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Texas has a 50.5 % chance at beating Ohio State

Posted on 1/9/25 at 7:51 pm
Posted by ForgetTheRest
Member since Oct 2015
2376 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 7:51 pm
According to ESPN

ESPN matchup Predictor
Posted by TriStateAreaFootball
Member since Dec 2024
887 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 7:51 pm to
No. No they don’t.
Posted by Sooner a Reb
Maryland
Member since Jan 2017
1569 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 7:52 pm to
I wouldn't lay money on it, personally I hate Texass and despise OSU, but my guy says OSU is going to boat race them.
Posted by Eldodroptop
Member since Jul 2021
2187 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 7:54 pm to
quote:

No. No they don’t


You’re thinking more like 50.6% chance then?

I admire your faith in Texas!
Posted by MDB
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2019
3474 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 7:54 pm to
“Almost home” field advantage. Like UGA in Atlanta and LSU in NOLA.

Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
30655 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:01 pm to
It's based on FPI, so it's influenced by humans and passed off as being a computer program.

FEI has Ohio St as a 9 point favorite and looks like Vegas has them around 6.

Posted by TX Tea
Member since Sep 2023
378 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:03 pm to
Vegas knows better.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
8319 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:17 pm to
Kinda effed up to see a discrepancy like that between Vegas and this ESPN statistical model.

Is this common?
Posted by BamaScoop
Panama City Beach, Florida
Member since May 2007
55753 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:18 pm to
I hope OSU beats the shite out of them!
Posted by theballguy
Member since Oct 2011
18204 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:19 pm to
we'll see.
Posted by 49 to nada
In aggy and gooner heads, rent free
Member since Sep 2023
4894 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:21 pm to
quote:

Almost home” field advantage. Like UGA in Atlanta and LSU in NOLA.

That's the stupidest argument ever. BlowU campus is closer to Jerryworld than UT, would they say "home field advantage" if they somehow didn't suck and were in the playoffs?
Posted by LSUtiger89
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
4125 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 8:53 pm to
35.0% chance
Posted by hookem2522
Member since Jan 2022
1882 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

BamaScoop
I hope OSU beats the shite out of them!


Still having issues with not being the top dog in the secsecsec?
Posted by TrNabs
Austin
Member since Oct 2019
1202 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:06 pm to
The team that matches up similar in talent to Ohio st is basically a tossup game? How can this be??
Posted by Muahahaha
Ohio
Member since Nov 2005
6502 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

Texas has a 50.5 % chance at beating Ohio State


And yet, Sark thinks they are “massive underdogs”. Lol
Posted by AggieArchitect2004
Member since Oct 2023
1959 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:28 pm to
Uh….yes.

Their fans don’t have to travel as far and therefore are expected to have better numbers. Do you understand the logic behind home field advantage?
This post was edited on 1/9/25 at 9:29 pm
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17278 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:29 pm to
We have a chance, but it isn't 50%.. we'll have to play perfect and hope it's enough..
Posted by theyatoak
Member since Dec 2024
70 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:30 pm to
The line is shrinking. It got up to around 7, currently at 5.5. The media was pushing a Texas blowout but people are waking up to the fact this will be a very close game.
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
45898 posts
Posted on 1/9/25 at 9:35 pm to
If Ohio State fricks up and knocks Sewers out, they are fricked. Manning will run all over them
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