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Stewart Mandel predicts CFP scenarios
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:25 am
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:25 am
Predicting the CFP scenarios
The article is behind a paywall, sorry. Mandel predicts what will happen in the 16 possible scenarios that could result from the 4 conference championships (he assumes Michigan will win and thus guarantees they are in). He predicts Georgia will make it in all 8 scenarios in which it wins (obviously) and in 2 scenarios in which it loses. Interestingly, he predicts Alabama will make it in all 8 scenarios in which it wins. His rationale when comparing Alabama to Texas is that Alabama will jump to 3 and thus head to head won't be a consideration.
It's just one guy's opinion, but he is a national sportswriter. Take it for what it's worth.
The article is behind a paywall, sorry. Mandel predicts what will happen in the 16 possible scenarios that could result from the 4 conference championships (he assumes Michigan will win and thus guarantees they are in). He predicts Georgia will make it in all 8 scenarios in which it wins (obviously) and in 2 scenarios in which it loses. Interestingly, he predicts Alabama will make it in all 8 scenarios in which it wins. His rationale when comparing Alabama to Texas is that Alabama will jump to 3 and thus head to head won't be a consideration.
It's just one guy's opinion, but he is a national sportswriter. Take it for what it's worth.
10
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:27 am to Decker
quote:
His rationale when comparing Alabama to Texas is that Alabama will jump to 3 and thus head to head won't be a consideration.
If Bama and Texas win their CCG:
Bama: 3 top 15 wins, 1 loss to a one-loss team
Texas: 1 top 15 win, 1 loss to a two-loss team
There is no honest debate as to which resume would be better. If Bama clearly has the better resume (they would) you don’t go to the “head to head tiebreaker.”
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:28 am to Decker
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:28 am to Decker
Here's the article without the paywall
beat me to it broheem
quote:
rwestmore
beat me to it broheemThis post was edited on 11/28/23 at 10:30 am
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:29 am to Jon Ham
quote:True that. They should've played each other this season to find out which team was better!!!
Bama: 3 top 15 wins, 1 loss to a one-loss team
Texas: 1 top 15 win, 1 loss to a two-loss team
There is no honest debate as to which resume would be better.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:30 am to Decker
quote:Who cares what that idiot thinks?!?
Stewart Mandel predicts CFP scenarios
He's not even that good of a judge on that America's Got Talent TV show...
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:30 am to Shea Vinnerbush
quote:
They should've played each other this season to find out which team was better!!!
Losing to a two-loss team is better than losing to a one-loss team!!!!
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:30 am to rwestmore7
Thanks!
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:31 am to Jon Ham
quote:"Our losses are better than your losses!!!" -spoken like a true championship contender with a champion mindset if you ask me
Losing to a two-loss team is better than losing to a one-loss team!!!!
And apparently having 24 points in a game is better than your opponent having 34 points in the same game?
This post was edited on 11/28/23 at 10:59 am
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:31 am to Jon Ham
quote:
If Bama clearly has the better resume (they would) you don’t go to the “head to head tiebreaker.”
Are you just fricking around
This post was edited on 11/28/23 at 10:32 am
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:32 am to Decker
quote:
Interestingly, he predicts Alabama will make it in all 8 scenarios in which it wins.
I've been pretty much saying the same thing here. Almost. I do think Texas beats out Bama if they win impressively and FSU, Washington, Michigan all win. But, it's going to be very debatable. There's more than just head to head to look at.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:32 am to Jrv2damac
these people would be laughing at the shite they're saying right now if the the scenario were reversed.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:33 am to Jrv2damac
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:34 am to Shea Vinnerbush
Imagine allowing man made discussions and computers preside over settling things on an actual field.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:35 am to BurntOrangeMan
quote:
magine allowing man made discussions and computers preside over settling things on an actual field.
In that case put OU over Texas. They settled it on the field didn’t they?
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:36 am to Jon Ham
If OU and Texas were both one-loss conference champions, yes, absolutely.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:36 am to Jon Ham
Rant overheating, double post
This post was edited on 11/28/23 at 10:37 am
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:37 am to clamdip
quote:
But, it's going to be very debatable. There's more than just head to head to look at.
How in the frick can you honestly say this??
If you lose to a team head to head, and it comes down to either of those teams with the exact same record, there should be zero question who to put in the playoffs.
But its alabama, so we must all suck thy dick.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:38 am to Shea Vinnerbush
quote:
And apparently having 24 points in a game is better than your opponent having 34 points in the same game?
If Alabama ends up beating Georgia and Texas wins against Okie State, a case could be made for either team. And I will concede your point that Texas won the head to head back in the second week of September.
But would you be so confident that Texas would win in a rematch? Everyone forgets, Texas had a four yard scoring drive in the 4th to salt the game away. This was following an awful interception that Milroe gifted right to the Texas DB. That game could have gone either way up until that point.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:39 am to Jon Ham
quote:
If Bama and Texas win their CCG: Bama: 3 top 15 wins, 1 loss to a one-loss team Texas: 1 top 15 win, 1 loss to a two-loss team There is no honest debate as to which resume would be better. If Bama clearly has the better resume (they would) you don’t go to the “head to head tiebreaker.”
Texas won by double digits in a road game at alabama. There is no scenario where they get jumped by them.
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