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Playoffs down to 8..maybe 9
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:04 am
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:04 am
Teams that control their destiny:
UGA
Ohio State
TCU
USC
Michigan
LSU
Teams needing losses with a chance:
Tennessee
Clemson
UNC?
Georgia and Ohio State could lose 1 and still get in. Rest out with another loss.
UGA
Ohio State
TCU
USC
Michigan
LSU
Teams needing losses with a chance:
Tennessee
Clemson
UNC?
Georgia and Ohio State could lose 1 and still get in. Rest out with another loss.
This post was edited on 11/13/22 at 9:51 am
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Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:04 am to RealDawg
Michigan is going to steamroll Ohio State
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:05 am to RealDawg
quote:
Teams needing losses with a chance: Tennessee
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:05 am to RealDawg
Michigan will barely lose to Ohio St and get in.
TCU has a loss coming.
Final CFP will be
1) Ga
2) Ohio St
3) Tenn
4) Mich
TCU has a loss coming.
Final CFP will be
1) Ga
2) Ohio St
3) Tenn
4) Mich
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:06 am to stout
That’s the best case for the Big 10. They will justify putting in 1 loss OSU.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:08 am to Hussss
Agreed
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:09 am to RealDawg
w/ the PAC likely out of it at this point I think Carolina prolly makes it at 12-1 w/ wins over Clemson, Wake, and State
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:09 am to RealDawg
Michigan has a chance of getting in with a close loss to Overrated State, and vice versa.
So you can really say there are 3 teams with a possible mulligan. Georgia is a lock win or lose if the PAC-10/12/whatever implodes or TCU loses. That’s of course assuming they’re undefeated going into the SECCG, which I think is about the safest bet ever.
So you can really say there are 3 teams with a possible mulligan. Georgia is a lock win or lose if the PAC-10/12/whatever implodes or TCU loses. That’s of course assuming they’re undefeated going into the SECCG, which I think is about the safest bet ever.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:11 am to RealDawg
I don't think it's a guaranteed win and in for LSU. It might work out that way, even if everyone else relevant keeps winning.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:11 am to RealDawg
If Georgia loses the SECCG, the committee will put an 11-1 Tennessee team in over LSU. We've seen this happen twice now.
I don't see a way for LSU to make it without TCU, Clemson, and USC falling apart
I don't see a way for LSU to make it without TCU, Clemson, and USC falling apart
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:11 am to llfshoals
quote:
Michigan has a chance of getting in with a close loss to Overrated State, and vice versa.
I don’t think so. Their SOS is bad and getting worse.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:12 am to stout
quote:
Michigan is going to steamroll Ohio State
Michigan might win but it will be close. But I doubt they do because they got their 1 win per decade and now it is back to normal.
I still believe the 4 best teams are Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, and Tennessee. Those 4 would slaughter the next 4 in the cfp poll.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:13 am to armtackledawg
There is no doubt in my mind that those are the four best and most complete teams on both sides of the ball.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:14 am to Bama Bird
quote:
I don't see a way for LSU to make it without TCU, Clemson, and USC falling apart
The value the committee puts on conference championships is heavy. Especially winning the toughest conference and what would be a 7 game win streak. I think LSU gets the look.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:15 am to RealDawg
quote:
Teams that control their destiny:
UGA
Ohio State
TCU
USC
Michigan
LSU
Teams needing losses with a chance:
Tennessee
Clemson
Georgia and Ohio State could lose 1 and still get in. Rest out with another loss.
This can't all be true.
You have six teams listed that control their own destinies, meaning that no matter what happens, they're in if they win. You have four spots and two sets of teams that play each other, so that all works out.
But, if Georgia and Ohio State can both lose a game and still make the playoffs, doesn't that necessarily mean some of the others don't control their own destinies? What happens if Michigan beats Ohio State and LSU beats Georgia? Which teams that "control their own destinies" are you leaving out?
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:15 am to Bama Bird
In no universe does UT get in when UGA doesn't. Head to head matters when the teams have the same record and neither wins the conference
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:17 am to TriumphTiger
I believe the final four will be
UGA
Ohio State
TCU
USC
UGA
Ohio State
TCU
USC
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:19 am to OKBoomerSooner
quote:
This can't all be true.
Why I said OSU and Georgia COULD get in with loss. They would no longer be in control. Would depend on outcome of others.
This post was edited on 11/13/22 at 9:20 am
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:19 am to Bama Bird
quote:
If Georgia loses the SECCG, the committee will put an 11-1 Tennessee team in over LSU. We've seen this happen twice now.
While this might be true, I disagree. Here is a logical argument for LSU.
First, consider conference records only. Despite the loss to Tennessee, if LSU wins the SECCG, there is no doubt that based on conference accomplishments, LSU rates higher than Tennessee. So when you consider non conference accomplishments, is Tennessee’s OT win over a mediocre Pitt worth more than LSU’s 1-pt loss to top-20 Florida State? Is it worth SO MUCH more that it counterbalances LSU’s championship? I think not. LSU, should we win in ATL, will be rated higher than Tenn.
Posted on 11/13/22 at 9:19 am to RealDawg
quote:
The value the committee puts on conference championships is heavy
I don't think it is though
2016- Penn State won Big Ten (11-2), defeated Ohio State. Ohio State gets in with an 11-1 record.
Different situation in 2017, but committee still valued that 11-1 record over a Big Ten champion Ohio State with two losses
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