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re: Stewart Mandel predicts CFP scenarios
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:39 am to PerrillouxToTexas
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:39 am to PerrillouxToTexas
quote:
If OU and Texas were both one-loss conference champions, yes, absolutely.
So the rest of the schedule does matter in how you evaluate the quality of each team. Interesting.
But let me guess, you only care about # of wins and losses and not the actual strength of those wins and losses? But you also won’t argue for James Madison to be in the playoffs at 11-1 because well, in that case, you want to look at the strength of their wins and losses.
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Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:39 am to TS1926
quote:
But would you be so confident that Texas would win in a rematch?
Yes. You guys suck. Needed two miracles to beat Auburn, who got run out of their own stadium by New Mexico something or other.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:40 am to Jon Ham
We have a better SOS than Alabama.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:41 am to Jon Ham
quote:
Losing to a two-loss team is better than losing to a one-loss team!!!!
Except when its a head-to-head loss at home. It would suck for Bama but it could only blame itself for not taking care of business.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:42 am to TS1926
quote:
But would you be so confident that Texas would win in a rematch?
This doesn't matter. It's the same argument Bama fans tried to make last year with TCU.
Results on the field matter, and Texas beat Bama head to head, and in this scenario both would have the same record and be conference champions. That head to head will count more than everything with the committee, because the reality is they are beholden to the perception of making decisions based on what teams did on the field.
And how can they defend saying Bama is better than Texas (in their selecting the best teams mantra), when Texas beat them ON THE ROAD on the field?
They can't. That's why in that scenario Texas is in.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:43 am to PerrillouxToTexas
quote:
Yes. You guys suck. Needed two miracles to beat Auburn, who got run out of their own stadium by New Mexico something or other
If they suck, as you say, then they should be blown out by Georgia and it won't matter.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:44 am to bulletprooftiger
What’s a worse loss? Losing to Texas or losing to OU?
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:45 am to Jon Ham
quote:
What’s a worse loss? Losing to Texas or losing to OU?
Losing to Texas, because Texas lost to OU.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:45 am to DawginSC
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:46 am to Stidham8
Mandel has Alabama jumping Texas in all possible scenarios if Alabama wins. Maybe you should email him.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:46 am to Jon Ham
rivalry game on a neutral field on the last play vs. being mercy knee'd in your own stadium.
i call it a push.
i call it a push.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:46 am to Jon Ham
quote:
In that case put OU over Texas. They settled it on the field didn’t they?
2 loss OU? Stupid fricking liberal thinking like a stupid fricking liberal again I see.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:47 am to Jon Ham
quote:
There is no honest debate as to which resume would be better. If Bama clearly has the better resume (they would) you don’t go to the “head to head tiebreaker.”
I don't disagree, but what if "did they play head to head?" is the first question when looking at said resume?
The problem CFB has with rankings systems is that most teams do not play each other and there are so many conferences that comparing is difficult. We have a unique case when comparing these two resumes where they HAVE played each other, and people want to throw that out because of resumes put together where Bama beat more teams that we all know AREN'T among the best teams in the country (though are still good teams) than Texas did.
I guess all that said to ultimately agree with you on the surface that you put Bama higher
But I do think completely disregarding the head to head is a mistake as well
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:48 am to Decker
That guy sucks balls.
Basically it's simple.....
Pac 12 and B1G IDMAS
Root for Louisville and Alabama unless you are a Georgia or FSU fan
Basically it's simple.....
Pac 12 and B1G IDMAS
Root for Louisville and Alabama unless you are a Georgia or FSU fan
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:48 am to DawginSC
quote:
Scenario 11: Alabama, Washington, Louisville and Texas win.
1. Michigan (13-0)
2. Washington (13-0)
3. Alabama (12-1)
4. Georgia (12-1)
—
5. Texas (12-1)
Georgia stays in if Florida State loses.
This might be the dumbest scenario. Ignoring the stupidity of Bama being #3 and UT #5, putting in UGA is even dumber. UT would have a tougher SOS than UGA, have a conference championship that UGA doesn't, and beat a common opponent by double digits on the road with UGA losing to them at a neutral site.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:49 am to Jon Ham
The eye test is something that has been specifically mentioned by the committee.
We already know that it factors in.
We already know that it factors in.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:50 am to AGGIES
Good, because Alabama should've beat Auburn by 3 TDs. And Arkansas by more than 3 at home.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:50 am to Decker
quote:
His rationale when comparing Alabama to Texas is that Alabama will jump to 3 and thus head to head won't be a consideration.
It is a consideration but his logic is Alabama defeating UGA would trump the head to head
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:51 am to AGGIES
quote:
The eye test is something that has been specifically mentioned by the committee.
Which to me means unless FSU puts on a show against Louisville, they aren't in even with a win unless Texas loses.
Posted on 11/28/23 at 10:51 am to PerrillouxToTexas
That is what hurts Texas. The eye test and the wins and losses that they have had in conference play..
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