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Strength of Schedule rankings through week 13
Posted on 11/25/25 at 12:41 pm
Posted on 11/25/25 at 12:41 pm
Using the FEI ELS metric. Pretty much the only SoS I consider valid since it's not based on averages.
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents.
Only for games played thus far, doesn't count future games. Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.
#3 Florida - 2.75
#5 South Carolina - 2.67
#7 Texas - 2.53
#8 Alabama - 2.51
#9 Missouri - 2.43
#10 Arkansas - 2.42
#10 Kentucky - 2.42
#12 Auburn - 2.36
#14 Oklahoma -2.34
#18 LSU - 2.15
#19 Miss St - 2.09
#22 Georgia - 1.84
#23 Tennessee - 1.83
#31 Vanderbilt - 1.57
#32 Texas A&M - 1.50
#36 Ole Miss - 1.47
Other Notables:
#25 Oregon - 1.77
#29 BYU - 1.62
#33 Indiana - 1.50
#34 Notre Dame - 1.48
#51 Texas Tech - 1.22
#53 Miami - 1.15
#56 Ohio St - 1.04
That Ole Miss schedule gonna get Lane paid. Vandy and Texas A&M also benefit from easier schedules, however still better than the majority of contenders from other conferences.
Ohio St finally gets to 1 expected loss on their schedule, but still has a pathetic schedule. That shite is G5 level.
Alabama is the only team that has a top10 schedule and is also a top10 team.
Oklahoma is next on the list as the only top10 team with a top15 schedule.
Georgia and Oregon round it out with schedules in the top25.
No other contender has a SoS in the top25 - unless Texas pulls off a miracle as a 3 loss team.
Strength of schedule ratings represent the number of losses a team two standard deviations above average would expect to have against the schedule of opponents.
Only for games played thus far, doesn't count future games. Listed in order by overall rank, expected losses to the right.
#3 Florida - 2.75
#5 South Carolina - 2.67
#7 Texas - 2.53
#8 Alabama - 2.51
#9 Missouri - 2.43
#10 Arkansas - 2.42
#10 Kentucky - 2.42
#12 Auburn - 2.36
#14 Oklahoma -2.34
#18 LSU - 2.15
#19 Miss St - 2.09
#22 Georgia - 1.84
#23 Tennessee - 1.83
#31 Vanderbilt - 1.57
#32 Texas A&M - 1.50
#36 Ole Miss - 1.47
Other Notables:
#25 Oregon - 1.77
#29 BYU - 1.62
#33 Indiana - 1.50
#34 Notre Dame - 1.48
#51 Texas Tech - 1.22
#53 Miami - 1.15
#56 Ohio St - 1.04
That Ole Miss schedule gonna get Lane paid. Vandy and Texas A&M also benefit from easier schedules, however still better than the majority of contenders from other conferences.
Ohio St finally gets to 1 expected loss on their schedule, but still has a pathetic schedule. That shite is G5 level.
Alabama is the only team that has a top10 schedule and is also a top10 team.
Oklahoma is next on the list as the only top10 team with a top15 schedule.
Georgia and Oregon round it out with schedules in the top25.
No other contender has a SoS in the top25 - unless Texas pulls off a miracle as a 3 loss team.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 1:43 pm to 3down10
SOS matters to the committee unless the team is Alabama 
This post was edited on 11/25/25 at 1:44 pm
Posted on 11/25/25 at 1:56 pm to 3down10
Will this be your moral victory when Auburn knocks you out of playoff contention?
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:02 pm to theballguy
quote:
SOS matters to the committee unless the team is Alabama
You forgot Ohio State, Oregon, Notre Dame, and Taco Tech. I might be forgetting few others.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:03 pm to 3down10
quote:
#8 Alabama - 2.51
quote:
#14 Oklahoma -2.34
Only potential playoff teams in the top 20 in SOS.
quote:
#51 Texas Tech - 1.22
#53 Miami - 1.15
#56 Ohio St - 1.04
fricking pathetic.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:04 pm to 3down10
quote:
Ohio St finally gets to 1 expected loss on their schedule, but still has a pathetic schedule. That shite is G5 level.
Ohio State had the preseason number 1, 2, 12 and 14 on their schedule. Not their fault everyone shite the bed. the only thing they can control is dominate everyone and they have. 10-1 against the spread and the 1 loss was a late touchdown against the 3rd string defense.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:11 pm to skrayper
quote:
Only potential playoff teams in the top 20 in SOS.
Good teams hurt their own strength of schedule by handing out so many loses to the teams they play. Its not a coincidence that both Alabama and Oklahoma have a questionable loss and a higher strength of schedule than the other top ranked teams. The key to a great strength of schedule is losing a lot, so that your opponents have a lot more wins.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:18 pm to BuckeyeGoon
quote:
Good teams hurt their own strength of schedule by handing out so many loses to the teams they play. Its not a coincidence that both Alabama and Oklahoma have a questionable loss and a higher strength of schedule than the other top ranked teams. The key to a great strength of schedule is losing a lot, so that your opponents have a lot more wins.

Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:22 pm to 3down10
Pretty sure ole Miss has had the weakest SOS for two years straight
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:25 pm to BuckeyeGoon
Did Georgia beat Bama? ??
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:25 pm to skrayper
OUs real sos is 5th or 6th I believe .
This post was edited on 11/25/25 at 2:26 pm
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:35 pm to 3down10
quote:
#32 Texas A&M - 1.50
How are they this high? Texas is the only SEC team they will play this year with more than 3 conference wins.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:40 pm to bayou85
quote:
How are they this high? Texas is the only SEC team they will play this year with more than 3 conference wins.
Because all of the teams on our schedule that were supposed to be good this year quit and fired their coaches after we blew them out. That’s not A&M’s fault.
This post was edited on 11/25/25 at 2:41 pm
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:40 pm to BuckeyeGoon
quote:
Good teams hurt their own strength of schedule by handing out so many loses to the teams they play. Its not a coincidence that both Alabama and Oklahoma have a questionable loss and a higher strength of schedule than the other top ranked teams. The key to a great strength of schedule is losing a lot, so that your opponents have a lot more wins.
Are you retarded? Genuine question.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:44 pm to Colonel Ingus
quote:
Because all of the teams on our schedule that were supposed to be good this year quit and fired their coaches after we blew them out. That’s not A&M’s fault.
No, they were just bad teams. Ole Miss had a harder schedule (not hard though) and is below A&M
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:46 pm to skrayper
Its honestly not that hard to understand. If two 12-0 teams play, who's strength of schedule improves? The team who gets to add a 13-0 team to their opponents played or the team that gets to add a 12-1 team to their opponents played? Now apply that same logic to every game played throughout the course of a season.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:49 pm to 3down10
Id love to know how many SEC team that if they played OSU schedule, wouldnt be at least 10-2. I think all 16 would be
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:51 pm to bayou85
Looks like A&M @ ND is the biggest OOC win across the country this season. That’s boosting the SOS.
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:53 pm to bayou85
I agree . This is too high . A&M has only played one ranked team . Seems sus
Posted on 11/25/25 at 2:53 pm to Gifman
quote:
Pretty sure ole Miss has had the weakest SOS for two years straight
I keep track of them by the week, so luckily I have the answer.
Texas had the easiest one last year. Ole Miss had a pretty easy one too. In terms of the expected losses, their schedule last year was even weaker than this year.
One thing I notice is that schedule difficulty is much higher for the majority of SEC teams this year. Probably means the SEC as a whole is stronger this year.
2024:
1. Florida 2.71
3. Oklahoma 2.48
4. Kentucky 2.47
5. Georgia 2.36
8. Miss St 1.96
11. Arkansas 1.89
12. LSU 1.86
12. Vandy 1.86
14. USC 1.71
16. Alabama 1.66
24. Texas A&M 1.39
25. Ole Miss 1.37
28. Tennessee 1.28
31. Missouri 1.22
37. Auburn 1.09
40. Texas 1.04
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