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SOG NCAA Tournament Projections (3/2) - 8 SEC teams in, 0 in play-in games
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:53 am
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:53 am
#1 Alabama (1) vs #16 Morehead St/FDU
#4 Tennessee (13) vs #13 Bradley
#6 Kentucky (23) vs #11 NC State/Rutgers
#6 Texas A&M (24) vs #11 North Carolina/Arizona St
#8 Missouri (30) vs #9 Northwestern
#10 Arkansas (38) vs #7 Iowa
#11 Auburn (41) vs #6 Michigan State
#11 Mississippi State (42) vs #6 Duke
Vanderbilt - #12 team out
This post was edited on 3/2/23 at 9:54 am
10
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:54 am to SummerOfGeorge
We only dropped to 6? SOG rankings showing a kindness midweek.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:57 am to SummerOfGeorge
We are a 8 seed.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:58 am to SummerOfGeorge
Can you project where UT and AU stand depending on outcome of Sat game? Does AU have to win to stay in?
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:58 am to SummerOfGeorge
Tennessee is #3 in NET, they projected to just be a 4 seed? I think they are cooked without Ziegler, but still.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 9:59 am to SummerOfGeorge
Would love to play duke
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:00 am to Mulkey Man
UT has some of the best wins in the country but still being #3 net is a little puzzling. Their NET versus seeding just isn’t likely to match up this year.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:09 am to Mulkey Man
quote:
Tennessee is #3 in NET, they projected to just be a 4 seed? I think they are cooked without Ziegler, but still.
Because everything else on their resume points to a low 3 seed/high 4 seed (similar to UConn).
- 10-8 vs Q1/Q2 (Houston 12-1, Bama 16-4, UCLA 13-4, Purdue 14-5, Kansas 19-5, Texas 13-8, Arizona 13-4, Baylor 15-8, Kansas State 13-7, Xavier 12-6)
- 4-5 road
- 8 total losses
- #15 strength of record
- #17 wins above bubble
This post was edited on 3/2/23 at 10:14 am
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:13 am to SummerOfGeorge
If Auburn drops to Tenn saturday.. they're out! Do you agree?
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:14 am to cmayes56
quote:
If Auburn drops to Tenn saturday.. they're out! Do you agree?
Don't think they're definitely out but they're in that last 4 in territory where you are leaving yourself in the hands of the committee (and praying there aren't any bid thieves in small conferences).
This post was edited on 3/2/23 at 10:15 am
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:16 am to elposter
quote:
UT has some of the best wins in the country but still being #3 net is a little puzzling. Their NET versus seeding just isn’t likely to match up this year.
Net loves their defense.
They lost one player and got two back hard to tell where they land.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:20 am to SummerOfGeorge
Hey SOG,
Do you wanna buy my full-session pass for round 1/2 in Bham? I bought em a while back but cna't go anymore
Do you wanna buy my full-session pass for round 1/2 in Bham? I bought em a while back but cna't go anymore
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:21 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Agree with this. Regardless of what happens, AU has no room to complain too much if they get left out.
Don't think they're definitely out but they're in that last 4 in territory where you are leaving yourself in the hands of the committee (and praying there aren't any bid thieves in small conferences).
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:24 am to WDE24
quote:
Regardless of what happens, AU has no room to complain too much if they get left out.
If they finish 20-11 and 10-8 in the SEC with a final win over UT they'd have plenty of room to complain imo.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:26 am to WG_Dawg
quote:
Hey SOG,
Do you wanna buy my full-session pass for round 1/2 in Bham? I bought em a while back but cna't go anymore
I'd love to but I'm still waiting to hear on work things for that week before I can fully commit (and won't be able to until mid-week that week probably). I really appreciate the offer.
Sell those things online - you should make a real nice tidy profit.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:27 am to elposter
quote:
UT has some of the best wins in the country but still being #3 net is a little puzzling. Their NET versus seeding just isn’t likely to match up this year.
I agree, tough to figure out. But if the committee relies on NET, then that seed looks a little low. Be interesting to see if TN is "bumped down" because of the Ziegler injury.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:30 am to SummerOfGeorge
Its bid thieves that get them imo
Posted on 3/2/23 at 10:34 am to Mulkey Man
quote:
I agree, tough to figure out. But if the committee relies on NET, then that seed looks a little low. Be interesting to see if TN is "bumped down" because of the Ziegler injury.
They have tried to make it pretty clear that they only use it as a tool for comparing wins/losses, but every year people kind of forget that. There are always a few random outliers that usually get seeded accordingly.
Houston finished last year #2 in the NET and was a 5 seed. Same reasons as Tennessee - great efficiency numbers, but the resume wasn't in that same vicinity. Which is why NET is silly and needs to seriously reduce the efficiency stuff. We have efficiency ratings, we need NET to be what it is supposed to be - a tool to rank resumes.
2022 Final NET Rankings (Seed)
1. Gonzaga (#1)
2. Houston (#5)
3. Kansas (#1)
4. Arizona (#1)
5. Baylor (#1)
6. Villanova (#2)
7. Tennessee (#3)
8. Texas Tech (#3)
9. Kentucky (#2)
10. Duke (#2)
11. UCLA (#4)
12. Purdue (#3)
13. Auburn (#2)
14. Iowa (#5)
15. Illinois (#4)
16. Texas (#6)
This post was edited on 3/2/23 at 10:38 am
Posted on 3/2/23 at 11:44 am to Mulkey Man
quote:
I think they are cooked without Ziegler
Ask Arky if they think we're cooked without ZZ.
Posted on 3/2/23 at 11:54 am to BigScoreboard
I've long said Auburn would be better off falling to 11 than being a 7-10 so I guess there's a silver lining to some of these mind numbingly frustrating close losses.
Of course that's a fine line to walk and given the lack of emphasis on conference tournaments lately we're probably cooked, and rightfully so, if we lose to UT Saturday.
Of course that's a fine line to walk and given the lack of emphasis on conference tournaments lately we're probably cooked, and rightfully so, if we lose to UT Saturday.
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