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SEC / Pac12 Challenge Computer Simulation (Today: Ole Miss vs. Wash St.)
Posted on 5/24/14 at 8:26 am
Posted on 5/24/14 at 8:26 am
GAME ONE: Florida Gators 41 @ California Bears 19
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Who's better? Our SEC/Pac-12 Challenge will finally settle the score
By Mike Herndon | mherndon@al.com
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on May 22, 2014 at 11:15 AM
The SEC is typically regarded as the strongest college football conference in the country, a point underscored by the league's seven-year run of BCS national titles from 2006-12 and its place last season atop ESPN Stats & Information's conference power rankings.
Finishing second in those rankings was the Pac-12, buoyed by the success of Stanford and Oregon and boasting nine bowl teams in 2013.
As college football prepares for the playoff era, several of its coaches, including a few from the Pac-12, spent part of their time this spring blasting the SEC for maintaining an eight-game conference schedule (the Pac-12 plays nine). "Don't back down from playing your own conference," Stanford's David Shaw said.
Enough with the jawing. We decided to pit teams from the two conferences against each other in a regular-season round-robin, similar to basketball's SEC-Big 12 Challenge.
Welcome to the SEC-Pac 12 Challenge.
Using the college football simulator at ncaagamesim.com, AL.com matched the SEC's top 12 teams last season against their Pac-12 counterparts. Over the next couple of weeks, we'll reveal the outcome of those games-one by one, working our way up from the two 12th-seeded teams-until we see how the league's big dogs, Auburn and Stanford, fared against each in their virtual battle.
The first installment: Florida (4-8) at California (1-11)
We alternated which conference received the home field. The Pac-12 won the coin toss as Cal played Florida in Berkeley.
The result: Florida 41, California 19
The stats: Four Florida quarterbacks -- Tyler Murphy, Skyler Mornhinweg, Jeff Driskel and Trey Burton -- combined to throw for 289 yards, with Murphy throwing two touchdowns and Valdez Showers rushing for one score and catching another. Solomon Patton caught eight passes for 147 yards and a touchdown and Mack Brown led the Gators on the ground, rushing for 97 yards and a score.
Jared Goff threw for 275 yards and an interception for Cal, with Jeffrey Coprich running for the Bears' only touchdown and Vincenzo D'Amato kicking four field goals.
Cal held an early 13-10 lead after D'Amato's second field goal was set up by a Jeff Driskel interception, but Showers' 3-yard TD run put the Gators on top for good and Florida outscored Cal 31-6 the rest of the way. Florida held the Bears to 81 yards rushing on 20 attempts.
Statistical leaders:
Passing:
Florida: Tyler Murphy, 11-19-111-1-2; Skyler Mornhinweg, 5-6-97-1-0; Jeff Driskel 3-6-48-0-0; Trey Burton, 1-1-33-0-0. California: Jared Goff, 23-42-275-1-0; Zach Kline, 2-4-19-1-0.
Rushing:
Florida: Mack Brown, 17-97-1; Kelvin Taylor, 12-68; Valdez Showers, 4-28-1; Matt Jones, 5-25. California: Jared Goff, 6-22; Darren Ervin, 3-17; Daniel Lasco, 3-16; Brandon Bigelow, 4-15; Jeffrey Coprich, 2-11-1.
Receiving:
Florida: Solomon Patton, 8-147-1; Quinton Dunbar, 6-100; Valdez Showers, 2-8-1. California: Chris Harper, 4-43; Bryce Treggs, 4-22; Kenny Lawler, 3-36; Brandon Bigelow, 2-32; Darius Powe, 2-27; Lucas King, 1-46.
Ten-game results: In running 10 simulations, with each team listed as the home team for five games, Florida was the winner nine times.
So, the SEC goes up 1-0 in the virtual challenge. Check us out tomorrow for the match-up between Tennessee and Colorado.
This post was edited on 5/25/14 at 9:47 am
Posted on 5/24/14 at 8:31 am to Mizz-SEC
GAME TWO: Tennessee Volunteers 30 vs. Colorado Buffaloes 21
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SEC/Pac-12 Challenge: Tennessee vs. Colorado
By Mike Herndon | mherndon@al.com
Email the author | Follow on Twitter
on May 23, 2014 at 10:47 AM
With the SEC and the Pac-12 ranked Nos. 1 and 2 in the ESPN Stats & Information's conference power rankings, AL.com is pitting teams from the two conferences against each other over the next couple of weeks in a regular-season round-robin, similar to basketball's SEC-Big 12 Challenge.
Welcome to the SEC-Pac 12 Challenge.
Using the college football simulator at ncaagamesim.com, we're pitting the SEC's top 12 teams last season against their Pac-12 counterparts. Over the next couple of weeks, we'll reveal the outcome of those games-one by one, working our way up from the two 12th-seeded teams-until we see how the league's big dogs, Auburn and Stanford, fared against each in their virtual battle.
Florida defeated California 41-19 in the first installment.
The second installment: Colorado (4-8) at Tennessee (5-7)
We're alternating which team gets home-field advantage. With Cal at home against Florida, Tennessee plays Colorado at Neyland Stadium.
The result: Tennessee 30, Colorado 21
paulrichardsonAP.JPG
Colorado's Paul Richardson caught 83 passes for 1,343 yards and 10 TDs in 2013. (Associated Press)
The stats: Tennessee's rushing game outscored Colorado's passing attack, as Rajion Neal ran for 169 yards and a touchdown for the Vols.
Colorado quarterbacks Connor Wood and Sefu Liufau combined to throw for 295 yards and two touchdowns, but also four interceptions. Nelson Spruce caught five passes for 126 yards and Paul Richardson -- a second-round draft pick of the Seattle Seahawks earlier this month -- caught nine balls for 107 yards and a touchdown.
Tennessee quarterbacks Justin Worley and Joshua Dobbs combined to throw for 185 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.
The Vols took advantage of three early interceptions off Wood to roll out to a 20-0 lead, before Tony Jones got the Buffaloes on the board with a 4-yard touchdown run. Colorado rallied with touchdown catches of 15 yards by Richardson and 45 yards by Tyler McCulloch, but Michael Palardy kicked his third field goal of the game to complete the scoring.
Statistical leaders:
Passing:
Colorado: Connor Wood, 10-22-192-3-1; Sefu Liufau 8-14-103-1-1. Tennessee: Justin Worley, 13-20-102-0-1; Joshua Dobbs, 5-9-83-2-0.
Rushing:
Colorado: Christian Powell, 15-66; Sefo Liufau, 6-32; Michael Adkins, 6-11; Tony Jones, 6-6-1. Tennessee: Rajion Neal, 27-169-1; Joshua Dobbs, 7-35; Justin Worley, 2-16; Marlin Lane, 5-14-1.
Receiving:
Colorado: Nelson Spruce, 5-126; Paul Richardson, 9-107-1; Tyler McCulloch, 1-45-1. Tennessee: Marquez North, 7-52; Jason Croom, 3-39; Josh Smith, 1-37; Brendan Downs, 2-24-1.
Ten-game results: In running 10 simulations with each team listed as the home team for five games, however, Colorado won seven of the 10 meetings.
The bottom line: With what might be considered an upset due to the 10-game results, the SEC goes up 2-0 in the virtual challenge.
With the SEC containing two more teams than the Pac-12, we omitted the SEC's No. 13 and No. 14 teams --Arkansas and Kentucky. For the sake of argument, however, we ran simulations with the Razorbacks at Colorado and the Wildcats hosting California.
The results: Kentucky 35, California 21 and Colorado 24, Arkansas 20.
Check back tomorrow for the match-up between Mississippi State and Utah.
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:03 am to Mizz-SEC
quote:
With the SEC containing two more teams than the Pac-12, we omitted the SEC's No. 13 and No. 14 teams --Arkansas and Kentucky. For the sake of argument, however, we ran simulations with the Razorbacks at Colorado and the Wildcats hosting California. The results: Kentucky 35, California 21 and Colorado 24, Arkansas 20.
Damnit, Arkansas. Can the SEC count on y'all to ever carry your own weight?
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:06 am to ibldprplgld
It's about time Florida played someone outside the state!
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:15 am to Mizz-SEC
Lemme guess. They're going to match-up USCe vs USCw? Or will we finally get a Cocks vs Beavers tilt?
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:45 am to Mizz-SEC
They'll have Stanford beat Alabama, UCLA beat LSU, and Oregon beat Auburn. I guarantee it.
frick the Pac 12, buncha punk arse bitches.
frick the Pac 12, buncha punk arse bitches.
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:52 am to geauxnavybeatbama
quote:
It's about time Florida played someone outside the state!
Posted on 5/24/14 at 11:58 am to scrooster
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:00 pm to Cheese Grits
Is this from last year?
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:32 pm to gatordmb89
quote:
Is this from last year?
Nope,, last month.
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:36 pm to Mizz-SEC
We had to leave the state?
This post was edited on 5/24/14 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:36 pm to Cheese Grits
UF doesn't have Murphy, Patton, or Trey Burton on scholarship anymore.
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:45 pm to Mizz-SEC
GAME THREE: Mississippi State Bulldogs 24 @ Utah Utes 10
SEC/Pac-12 Challenge: Mississippi State vs. Utah
By Mike Herndon | mherndon@al.com
on May 24, 2014 at 9:20 AM
With the SEC and the Pac-12 ranked Nos. 1 and 2 in the ESPN Stats & Information's conference power rankings, AL.com is pitting teams from the two conferences against each other over the next couple of weeks in a regular-season round-robin, similar to basketball's SEC-Big 12 Challenge.
Welcome to the SEC-Pac 12 Challenge.
Using the college football simulator at ncaagamesim.com, we're pitting the SEC's top 12 teams last season against their Pac-12 counterparts. Over the next couple of weeks, we'll reveal the outcome of those games-one by one, working our way up from the two 12th-seeded teams-until we see how the league's big dogs, Auburn and Stanford, fared against each in their virtual battle.
The first two installments featured Tennessee beating Colorado 30-21 and Florida defeating California 41-19.
The third installment: Mississippi State (7-6) at Utah (5-7)
We're alternating which team gets home-field advantage. It's the Pac-12's turn.
The result: Mississippi State 24, Utah 10
The stats: Mississippi State quarterbacks Tyler Russell and Dak Prescott combined to throw for 341 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions against Utah's 109th-rated pass defense as the Bulldogs raced out to a 14-0 lead and held on for the win.
One of the touchdown throws went to Jameon Lewis, who caught eight balls for 123 yards. Derrick Milton ran for a 9-yard score and Devon Bell added a field goal. Prescott also ran for 45 yards on 12 carries, giving him 209 yards of total offense.
Adam Schulz and Travis Wilson combined to throw for 205 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions for Utah. Dres Anderson caught the TD, a 35-yarder from Schulz, and Andy Phillips added a field goal. Both scores were set up by turnovers.
Statistical leaders:
Passing:
Mississippi State: Tyler Russell, 10-11-177-1-1; Dak Prescott, 10-19-164-1-1. Utah: Adam Schulz, 7-18-118-1-1; Travis Wilson, 10-17-87-1-0.
Rushing:
Mississippi State: LaDarius Perkins, 14-46; Dak Prescott, 12-45; Josh Robinson, 7-38; Derrick Milton, 4-35-1. Utah: Kelvin York, 9-42; James Pool, 3-21.
Receiving:
Mississippi State: Jameon Lewis, 8-123-1; Joe Morrow, 3-73; Malcolm Johnson, 3-44; Josh Robinson, 1-23-1. Utah: Karl Williams, 3-52; Dres Anderson, 3-46-1; Jake Murphy, 3-33.
Ten-game results: In 10 simulations with each team listed as the home team five times, Utah won six of the 10 meetings.
The bottom line: With Mississippi State's road victory, the SEC goes up 3-0 in the virtual challenge.
With the SEC containing two more teams than the Pac-12, we omitted the SEC's No. 13 and No. 14 teams --Arkansas and Kentucky. For the sake of argument, however, we ran simulations with the Razorbacks at Colorado and the Wildcats hosting California.
The results: Kentucky 35, California 21 and Colorado 24, Arkansas 20.
Check back tomorrow for the match-up between Ole Miss and Washington State.
Posted on 5/24/14 at 12:46 pm to Mizz-SEC
Mississippi State doing what Alabama couldn't.
Posted on 5/25/14 at 9:43 am to Mizz-SEC
GAME FOUR: Ole Miss Rebels 34 vs. Washington State Cougars 24
By Mike Herndon | mherndon@al.com
on May 25, 2014 at 9:27
With the SEC and the Pac-12 ranked Nos. 1 and 2 in the ESPN Stats & Information's conference power rankings, AL.com is pitting teams from the two conferences against each other over the next couple of weeks in a regular-season round-robin, similar to basketball's SEC-Big 12 Challenge.
Welcome to the SEC-Pac 12 Challenge.
Using the college football simulator at ncaagamesim.com, we're pitting the SEC's top 12 teams last season against their Pac-12 counterparts. Over the next couple of weeks, we'll reveal the outcome of those games-one by one, working our way up from the two 12th-seeded teams-until we see how the league's big dogs, Auburn and Stanford, fared against each in their virtual battle.
The first three installments featured Mississippi State topping Utah 24-10, Tennessee beating Colorado 30-21 and Florida defeating California 41-19.
The third installment: Washington State (6-7) at Ole Miss (8-5)
We're alternating which team gets home-field advantage. It's the Pac-12's turn.
The result: Ole Miss 34, Washington State 24
The stats: Ole Miss overcame a 423-yard, three-touchdown passing performance by Connor Halliday, breaking a 24-all tie as Bo Wallace hit Donte Moncrief with a late 5-yard touchdown pass and Andrew Ritter added a field goal to give the Rebels the win.
Wallace finished 24-of-36 for 281 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions, and also ran for 56 yards on 16 carries. Jeff Scott ran for one touchdown and caught another.
Gabe Marks caught eight passes for 92 yards and a touchdown, but Ole Miss held the Cougars -- ranked dead last in the FBS in rushing in 2013 -- to only 41 yards on the ground.
Statistical leaders:
Passing:
Washington State: Connor Holliday, 34-56-423-2-3. Ole Miss: Bo Wallace, 24-36-281-3-2.
Rushing:
Washington State: Marcus Mason, 6-30. Ole Miss: Jaylen Walton, 7-57; Bo Wallace, 16-56; Barry Brunetti, 11-53; I'Tavius Mathers, 8-43; Jeff Scott, 5-16-1; Jimmy Potepa, 1-9-1.
Receiving:
Washignton State: Gabe Marks, 8-92-1; Kristoff Williams, 6-75; Marcus Mason, 5-56-1; Vince Mayle, 2-52; Leon Brooks, 2-14-1; Ole Miss; Laquon Treadwell, 6-76; Evan Engram, 5-74; Ja-Mes Logan, 4-68; Donte Moncrief, 5-50-1; Jeff Scott, 2-7-1.
Ten-game results: In 10 simulations with each team listed as the home team five times, the Rebels and Cougars won five games each.
The bottom line: The SEC takes a commanding 4-0 lead in the virtual challenge after Ole Miss' victory.
With the SEC containing two more teams than the Pac-12, we omitted the SEC's No. 13 and No. 14 teams --Arkansas and Kentucky. For the sake of argument, however, we ran simulations with the Razorbacks at Colorado and the Wildcats hosting California.
The results: Kentucky 35, California 21 and Colorado 24, Arkansas 20.
Check back tomorrow for the match-up between Georgia and Oregon State.
Posted on 5/25/14 at 10:00 am to Korin
quote:
Mississippi State doing what Alabama couldn't.
Posted on 5/25/14 at 11:39 am to Mizz-SEC
This simulator isn't very fond of the western hippies
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