Started By
Message
Overall 2026 schedule difficulty for all 16 SEC teams based on Sagarin ratings for 2025
Posted on 12/12/25 at 9:24 pm
Posted on 12/12/25 at 9:24 pm
Sum of current Sagarin 2025 rating of all teams on 2026 schedule divided by 12 to get the average Sagarin rating of the 12 opponents in 2026. The rankings are also shown in four 3-game amounts to show which 3-game stretch is potentially hardest and easiest.
Alabama = 156 + 91 + 52 + 238 = 537 / 12 = 44.75
Arkansas = 245 + 175 + 56 + 64 = 540 / 12 = 45.00
Auburn = 211 + 38 + 80 + 302 = 631 / 12 = 52.58
Florida = 384 + 58 + 31 + 103 = 576 / 12 = 48.00
Georgia = 390 + 33 + 69 + 84 = 576 / 12 = 48.00
Kentucky = 136 + 172 + 45 + 79 = 432 / 12 = 36.00
LSU = 139 + 260 + 91 + 80 = 570 / 12 = 47.50
Ole Miss = 240 + 63 + 44 + 235 = 582 / 12 = 48.50
Miss St. = 245 + 51 + 36 + 180 = 512 / 12 = 42.67
Missouri = 416 + 97 + 69 + 68 = 650 / 12 = 54.17
Oklahoma = 292 + 67 + 118 + 37 = 514 / 12 = 42.83
S Carolina = 422 + 91 + 42 + 78 = 633 / 12 = 52.75
Tennessee = 348 + 85 + 87 + 42 = 562 / 12 = 46.83
Texas = 150 + 67 + 85 + 78 = 380 / 12 = 31.67
Texas A&M = 220 + 89 + 246 + 46 = 601 / 12 = 50.08
Vanderbilt = 314 + 42 + 152 + 63 = 571 / 12 = 47.58
Texas plays Ohio State (1), UTSA (71), and Texas State (78) out of conference.
If you remove the 2 lowest ranked teams from each to look at the 9 SEC games and the highest ranked OOC team, you get...
Alabama = 156 + 91 + 52 + 238 = 537 - 265 = 272 / 10 = 27.2
Arkansas = 245 + 175 + 56 + 64 = 540 - 370 = 170 / 10 = 17.0
Auburn = 211 + 38 + 80 + 302 = 631 - 348 = 283 / 10 = 28.3
Florida = 384 + 58 + 31 + 103 = 576 - 358 = 218 / 10 = 21.8
Georgia = 390 + 33 + 69 + 84 = 576 - 343 = 233 / 10 = 23.3
Kentucky = 136 + 172 + 45 + 79 = 432 - 239 = 193 / 10 = 19.3
LSU = 139 + 260 + 91 + 80 = 570 - 307 = 263 / 10 = 26.3
Ole Miss = 240 + 63 + 44 + 235 = 582 - 356 = 226 / 10 = 22.6
Miss St. = 245 + 51 + 36 + 180 = 512 - 309 = 203 / 10 = 20.3
Missouri = 416 + 97 + 69 + 68 = 650 - 351 = 299 / 10 = 29.9
Oklahoma = 292 + 67 + 118 + 37 = 514 - 270 = 244 / 10 = 24.4
S Carolina = 422 + 91 + 42 + 78 = 633 - 366 = 267 / 10 = 26.7
Tennessee = 348 + 85 + 87 + 42 = 562 - 312 = 250 / 10 = 25.0
Texas = 150 + 67 + 85 + 78 = 380 - 149 = 231 / 10 = 23.1
Texas A&M = 220 + 89 + 246 + 46 = 601 - 335 = 266 / 10 = 26.6
Vanderbilt = 314 + 42 + 152 + 63 = 571 - 275 = 296 / 10 = 29.6
Sorted most difficult to least...
Arkansas = 245 + 175 + 56 + 64 = 540 - 370 = 170 / 10 = 17.0
Kentucky = 136 + 172 + 45 + 79 = 432 - 239 = 193 / 10 = 19.3
Miss St. = 245 + 51 + 36 + 180 = 512 - 309 = 203 / 10 = 20.3
Florida = 384 + 58 + 31 + 103 = 576 - 358 = 218 / 10 = 21.8
Ole Miss = 240 + 63 + 44 + 235 = 582 - 356 = 226 / 10 = 22.6
Texas = 150 + 67 + 85 + 78 = 380 - 149 = 231 / 10 = 23.1
Georgia = 390 + 33 + 69 + 84 = 576 - 343 = 233 / 10 = 23.3
Oklahoma = 292 + 67 + 118 + 37 = 514 - 270 = 244 / 10 = 24.4
Tennessee = 348 + 85 + 87 + 42 = 562 - 312 = 250 / 10 = 25.0
LSU = 139 + 260 + 91 + 80 = 570 - 307 = 263 / 10 = 26.3
Texas A&M = 220 + 89 + 246 + 46 = 601 - 335 = 266 / 10 = 26.6
S Carolina = 422 + 91 + 42 + 78 = 633 - 366 = 267 / 10 = 26.7
Alabama = 156 + 91 + 52 + 238 = 537 - 265 = 272 / 10 = 27.2
Auburn = 211 + 38 + 80 + 302 = 631 - 348 = 283 / 10 = 28.3
Vanderbilt = 314 + 42 + 152 + 63 = 571 - 275 = 296 / 10 = 29.6
Missouri = 416 + 97 + 69 + 68 = 650 - 351 = 299 / 10 = 29.9
Notes:
Arkansas does not play the two lowest ranked SEC teams (Miss St. (56) and Kentucky (49)) and plays Utah (15).
Since a team cannot play itself, a highly ranked team's rating is biased lower and a lower ranked team is biased higher. But with a 10 or 12 game average the bias is not very significant.
Of course, with the transfer portal, teams can make a big change in one year for better or worse and these projected schedule ratings will likely end up being quite a bit different once the 2026 season progresses.
This is all just speculation at this point for fun.
Alabama = 156 + 91 + 52 + 238 = 537 / 12 = 44.75
Arkansas = 245 + 175 + 56 + 64 = 540 / 12 = 45.00
Auburn = 211 + 38 + 80 + 302 = 631 / 12 = 52.58
Florida = 384 + 58 + 31 + 103 = 576 / 12 = 48.00
Georgia = 390 + 33 + 69 + 84 = 576 / 12 = 48.00
Kentucky = 136 + 172 + 45 + 79 = 432 / 12 = 36.00
LSU = 139 + 260 + 91 + 80 = 570 / 12 = 47.50
Ole Miss = 240 + 63 + 44 + 235 = 582 / 12 = 48.50
Miss St. = 245 + 51 + 36 + 180 = 512 / 12 = 42.67
Missouri = 416 + 97 + 69 + 68 = 650 / 12 = 54.17
Oklahoma = 292 + 67 + 118 + 37 = 514 / 12 = 42.83
S Carolina = 422 + 91 + 42 + 78 = 633 / 12 = 52.75
Tennessee = 348 + 85 + 87 + 42 = 562 / 12 = 46.83
Texas = 150 + 67 + 85 + 78 = 380 / 12 = 31.67
Texas A&M = 220 + 89 + 246 + 46 = 601 / 12 = 50.08
Vanderbilt = 314 + 42 + 152 + 63 = 571 / 12 = 47.58
Texas plays Ohio State (1), UTSA (71), and Texas State (78) out of conference.
If you remove the 2 lowest ranked teams from each to look at the 9 SEC games and the highest ranked OOC team, you get...
Alabama = 156 + 91 + 52 + 238 = 537 - 265 = 272 / 10 = 27.2
Arkansas = 245 + 175 + 56 + 64 = 540 - 370 = 170 / 10 = 17.0
Auburn = 211 + 38 + 80 + 302 = 631 - 348 = 283 / 10 = 28.3
Florida = 384 + 58 + 31 + 103 = 576 - 358 = 218 / 10 = 21.8
Georgia = 390 + 33 + 69 + 84 = 576 - 343 = 233 / 10 = 23.3
Kentucky = 136 + 172 + 45 + 79 = 432 - 239 = 193 / 10 = 19.3
LSU = 139 + 260 + 91 + 80 = 570 - 307 = 263 / 10 = 26.3
Ole Miss = 240 + 63 + 44 + 235 = 582 - 356 = 226 / 10 = 22.6
Miss St. = 245 + 51 + 36 + 180 = 512 - 309 = 203 / 10 = 20.3
Missouri = 416 + 97 + 69 + 68 = 650 - 351 = 299 / 10 = 29.9
Oklahoma = 292 + 67 + 118 + 37 = 514 - 270 = 244 / 10 = 24.4
S Carolina = 422 + 91 + 42 + 78 = 633 - 366 = 267 / 10 = 26.7
Tennessee = 348 + 85 + 87 + 42 = 562 - 312 = 250 / 10 = 25.0
Texas = 150 + 67 + 85 + 78 = 380 - 149 = 231 / 10 = 23.1
Texas A&M = 220 + 89 + 246 + 46 = 601 - 335 = 266 / 10 = 26.6
Vanderbilt = 314 + 42 + 152 + 63 = 571 - 275 = 296 / 10 = 29.6
Sorted most difficult to least...
Arkansas = 245 + 175 + 56 + 64 = 540 - 370 = 170 / 10 = 17.0
Kentucky = 136 + 172 + 45 + 79 = 432 - 239 = 193 / 10 = 19.3
Miss St. = 245 + 51 + 36 + 180 = 512 - 309 = 203 / 10 = 20.3
Florida = 384 + 58 + 31 + 103 = 576 - 358 = 218 / 10 = 21.8
Ole Miss = 240 + 63 + 44 + 235 = 582 - 356 = 226 / 10 = 22.6
Texas = 150 + 67 + 85 + 78 = 380 - 149 = 231 / 10 = 23.1
Georgia = 390 + 33 + 69 + 84 = 576 - 343 = 233 / 10 = 23.3
Oklahoma = 292 + 67 + 118 + 37 = 514 - 270 = 244 / 10 = 24.4
Tennessee = 348 + 85 + 87 + 42 = 562 - 312 = 250 / 10 = 25.0
LSU = 139 + 260 + 91 + 80 = 570 - 307 = 263 / 10 = 26.3
Texas A&M = 220 + 89 + 246 + 46 = 601 - 335 = 266 / 10 = 26.6
S Carolina = 422 + 91 + 42 + 78 = 633 - 366 = 267 / 10 = 26.7
Alabama = 156 + 91 + 52 + 238 = 537 - 265 = 272 / 10 = 27.2
Auburn = 211 + 38 + 80 + 302 = 631 - 348 = 283 / 10 = 28.3
Vanderbilt = 314 + 42 + 152 + 63 = 571 - 275 = 296 / 10 = 29.6
Missouri = 416 + 97 + 69 + 68 = 650 - 351 = 299 / 10 = 29.9
Notes:
Arkansas does not play the two lowest ranked SEC teams (Miss St. (56) and Kentucky (49)) and plays Utah (15).
Since a team cannot play itself, a highly ranked team's rating is biased lower and a lower ranked team is biased higher. But with a 10 or 12 game average the bias is not very significant.
Of course, with the transfer portal, teams can make a big change in one year for better or worse and these projected schedule ratings will likely end up being quite a bit different once the 2026 season progresses.
This is all just speculation at this point for fun.
10
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:01 pm to NorthEndZone
I was going to read your post until I saw the format.
That made my eyes bleed.
That made my eyes bleed.
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:02 pm to NorthEndZone
Is this a thread or linear algebra
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:07 pm to Jrv2damac
I can throw a few determinants in there if you'd like. 
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:26 pm to NorthEndZone
So, basically very little difference, especially when team turnover is massively higher than ever.
Posted on 12/12/25 at 10:31 pm to NorthEndZone
Mizzou has an easy schedule!?!?!?
Get da frick outta here! I can’t believe it!!
Get da frick outta here! I can’t believe it!!
Posted on 12/12/25 at 11:22 pm to NorthEndZone
Averages are a bad way to do SoS, but I like this as a ball park sneakpeak into next year.
I sure hope it holds up that Alabama has an easier schedule.
I sure hope it holds up that Alabama has an easier schedule.
Posted on 12/12/25 at 11:27 pm to Jrv2damac
I'm pretty sure I dropped this class at Mizzou.
Posted on 12/13/25 at 12:21 am to NorthEndZone
I put bullshite on paper for a living, every day. And I'm pretty damn good at it.
I have no idea what you're trying to tell us here.
I have no idea what you're trying to tell us here.
Posted on 12/13/25 at 6:13 am to NorthEndZone
Posted on 12/13/25 at 6:21 am to TideSaint
quote:
I was going to read your post until I saw the format. That made my eyes bleed.
Translates to: “too dumb to interpret”
Posted on 12/13/25 at 7:07 am to NorthEndZone
Auburn is back to playing all other members of the Big Six. Not surprised.
Posted on 12/13/25 at 7:37 am to NorthEndZone
Thanks for the info, but uh, can you sort your data better
That's nothing but gobbledygook
That's nothing but gobbledygook
Posted on 12/13/25 at 7:43 am to OccamsStubble
quote:When Hugh said Auburn was close, he probably just meant close to heading back into the SEC meat grinder.
Auburn is back to playing all other members of the Big Six.
Posted on 12/13/25 at 7:44 am to NorthEndZone
Not just SEC but ...
Page 1 of 1
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News