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re: Playoffs down to 8..maybe 9
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:21 am to Bama Bird
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:21 am to Bama Bird
quote:
ifferent situation in 2017, but committee still valued that 11-1 record over a Big Ten champion Ohio State with two losses
Ohio State got in based on a win over top-10 Oklahoma. Where is that win on Tennessee’s schedule?
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Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:23 am to armtackledawg
quote:
In no universe does UT get in when UGA doesn't. Head to head matters when the teams have the same record and neither wins the conference
Georgia would be 12-1, Tennessee would be 11-1. Georgia has the head to head. No way Tennessee gets in over a Georgia team with more wins and the head to head.
Beyond that, LSU would be 11-2 and conference champs. They would have the same number of wins as Tennessee and a conference championship. I think a conference championship win against a previously undefeated team supersedes a head to head loss.
This post was edited on 11/13/22 at 9:24 am
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:25 am to RealDawg
quote:You’re assuming that SOS is a huge factor in their thinking.
I don’t think so. Their SOS is bad and getting worse.
Not saying it shouldn’t be a factor, but the last impression they’re going to see is a team they’re going to rank 1 or 2 play a game they could easily have won.
If It’s down to The stinking Vols and either Michigan or Overrated State, if Georgia is the #1 seed, the stinking Vols will need to buy tickets to go to the playoffs. They’re not going to set up a rematch in round 1.
See last year for an example
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:27 am to RealDawg
One-loss conference champs should get in over one-loss teams that didn't win their division.
If they go with the "four best" philosophy, we could very well see the double rematch scenario mentioned above.
North Carolina is currently 9-1 with their only loss being to a ranked team. They could very well be in the discussion if they win out.
If they go with the "four best" philosophy, we could very well see the double rematch scenario mentioned above.
North Carolina is currently 9-1 with their only loss being to a ranked team. They could very well be in the discussion if they win out.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:31 am to RealDawg
quote:
Teams that control their destiny: UGA Ohio State TCU USC Michigan LSU
Too many, especially with your caveat for UGA and OSU.
I you believe USC controls their own destiny and requires no losses by others to get in, then what happens if LSU, OSU, and TCU win out (given your UGA caveat)? If UGA is in regardless, then one of those others doesn’t control their own destiny.
IMO, it comes down to how the committee views USC vs LSU and whether they’ll allow UGA a free pass for whatever happens in the SECCG.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:32 am to RealDawg
Tennessee is ranked 5th and will take the spot of the Ohio State - Michigan loser. Thanks Oregon.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:34 am to RealDawg
UNC still has a shot. 1 loss conference champion potential.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:36 am to Referee
You are smoking crack if you think USC gets in over us. We are both 1 loss teans and the pac 10 is a freaking joke.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:46 am to BuckI
quote:
I still believe the 4 best teams are Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, and Tennessee. Those 4 would slaughter the next 4 in the cfp poll.
Ohio St would be the 3rd or 4th best team in the SEC West. They will get exposed in the CFP yet again
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:50 am to llfshoals
There is no way Michigan gets in with a loss to osu. They have by far the most pathetic resume’ out of every team left
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:52 am to General4Heisman
quote:
You are smoking crack if you think USC gets in over us. We are both 1 loss teans and the pac 10 is a freaking joke.
K. Let me know how that works out.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:00 am to RealDawg
If southern cal is a one-loss PAC champion I’m thinking they make the four team CFP… southern cal like everyone has a ton of work left
Geaux Tigers
Geaux Tigers
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:08 am to General4Heisman
Unfortunately if it comes down to it and USC beats UCLA and another ranked win in the conference title game. they’ll likely jump Tennessee, despite getting absolutely destroyed by any team in the current playoff hunt from the SEC and BIG 10. PAC is an absolute joke however and Tennessee would deserve it over them but if they can get that brand in the playoff, they will try.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:22 am to cfish140
Depends on how they lose.
Get beat by at worst the #2 seed on a last second field goal on the road? That’s actually a plus should Michigan lose a mail biter.
The impression there will have an impact. Much more so than any SOS.
I can easily see
1 - Georgia
2 - Overrated State/Michigan winner
3 - undefeated TCU/PAC-10 champion (with 1 loss)
4 - loser OSU/Michigan
They won’t set up a rematch in the first round, so whoever is revealed as the #1 seed will tell you who is probably going to be the #4 seed.
If Overrated State is the #1 seed on selection Sunday, the stinking Vols are highly likely to be the #4 seed.
People are saying a 1-loss ACC champion is in the mix, but I think that ship has sailed.
Lots of football to go, but right now the stinking Vols are on the outside looking in and need help.
Get beat by at worst the #2 seed on a last second field goal on the road? That’s actually a plus should Michigan lose a mail biter.
The impression there will have an impact. Much more so than any SOS.
I can easily see
1 - Georgia
2 - Overrated State/Michigan winner
3 - undefeated TCU/PAC-10 champion (with 1 loss)
4 - loser OSU/Michigan
They won’t set up a rematch in the first round, so whoever is revealed as the #1 seed will tell you who is probably going to be the #4 seed.
If Overrated State is the #1 seed on selection Sunday, the stinking Vols are highly likely to be the #4 seed.
People are saying a 1-loss ACC champion is in the mix, but I think that ship has sailed.
Lots of football to go, but right now the stinking Vols are on the outside looking in and need help.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:26 am to Hussss
Imo it will probably be:
UGA
Mich or Ohio State
TCU
Tennessee
UGA
Mich or Ohio State
TCU
Tennessee
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:41 am to BornAndRaised_LA
quote:
Too many, especially with your caveat for UGA and OSU.
Caveat was a could.
Added UNC as a potential as a Clemson win and conf championship will be weighted.
Believe USC is 100% in if they win out with three ranked teams on schedule.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:49 am to RealDawg
Actually, the teams that control their own destiny are…
UGA
The winner of OSU/Mich
TCU
#4 will probably be a conference champion with 1 loss.
UGA
The winner of OSU/Mich
TCU
#4 will probably be a conference champion with 1 loss.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:50 am to llfshoals
There have already been some comments out of committee on the difference in Michigan and OSU strength of schedules.
4 loss Perdue likely being the opponent in championship doesn’t help the conferences look. Unranked team in the championship.
4 loss Perdue likely being the opponent in championship doesn’t help the conferences look. Unranked team in the championship.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 10:56 am to RealDawg
I think Clemson and UNC nearly control their own destiny. I think a 1-loss p5 conference champ is in unless there are 5 of them. I don’t think LSU controls their own destiny because if you have lsu with 2 losses and 4 other p5 champs with 1-loss, I think lsu gets left out.
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