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re: Odds to win CWS ... Interdasting

Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:28 pm to
Posted by terriblegreen
Souf Badden Rewage
Member since Aug 2011
11207 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:28 pm to
I honestly think Texas is a little low.
Posted by TexasWranglers
Member since Sep 2024
514 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:31 pm to
Spencer loss is massive but so you think there is a chance if Jonah get a hot and Max comes back (and picks up where he left off)?

I agree we just Dont have the bats and couldn't afford to lose our ace.
Posted by HClassof84
Member since Feb 2025
247 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

Are you familiar with Avogadro's number?


N0[5][6], No, I'm not.
Posted by HorninHouston
Member since Sep 2024
1165 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 1:03 pm to
with our injuries I don't have a problem with this at all. I'm not convinced we'll make it to omaha if I'm honest. I'm also really happy with the season no matter when it ends. We are far better than I thought we'd be. Thanks to Schloss.
Posted by Insurancerebel
Madison
Member since Aug 2021
2303 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 1:19 pm to
It is Arkansas's year! Nothing can stop them!
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17468 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 1:45 pm to
quote:

but so you think there is a chance if Jonah get a hot and Max comes back (and picks up where he left off)?

We have a good team, and if the ball bounces right, we can win some games.. I just think we'll have to get extremely lucky against really good pitching once we get to SR or Omaha.. maybe even Regionals
Posted by TexasWranglers
Member since Sep 2024
514 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 3:01 pm to
You are probably right. We are ahead of schedule and needed a lot to bounce our way to have the record we currently have. Hope the Hog series lights a fire but I think losing our arguable top 2 players for hitting and pitching is a killer when we were already thin, this is to win it all.

I think we make a SR, beyond that its baseball and anything can happen but to go full natty will be very tough
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
7612 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 3:16 pm to
People reading way too much into this. Lines on season-long futures bets aren’t nearly as dynamic as single game bets, especially for early season favorites, as was A&M in February.

Futures lines for early season favorites that underachieve during the season are very “sticky”, meaning they greatly under react to the current season performance of said favorite. They can get away with this because they aren’t offering the other side of the wager, odds to not win. There’s little incentive to drop an early favorite down to what their true odds should be.

February odds

A&M was +850 in February, just behind Tenn and LSU.
Posted by PawnShop
Deep Woods of the Nat'l Forest
Member since Oct 2022
337 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

I think it depends on if wood continues to pitch at a high level. Starting pitching has been our main weakness this year. So far wood coming back from injury has fixed that.


Gage helps, no doubt. And he's looked incredible. But +400? For a team that PROBABLY won't win their conference? That's crazy. Hogs should be in the 750-1000 range IMO.
Posted by BigBro
Member since Jul 2021
17468 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

I think we make a SR, beyond that its baseball and anything can happen but to go full natty will be very tough

100% - I like our chances to make a SR, but outside of that, I just don't know.. I've seen worse Texas teams make Omaha.. I've seen better not make it..
Posted by fontell
Montgomery
Member since Sep 2006
4536 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:32 pm to
I got Auburn at +6000 a week ago
Posted by MtVernon
Member since Jul 2024
6656 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 5:48 pm to
Texas is going to start hemorrhaging games to finish out this season.
Posted by ColoradoElkHerd
USA
Member since May 2014
3400 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

Pitching and hitting bombs becomes critical


Much depends on when teams get hot. OM wasn't expected to win Omaha but they got it done.
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
25678 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 9:05 pm to
Arkansas may not win it this year but this is the most balanced team that DVH has ever had.

The last two years were paper tigers as they were terrible at the plate and got bounced out of the regional.

This team is very good at the plate and has more good depth at pitching.
Posted by TX Tea
Member since Sep 2023
393 posts
Posted on 5/7/25 at 9:36 pm to
I don't disagree with those odds. I think TX would lose a SR to the Aggies if they played again. Just my 2 cents. They have a pretty talented team.
Posted by Insurancerebel
Madison
Member since Aug 2021
2303 posts
Posted on 5/8/25 at 9:04 am to
quote:

This team is very good at the plate and has more good depth at pitching.


They probably will not lose another game this year. THEY WILL WIN IT ALL!

No dropped fouls this year!
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