Favorite team:LSU 
Location:
Biography:
Interests:
Occupation:
Number of Posts:937
Registered on:11/12/2007
Online Status:Not Online

Recent Posts

Message
I hate when people claim that an election was stolen. I’ve had to hear this for 6 years straight now.
My anecdotal data which I know doesn’t count is I have a Hispanic contractor who was all MAGA and voted for Trump. Since deportations started he’s been very supportive. Came in Monday and said can you believe they shot that guy? Not saying he’s not supporting Trump anymore he didn’t say that but he def wasn’t riding that train like he was.
I hope the next pres tells atf the same thing when he sends them for your guns. Or is that diffe(R)ent
Yeah I was pretty young at the time. My family and everyone I grew up around made excuses and said “it’s his private life” and all that stuff.

News flash: all those people are republicans now.
quote:

Then he reached for it.


Are you more blind than Ray Charles

Show me someone who believes propaganda over video evidence lmao
No shite we aren’t the same. You’re okay with sexual predators in the White House and I’m not okay with any. Find in my post where I said we shouldn’t go after criminals? You’re conflating things that have no relation. You have zero reasoning skills. Move on
LMAO who is at the top? Should I post the inauguration picture that shows all of Trumps handlers with him? Stop trying to do that.
You are pro gun.
Guns have killed children.
Therefore, you support school shootings.

That’s your logic.

It’s obviously false, and so is your claim about me. You're so dishonest mostly with yourself
I’ll be honest about this. I didn’t know the full details of Waco, Ruby Ridge, or drone strikes on U.S. citizens at the time they happened. I’ve since learned more, watched the documentaries, and I’m firmly against what happened in those cases. They weren’t acceptable precedents, they were government failures. Learning that and changing your view isn’t hypocrisy, it’s growth.

What I do know is that I’ve watched a lot of people completely flip their positions on things like the Second Amendment depending on who’s in power and then pretend they haven’t. I can say when both sides are abusing power. I used to be very conservative, but at this point I don’t care which party is in the White House because the pattern is the same.

While everyone keeps fighting over left versus right, there’s only one group consistently reaping the benefits. This isn’t left versus right anymore. It’s top versus bottom. And until people are willing to see that, we’re going to keep arguing with each other while the same abuses keep happening.
quote:

gloss over them sexually assaulting children


That’s a false and reckless accusation. I have never glossed over sexual assault of children, by anyone. I know a politician currently not releasing files that has to do with child sexual assault. Are you calling them out? Didn't think so.

Pointing out that crime data is being misused is not defending crime, and it’s not excusing abuse.
You don’t know what I’m hoping for. I’m pointing out a pattern, not expressing a wish. Legal principles shouldn’t change based on who’s in office, but they often do. Observing that isn’t the same as rooting for it.
I'll ignore the jab that has nothing to do with me or the arguments I'm making. Trump did a terrible job with Covid. I agree.

You’re arguing past the point, not through it.

Calling people who violate laws “criminals” isn’t the strawman. The strawman is pretending anyone argued otherwise. The point is about what conclusions different categories of crime can support. Immigration offenses answer whether immigration law was violated. They do not, by themselves, answer who poses a higher violent or property crime risk to the public. That’s not wordplay, it’s how policy analysis actually works.

Saying “the law is the law” doesn’t collapse all laws into one meaningful category. The legal system itself doesn’t treat them that way. That’s why homicide, tax fraud, trespass, and immigration violations carry different penalties, are enforced by different agencies, and trigger different policy responses. Recognizing that reality isn’t assigning “humanity” to some laws and not others, it’s acknowledging how the law already functions.

You keep framing prioritization as favoritism. It isn’t. Every enforcement system prioritizes based on risk, harm, and jurisdiction. That’s why police don’t allocate the same resources to parking violations as they do to armed robbery. That doesn’t mean one group is “allowed” to break the law. It means enforcement decisions are made based on impact and capacity.

As for relaxed enforcement, that’s a policy choice made by elected officials within the bounds of the law. Disagree with it all you want, but policy discretion is not the same thing as legal exemption. Citizens and non-citizens are subject to different legal regimes by statute. That’s jurisdiction, not privilege, even if you don’t like the outcome.

And yes, your last paragraph makes the underlying position clear. This isn’t really about comparative crime rates. It’s about the belief that undocumented immigrants shouldn’t be here at all, regardless of behavior. That’s a legitimate political position. But once you take it, crime statistics stop being evidence and become window dressing. You can’t invoke “no one is above the law” rhetorically while ignoring how the law actually distinguishes between offenses, enforcement authority, and policy goals.

If you want to argue immigration policy on the merits, do that. If you want to argue public safety, then the relevant data is per-capita violent and property crime, not incarceration shares shaped by enforcement choices. Mixing those two arguments doesn’t strengthen either one.
Statistics 101.

quote:

And you’re not?


I’ve been consistent about what data answers what question. You’re asserting conclusions based on incarceration shares and treating them as proof of offending rates. That’s the leap I’m pointing out.

Linking 1 study since you are lazy and won't do your own research. You can find plenty more out there with the google.
LINK

quote:

Really? So if illegals represent 20% of murderers in Arizona penitentiaries but only 10% of Arizona's population, that's not proof they're over-represented?


It’s proof they’re over-represented in that prison population, not proof they commit murder at higher rates. Those are not the same thing. Prison populations reflect arrest practices, charging decisions, plea bargaining, enforcement priorities, cooperation with federal agencies, and sentencing. Crime rates measure offending behavior in the population. Confusing those two is the very very basic statistical error here. You learn about things like this in Statistics 101

quote:

Do you know what per-capita means?


Yes. Per-capita means the number of offenses committed by a group divided by the size of that group in the relevant population. What you keep citing is the share of people incarcerated after multiple layers of discretion. That’s not a per-capita crime rate, it’s an outcome of the justice system.

quote:

Is it okay to make both arguments at the same time, or is that too hard for you to follow?


You can make both arguments, but you don’t get to use one to prove the other. “They shouldn’t be here at all” is a political or moral argument. “They commit more violent crime” is an empirical claim. If you’re going to make the empirical claim, you need data that actually measures offending rates, not prison headcounts. Mixing the two doesn’t strengthen either, it just muddies them.

This isn’t about being clever. It’s about using the right data for the claim you’re making. Prison math doesn’t do what you want it to do here.
No one said violations of criminal statutes aren’t crimes. That’s a strawman. The point, which you keep sidestepping, is that different crimes answer different policy questions. Immigration offenses answer the question “who violated immigration law.” They do not answer the question “who poses a higher violent or property crime risk to the public.” Conflating those two is the category error.

On your second point, you’ve now broadened “crime” to include fraud, licensing, public benefits, and generalized resentment about public policy. That’s fine, but again, that’s a different argument. Those are questions about regulatory enforcement, eligibility rules, and social spending, not violent criminality.

Breaking laws is indeed criminal behavior. But not all criminal behavior is interchangeable for purposes of risk, harm, or enforcement priority. That’s why we don’t allocate police resources the same way for jaywalking, tax fraud, and homicide.

And yes, many white-collar crimes are property crimes. They’re still prosecuted, measured, and prevented through very different mechanisms than street-level violence, which is why lumping everything together obscures rather than clarifies public-safety analysis.

On favoritism, this is where you’ve fully left the data argument. Different legal regimes for citizens and non-citizens aren’t favoritism, they’re jurisdiction. Immigration law exists precisely because citizenship status matters legally. You may not like that framework, but its existence doesn’t prove unequal moral treatment or excuse bad statistical reasoning.

As for narrowing to violent and property crime, that isn’t dishonesty, it’s relevance. Those categories are what drive local policing, incarceration, and immediate harm. White-collar crimes matter, but they don’t change the fact that incarceration shares still aren’t per-capita crime rates.

Finally, you say the quiet part out loud at the end. This isn’t actually about crime rates. It’s about the belief that undocumented immigrants shouldn’t be here at all, regardless of behavior. That’s a political position, not an empirical one. Own it if that’s your view. But stop using selective statistics as cover for it.
You’re asserting conclusions without showing the data. Over-representation in prison still isn’t a per-capita crime rate. If your argument is public safety, show per-capita violent crime data. If your argument is “they shouldn’t be here at all,” then crime rates are irrelevant and shouldn’t be used as justification. You can’t switch between those positions depending on convenience.
quote:

targeting violent and property crimes is consistent with targeting illegals, so we're all good


K
Live in your alternate reality.
Federal murder inmates aren’t a crime rate. It is statistically invalid and that's what your mind must not be able to grasp. You can't compare apples to oranges. Most murders aren’t prosecuted federally, so those numbers are inherently skewed. If you want to claim higher violent crime, you need per-capita state or local data. Federal prison math doesn’t answer that.
You’re still conflating incarceration share with crime rates. Arizona being a border state with a large undocumented population and aggressive enforcement doesn’t change that basic math problem. Saying “20% of inmates are undocumented” is not the same thing as showing higher per-capita violent crime. Without knowing the size and demographics of the at-risk population and how charging and cooperation policies operate, that statistic tells you who ends up in prison, not who commits more violent crime.

As for your ETA, it matters because we’re talking about policy and resource allocation, not moral outrage. The question isn’t “is any crime unacceptable” because of course it is. The question is where limited enforcement resources reduce the most harm. If one group offends at a lower rate, pouring disproportionate resources into that group produces fewer prevented crimes than focusing on higher-rate offenders. That’s efficiency, not ideology.

Local PD and state prisons are already overwhelmed dealing with violent and property crime. Diverting resources to chase lower-rate offenders increases overall victimization, it doesn’t reduce it. You don’t fix crime by ignoring math because it feels unsatisfying.

If your argument is simply “they shouldn’t be here at all,” say that. But don’t pretend incarceration percentages answer the public-safety question when they don’t.
No one is moving goalposts. You’re changing what “crime rate” means mid-argument. When people talk about crime rates in the context of public safety and burden on local communities, they are talking about violent, property, and public-order crimes handled by local and state law enforcement. That’s what affects local PD workload, victimization, and community safety.

Illegal entry and illegal reentry are federal immigration offenses. They are real crimes, but they are status based and jurisdiction specific, and they are enforced almost entirely by the federal government. Counting those offenses to claim higher overall criminality is fine if your argument is “the federal government prosecutes immigration violations,” but it does not support the claim that undocumented immigrants commit more violent or property crime than citizens. Those are different questions.

I’m not saying those laws “don’t count.” I’m saying they don’t answer the question you’re pretending they answer. You’re using immigration enforcement data to make claims about general criminal behavior. That’s the category error.

As for your exemption question, you’re still missing the point. Citizens and non-citizens are subject to different legal regimes. Citizens cannot commit immigration status offenses at all. Non-citizens can. That alone guarantees overrepresentation in federal prison stats regardless of behavior in every other category. That’s not favoritism, it’s jurisdiction.

And no, narrowing to violent and property crime isn’t cheating. That’s exactly how we evaluate public safety risk and where enforcement resources reduce the most harm. If you want to expand the scope, fine, but then you have to compare like with like using per-capita state and local conviction data, not federal incarceration numbers dominated by immigration offenses.

If your claim is “undocumented immigrants commit more violent or property crime per capita than citizens,” show that data. Federal prison math doesn’t get you there.
That’s not how the data works at all, and this is a classic misuse of statistics. Federal prison population is not a proxy for overall crime rates. The federal system disproportionately incarcerates non-citizens because some immigration offenses themselves are federal crimes. Illegal entry, illegal reentry, and related offenses are prosecuted federally and, by definition, cannot be committed by citizens.

That’s also an important distinction you’re blurring. Being undocumented is a civil status issue. Illegal entry or reentry is a specific criminal offense. Counting people incarcerated for those crimes and then claiming it proves higher general criminality is conflating status with behavior. Local PD handles the vast majority of violent and property crime, and those crimes are overwhelmingly prosecuted at the state and local level, not federal. When you look at state and local arrest and conviction data, undocumented immigrants consistently offend at lower rates than native-born citizens.

So yes, 14 percent of the federal prison population tells us the federal government aggressively prosecutes immigration crimes (which I have been told for years is not the case). It does not tell us undocumented immigrants commit more violent or property crime. Math doesn’t lie, but bad assumptions absolutely do. If you want to argue higher crime rates, show state or local per-capita data for violent offenses, not immigration prosecutions baked into federal statistics.