ValueTiger
The committee would never let more than two SEC teams in the playoff under the present setup.
That scenario is interesting and not beyond the realm of possibilities.
Can you imagine the angst among the big tenners if that scenario took place?
That scenario is interesting and not beyond the realm of possibilities.
Can you imagine the angst among the big tenners if that scenario took place?
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:49 am to ValueTiger
How about this scenario? And I’m using LSU because I’m a fan but it could be other teams too. LSU wins out and Ole Miss’ only loss ends up being LSU. Does a 2 loss SEC champ get in over a 1 loss non champ? Also you would have let’s say a 1 loss UGA whose only loss is the SECCG.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 9:59 am to ValueTiger
I think Bama and UGA are definitely in in that scenario. I think unless Ohio State and Clemson are both undefeated UT would get in as well.
Like others have said Rebs only get in if they go undefeated which nullifies the rest of the scenario.
Like others have said Rebs only get in if they go undefeated which nullifies the rest of the scenario.
This post was edited on 10/19/22 at 10:04 am
Posted on 10/19/22 at 10:00 am to StopRobot
quote:
No I am 100% sure you are not beating Clemson.
Ya'll said the same thing about tennessee last week...
Jim Sweet in just over a month...
This post was edited on 10/19/22 at 10:04 am
Posted on 10/19/22 at 11:28 am to WG_Dawg
quote:If the OP's scenario played out and absolute chaos in the other conferences happened (all other conference teams with 2 or more losses), there would be a chance.
but I can 1000000000% assure you with everything I've ever known on my life that there will never be 4 teams from the same league make a 4 team playoff.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 11:30 am to Tigerpaul1969
quote:A couple years back a 1 loss Ohio St got in over
How about this scenario? And I’m using LSU because I’m a fan but it could be other teams too. LSU wins out and Ole Miss’ only loss ends up being LSU. Does a 2 loss SEC champ get in over a 1 loss non champ? Also you would have let’s say a 1 loss UGA whose only loss is the SECCG.
a 2 loss Penn St when Penn St was conf champ and beat Ohio St head to head. I think that was BS though.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 11:35 am to ValueTiger
quote:
In this scenario, who gets in and who is left out?
That's easy. The SEC champ and the higher ranked of the other three.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 11:40 am to ValueTiger
Don’t want to piss off OM, but with the scenario of UGA-UT-Bama 1 loss round robin with Bama as the champs.. my belief is UGa and Bama would be a lock..
If OSU/ UM winner is undefeated B10 champ.
And Oregon is 12-1 PAC12 champ.
I want to say ACC eliminates itself somehow and b12 does too..
Who do you take between for 4th spot
PAC12 champ Oregon, 12-1 game 1 loss to UGA
Michigan , 11-1 , 1 loss to OSU
UT, 11-1, 1 loss to UGA
???
If OSU/ UM winner is undefeated B10 champ.
And Oregon is 12-1 PAC12 champ.
I want to say ACC eliminates itself somehow and b12 does too..
Who do you take between for 4th spot
PAC12 champ Oregon, 12-1 game 1 loss to UGA
Michigan , 11-1 , 1 loss to OSU
UT, 11-1, 1 loss to UGA
???
Posted on 10/19/22 at 3:32 pm to PurpleandGeauld
Yes, I remember that one. Big BS. I think we would get in over Ole Miss although I think both COULD get in depending on the other conferences. If it was a name like Alabama instead, it would go the way of Ohio State.
Auburn would have been in the playoff as a 2-loss champion in 2017 if they had beaten UGA in the SECCG.
Auburn would have been in the playoff as a 2-loss champion in 2017 if they had beaten UGA in the SECCG.
Posted on 10/19/22 at 6:53 pm to 3rddownonthe8
quote:
Don’t want to piss off OM, but with the scenario of UGA-UT-Bama 1 loss round robin with Bama as the champs.. my belief is UGa and Bama would be a lock..
Finebaum said earlier that if Georgia loses to TN, they are immediately out there f the picture.
Now, he didn’t actually explain why he believed that but I he’s never been wrong before. ??
Posted on 10/19/22 at 7:05 pm to ValueTiger
Alabama is in.. they would have won the SEC plus have the biggest "intangibles" (code for popular name or bias in their favor)
Ole Miss is out. Weak schedule ooc would be the excuse but it would really be the intangible bias issue.
Georgia has the best name at present (between them and Tennessee) but either being blown out by Tennessee (regular season) or Alabama (ccg) would give Tennessee a chance.
Either Tennessee or Georgia getting blown out by the other arguably eliminates them unless the OSU, Clemson, USC programs also stumble
Ole Miss is out. Weak schedule ooc would be the excuse but it would really be the intangible bias issue.
Georgia has the best name at present (between them and Tennessee) but either being blown out by Tennessee (regular season) or Alabama (ccg) would give Tennessee a chance.
Either Tennessee or Georgia getting blown out by the other arguably eliminates them unless the OSU, Clemson, USC programs also stumble
Posted on 10/19/22 at 8:00 pm to ValueTiger
Maybe an all-SEC playoff.
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